A conceptual method for modeling residential utility consumption using complex fuzzy sets

In many countries including Australia, residential utility consumption, as a primary measurement of infrastructure service at local and state levels, is affected by many influential factors such as different varieties of utilities, local community profiles and regional climate conditions. Due to the fact that the information of a regional residential utility consumptions and their influential factors are often held separately by different public and private agencies, there is an urgent need among the communities, the utility providers, and the utility administration organizations for an integrated view on local residential utility consumption and usage for better utility service and governance. Developing such an integrated view is challenging due to the dispersion of relevant data sets at various temporal and spatial scales and the underlying complexity of increasingly interacting factors. By using complex fuzzy sets to describe uncertainty and periodicity features at various temporal and spatial scales, this paper presents a conceptual method for modeling residential utility consumption in the development of a geographic-business-intelligence-based infrastructure information platform. Through the presented method, cross-organization residential utility consumption pattern can be extracted through a knowledge-based pattern mining technique. This work can be used for providing an integrated view on the entire infrastructure service to support relevant decision making.

[1]  Abraham Kandel,et al.  Complex fuzzy logic , 2003, IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst..

[2]  L. Suganthi,et al.  Energy models for demand forecasting—A review , 2012 .

[3]  Stéphane Ploix,et al.  Prediction of appliances energy use in smart homes , 2012 .

[4]  Morteza Saberi,et al.  Improved estimation of electricity demand function by using of artificial neural network, principal component analysis and data envelopment analysis , 2013, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[5]  Kai-Yuan Cai,et al.  Operation Properties and δ-Equalities of Complex Fuzzy Sets , 2011 .

[6]  Kadir Kavaklioglu,et al.  Modeling and prediction of Turkey’s electricity consumption using Support Vector Regression , 2011 .

[7]  C. Senabre,et al.  Application of SOM neural networks to short-term load forecasting: The Spanish electricity market case study , 2012 .

[8]  Liu Hong,et al.  Vulnerability analysis of interdependent infrastructure systems: A methodological framework , 2012 .

[9]  Der-Chiang Li,et al.  Forecasting short-term electricity consumption using the adaptive grey-based approach—An Asian case , 2012 .

[10]  Scott Dick,et al.  Toward complex fuzzy logic , 2005, IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems.

[11]  Abraham Kandel,et al.  Complex fuzzy sets , 2002, IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst..

[12]  Ujjwal Kumar,et al.  Time series models (Grey-Markov, Grey Model with rolling mechanism and singular spectrum analysis) to forecast energy consumption in India , 2010 .

[13]  Jie Lu,et al.  A Method for Multiple Periodic Factor Prediction Problems Using Complex Fuzzy Sets , 2012, IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems.

[14]  Preeti Bajaj,et al.  Implementation of Complex Fuzzy Logic Modules with VLSI Approach , 2008 .

[15]  Scott Dick,et al.  ANCFIS: A Neurofuzzy Architecture Employing Complex Fuzzy Sets , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems.

[16]  Jamal O. Jaber,et al.  Residential past and future energy consumption: Potential savings and environmental impact , 2009 .

[17]  Selim Zaim,et al.  Forecasting Electricity Consumption with Neural Networks and Support Vector Regression , 2012 .

[18]  V. Ismet Ugursal,et al.  Modeling of end-use energy consumption in the residential sector: A review of modeling techniques , 2009 .

[19]  Manuel Alcázar-Ortega,et al.  New artificial neural network prediction method for electrical consumption forecasting based on buil , 2011 .

[20]  Abraham Kandel,et al.  A new interpretation of complex membership grade , 2011, Int. J. Intell. Syst..

[21]  Scott Dick,et al.  An on-line learning algorithm for complex fuzzy logic , 2010, International Conference on Fuzzy Systems.