Climate change, nuclear power, and the adaptation-mitigation dilemma

Many policy-makers view nuclear power as a mitigation for climate change. Efforts to mitigate and adapt to climate change, however, interact with existing and new nuclear power plants, and these installations must contend with dilemmas between adaptation and mitigation. This paper develops five criteria to assess the adaptation-mitigation dilemma on two major points: (1) the ability of nuclear power to adapt to climate change and (2) the potential for nuclear power operation to hinder climate change adaptation. Sea level rise models for nine coastal sites in the United States, a review of US Nuclear Regulatory Commission documents, and reports from France's nuclear regulatory agency provided insights into issues that have arisen from sea level rise, shoreline erosion, coastal storms, floods, and heat waves. Applying the criteria to inland and coastal nuclear power plants reveals several weaknesses. Safety stands out as the primary concern at coastal locations, while inland locations encounter greater problems with interrupted operation. Adapting nuclear power to climate change entails either increased expenses for construction and operation or incurs significant costs to the environment and public health and welfare. Mere absence of greenhouse gas emissions is not sufficient to assess nuclear power as a mitigation for climate change.

[1]  Volker Meyer,et al.  Fundamental questions on the economics of climate adaptation: Outlines of a new research programme , 2012 .

[2]  Ø. Nilsen,et al.  Electricity Prices, River Temperatures, and Cooling Water Scarcity , 2011, Land Economics.

[3]  Melissa McAloose,et al.  Nuclear Power in France , 1997 .

[4]  R. Blong,et al.  The 2003 Heat Wave in France: Dangerous Climate Change Here and Now , 2005, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[5]  D. L. Kelly,et al.  Evaluation of Loss of Offsite Power Events at Nuclear Power Plants: 1980 - 1996 , 1999 .

[6]  Stephen Thomas,et al.  The world nuclear industry status report 2009: with particular emphasis on economic issues , 2009 .

[7]  Stefan Vögele,et al.  Short-term distributional consequences of climate change impacts on the power sector: who gains and who loses? , 2011, Climatic Change.

[8]  Kimio Hanawa,et al.  Observations: Oceanic Climate Change and Sea Level , 2007 .

[9]  J. Palutikof,et al.  Climate change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Summary for Policymakers. , 2007 .

[10]  T. Downing,et al.  Inter-relationships between adaptation and mitigation , 2007 .

[11]  S Pacala,et al.  Stabilization Wedges: Solving the Climate Problem for the Next 50 Years with Current Technologies , 2004, Science.

[12]  J. Palutikof,et al.  Climate change 2007 : impacts, adaptation and vulnerability , 2001 .

[13]  W. Collins,et al.  Global climate projections , 2007 .

[14]  Corinne Le Quéré,et al.  Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis , 2013 .

[15]  P. Lagadec,et al.  Understanding the French 2003 Heat Wave Experience: Beyond the Heat, a Multi-Layered Challenge , 2004 .

[16]  E. Robert Thieler,et al.  National assessment of coastal vulnerability to sea-level rise; preliminary results for the U.S. Gulf of Mexico Coast , 2000 .

[17]  J. M. Mattei,et al.  Report on flooding of Le Blayais power plant on 27 December 1999 , 2001 .

[18]  H. L. Miller,et al.  Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis , 2007 .

[19]  N. Christidis,et al.  Modeling the Recent Evolution of Global Drought and Projections for the Twenty-First Century with the Hadley Centre Climate Model , 2006 .