Do Banks Ration Credit to New Enterprises? And Should Governments Intervene?

Do banks deny credit to new start-ups? The presumption that they do has motivated government intervention in several forms, including publicly backed loan guarantee schemes in the UK and elsewhere. This paper presents an overview of the modern theory and evidence of credit rationing, and concludes that the case for credit rationing is weak. Ultimately, theoretical arguments for or against credit rationing are inconclusive, so evidence is needed to decide the issue. The evidence is not supportive of the view that credit rationing is an important or widespread phenomenon. Copyright 2002 by Scottish Economic Society.

[1]  A. Kochar An empirical investigation of rationing constraints in rural credit markets in India , 1997 .

[2]  Allen N. Berger,et al.  Relationship Lending and Lines of Credit in Small Firm Finance , 1994 .

[3]  Giuseppe Coco,et al.  On the Use of Collateral , 2000 .

[4]  Steven M. Fazzari,et al.  Financing Constraints and Corporate Investment , 1987 .

[5]  Dwight M. Jaffee CREDIT RATIONING AND THE COMMERCIAL‐LOAN MARKET* , 1969 .

[6]  C. W. Sealey Credit Rationing in the Commercial Loan Market: Estimates of a Structural Model Under Conditions of Disequilibrium , 1979 .

[7]  W. Gale Collateral, Rationing, and Government Intervention in Credit Markets , 1989 .

[8]  Allen N. Berger,et al.  Collateral, loan quality and bank risk , 1988 .

[9]  B. Hillier The Borrower?s Curse: A Comment. , 1998 .

[10]  Robert J. Barro,et al.  The Loan Market, Collateral, and Rates of Interest , 1976 .

[11]  Christophe Chamley Entrepreneurial Abilities and Liabilities in a Model of Self-Selection , 1983 .

[12]  Great Britain. Foreign Office. Constraints on the growth of small firms , 1991 .

[13]  J. Stiglitz,et al.  Incentive Effects of Terminations: Applications to the Credit and Labor Markets , 1983 .

[14]  Vincenzo Quadrini,et al.  THE IMPORTANCE OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP FOR WEALTH CONCENTRATION AND MOBILITY , 1999 .

[15]  David Besanko,et al.  Competitive Equilibrium in the Credit Market under Asymmetric Information , 1987 .

[16]  Maitreesh Ghatak,et al.  Screening by the Company You Keep: Joint Liability Lending and the Peer Selection Effect , 2000 .

[17]  Douglas Gale,et al.  Incentive-Compatible Debt Contracts: The One-Period Problem (Revised version now published in Review of Economic Studies, 1985).) , 1985 .

[18]  G. Clemenz,et al.  Credit markets with asymmetric information : a survey , 1992 .

[19]  M. Cowling,et al.  The Evolution of U.K. Self‐Employment: A Study of Government Policy and the Role of the Macroeconomy , 1997 .

[20]  Hayne E. Leland,et al.  INFORMATIONAL ASYMMETRIES, FINANCIAL STRUCTURE, AND FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION , 1977 .

[21]  S. Perez Testing for credit rationing: An application of disequilibrium econometrics , 1998 .

[22]  Luigi Guiso,et al.  High-Tech Firms and Credit Rationing , 1998 .

[23]  Thomas Russell,et al.  Imperfect Information, Uncertainty, and Credit Rationing , 1976 .

[24]  David C. Webb,et al.  Too Much Investment: A Problem of Asymmetric Information , 1987 .

[25]  The Welfare Implications of Costly Monitoring in Credit Market , 1994 .

[26]  Wealth, Enterprise and Credit Policy , 1999 .

[27]  Andrew J. Oswald,et al.  Latent entrepreneurship across nations , 2001 .

[28]  A. Thakor,et al.  Costly Information Production Equilibria in the Bank Credit Market with Applications to Credit Rationing , 1983, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

[29]  M. Ibrahímo,et al.  The Performance of Credit Markets under Asymmetric Information about Project Means and Variances , 1992 .

[30]  Helmut Bester,et al.  Screening vs. Rationing in Credit Markets with Imperfect Information , 1985 .

[31]  Marc Cowling The incidence of loan collateralization in small business lending contracts: evidence from the UK , 1999 .

[32]  Jonathan A. Scott,et al.  The Incidence of Secured Debt: Evidence from the Small Business Community , 1989, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

[33]  Credit markets with asymmetric information , 1986 .

[34]  Allen N. Berger,et al.  Some Evidence on the Empirical Significance of Credit Rationing , 1992, Journal of Political Economy.

[35]  Martin Hellwig,et al.  Some recent developments in the theory of competition in markets with adverse selection , 1986 .

[36]  P. Howitt,et al.  Credit Rationing and Implicit Contract Theory , 1980 .

[37]  A. Cukierman The Horizontal Integration of the Banking Firm, Credit Rationing and Monetary Policy , 1978 .

[38]  Yair E. Orgler A Credit Scoring Model for Commercial Loans , 1970 .

[39]  Ying Wu,et al.  On equilibrium credit rationing and interest rates , 1995 .

[40]  J. Ordover,et al.  Information and the Law: Evaluating Legal Restrictions on Competitive Contracts , 1980 .

[41]  D. Holtz-eakin,et al.  Financial Capital, Human Capital, and the Transition to Self‐Employment: Evidence from Intergenerational Links , 1996, Journal of Labor Economics.

[42]  Boyan Jovanovic,et al.  An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints , 1989, Journal of Political Economy.

[43]  W. Gale Federal Lending and the Market for Credit , 1988 .

[44]  N. Mankiw,et al.  The Allocation of Credit and Financial Collapse , 1986 .

[45]  Helmut Bester,et al.  The role of collateral in credit markets with imperfect information , 1987 .

[46]  Michael A. Nolan,et al.  When Less Is More: Distinguishing between Entrepreneurial Choice and Performance , 2000 .

[47]  D. Holtz-eakin Public Policy Toward Entrepreneurship , 2000 .

[48]  E. Tassel,et al.  Group lending under asymmetric information , 1999 .

[49]  D. G. Harris Credit Rationing at Commercial Banks: Some Empirical Evidence , 1974 .

[50]  R. Hubbard,et al.  Capital-Market Imperfections and Investment , 1997 .

[51]  David C. Webb LONG-TERM FINANCIAL CONTRACTS CAN MITIGATE THE ADVERSE SELECTION PROBLEM IN PROJECT FINANCING* , 1991 .

[52]  Alec R. Levenson,et al.  Do Firms Get the Financing They Want? Measuring Credit Rationing Experienced by Small Businesses in the U.S. , 2000 .

[53]  Stephen R. King Monetary Transmission: Through Bank Loans or Bank Liabilities? , 1986 .

[54]  Maitreesh Ghatak,et al.  Group lending, local information and peer selection , 1999 .

[55]  R. Penner Credit Rationing and Government Loan Programs: A Welfare Analysis , 1989 .

[56]  M. C. Jensen,et al.  Harvard Business School; SSRN; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI); Harvard University - Accounting & Control Unit , 1976 .

[57]  Stephen D. Williamson Costly Monitoring, Loan Contracts, and Equilibrium Credit Rationing , 1987 .

[58]  J. Stiglitz,et al.  Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information , 1981 .

[59]  B. Greenwald,et al.  Informational Imperfections in the Capital Market and Macro-Economic Fluctuations , 1984 .

[60]  Edvard Johansson,et al.  Self-Employment and Liquidity Constraints: Evidence from Finland , 2000 .

[61]  Joseph E. Stiglitz,et al.  Credit and equity rationing in markets with adverse selection , 1995 .

[62]  M. Ibrahímo,et al.  Asymmetric Information and Models of Credit Rationing , 1993 .

[63]  J. Riley,et al.  Signalling in credit markets , 1984 .

[64]  J. Riley,et al.  Signaling in Credit Markets , 1988 .

[65]  Joseph E. Stiglitz,et al.  ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION IN CREDIT MARKETS AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR MACRO-ECONOMICS , 1992 .

[66]  Credit Markets and Borrower Effort , 1984 .

[67]  Anjan V. Thakor,et al.  MORAL HAZARD AND SECURED LENDING IN AN INFINITELY REPEATED CREDIT MARKET GAME , 1994 .

[68]  H. Rosen,et al.  Entrepreneurial Decisions and Liquidity Constraints , 1993 .

[69]  R. Innes Investment and government intervention in credit markets when there is asymmetric information , 1991 .

[70]  Bruno Biais,et al.  Trade Credit and Credit Rationing , 1997 .

[71]  R. Cressy Credit rationing or entrepreneurial risk aversion? An alternative explanation for the Evans and Jovanovic finding , 2000 .

[72]  M. Freimer,et al.  Why Bankers Ration Credit , 1965 .

[73]  A. Thakor,et al.  Collateral and Competitive Equilibria with Moral Hazard and Private Information , 1987 .

[74]  David C. Webb,et al.  Efficient credit rationing , 1992 .

[75]  D. R. Hodgman Credit Risk and Credit Rationing , 1960 .

[76]  David de Meza,et al.  House prices, the supply of collateral and the enterprise economy , 1996 .

[77]  René Garcia,et al.  Disequilibrium Econometrics for Business Loans , 1977 .

[78]  Bin Xu The Welfare Implications of Costly Monitoring in the Credit Market: A Note , 2000 .

[79]  Giuseppe Coco Collateral, heterogeneity in risk attitude and the credit market equilibrium , 1999 .

[80]  P. Wachtel,et al.  Loan Commitments and Monetary Policy , 1987 .

[81]  Takatoshi Ito,et al.  Tests of the Equilibrium Hypothesis in Disequilibrium Econometrics: An International Comparison of Credit Rationing , 1981 .

[82]  I. Bernhardt Comparative Advantage in Self-Employment and Paid Work , 1994 .

[83]  David C. Webb,et al.  Does credit rationing imply insufficient lending , 2000 .

[84]  David C. Webb,et al.  Risk, Adverse Selection and Capital Market Failure , 1990 .

[85]  S. Parker Asymmetric Information, Occupational Choice and Government Policy , 2003 .

[86]  Timothy Bates Race, Self-Employment, and Upward Mobility An Illusive American Dream: Response to John Sibley Butler's Review Essay , 1998 .

[87]  Dwight M. Jaffee,et al.  A Theory and Test of Credit Rationing , 1969 .

[88]  C. Gollier,et al.  Peer Group Formation in an Adverse Selection Model , 2000 .

[89]  Douglas Holtz-Eakin,et al.  Sticking it Out: Entrepreneurial Survival and Liquidity Constraints , 1993, Journal of Political Economy.

[90]  Anjan V. Thakor,et al.  Collateral and Rationing: Sorting Equilibria in Monopolistic and Competitive Credit Markets , 1987 .

[91]  T. Lindh,et al.  Self-Employment and Windfall Gains: Evidence from the Swedish Lottery , 1996 .

[92]  Simon C. Parker,et al.  Family Finance and New Business Start‐ups , 2001 .

[93]  David de Meza,et al.  The Borrower's Curse: Optimism, Finance and Entrepreneurship , 1996 .

[94]  P. Kugler Credit rationing and the adjustment of the loan rate: An empirical investigation , 1987 .