Spatial and temporal patterns of the recent warming of the Amazon forest

[1] In recent years, several studies have addressed the response of Amazonian forests to drought by analyzing anomalies in vegetation indices retrieved from satellite sensors. Attention was paid to Amazonia because of two major droughts in 2005 and 2010, which were considered amongst the most severe in a century. These drought events have been associated with increased tree mortality and a temporary shutdown of the Amazon carbon sink. The mortality has been attributed to water stress anomalies, though an additional effect might have resulted from thermal anomalies. Variations in surface temperature are believed to be closely related to drought events, but very few studies have analyzed this variable over the Amazonian region. Here we examine Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) land surface temperature (LST) products from the period 2000–2012 in Amazonia. We detected anomalous warming during the dry season (July to September) in the drought years 2005 and 2010, as well as in the years 2009, 2011, and 2012 and to a lesser extent in 2008, which implies anomalous warming in 5 of the last 7 years. Recent analysis also shows warming in 2012 from June to August. Land and sea temperature records were also examined using reanalysis data from 1979 to present. Our results show good agreement between MODIS LST and reanalysis data from 2000 to present and a clear link between warming over the Amazonian region and anomalies in sea surface temperature in both the Atlantic and Pacific regions.

[1]  Eric A Davidson,et al.  Drought effects on litterfall, wood production and belowground carbon cycling in an Amazon forest: results of a throughfall reduction experiment , 2008, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[2]  Tim E. Jupp,et al.  Increasing risk of Amazonian drought due to decreasing aerosol pollution , 2008 .

[3]  D. Roberts,et al.  On intra-annual EVI variability in the dry season of tropical forest A case study with MODIS and hyperspectral data , 2011 .

[4]  F. Woodward,et al.  Dynamic responses of terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycling to global climate change , 1998, Nature.

[5]  S. Hagemann,et al.  Can climate trends be calculated from reanalysis data , 2004 .

[6]  P. Sen Estimates of the Regression Coefficient Based on Kendall's Tau , 1968 .

[7]  R. Betts,et al.  Climate Change, Deforestation, and the Fate of the Amazon , 2008, Science.

[8]  Y. Malhi,et al.  Spatial patterns and recent trends in the climate of tropical rainforest regions. , 2004, Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences.

[9]  R. Betts,et al.  Acceleration of global warming due to carbon-cycle feedbacks in a coupled climate model , 2000, Nature.

[10]  Stephen Sitch,et al.  Multiple mechanisms of Amazonian forest biomass losses in three dynamic global vegetation models under climate change. , 2010, The New phytologist.

[11]  R. DeFries,et al.  The Amazon basin in transition , 2012, Nature.

[12]  A. Huete,et al.  Amazon Forests Green-Up During 2005 Drought , 2007, Science.

[13]  J. Terborgh,et al.  Drought Sensitivity of the Amazon Rainforest , 2009, Science.

[14]  G. Alberti Climate change, deforestation and the fate of Amazon , 2008 .

[15]  O. Phillips,et al.  The 2010 Amazon Drought , 2011, Science.

[16]  O. Phillips,et al.  Effect of 7 yr of experimental drought on vegetation dynamics and biomass storage of an eastern Amazonian rainforest. , 2010, The New phytologist.

[17]  Kun Yang,et al.  Evaluations of Land-Ocean Skin Temperatures of the ISCCP Satellite Retrievals and the NCEP and ERA Reanalyses , 2008 .

[18]  R. Betts,et al.  Amazonian forest dieback under climate-carbon cycle projections for the 21st century , 2004 .

[19]  Jean-François Mahfouf,et al.  The representation of soil moisture freezing and its impact on the stable boundary layer , 1999 .

[20]  P. Atkinson,et al.  Amazon vegetation greenness as measured by satellite sensors over the last decade , 2011 .

[21]  Scott J Goetz,et al.  Seasonal and interannual variability of climate and vegetation indices across the Amazon , 2010, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[22]  Pedro Viterbo,et al.  An Improved Land Surface Parameterization Scheme in the ECMWF Model and Its Validation. , 1995 .

[23]  J. Thepaut,et al.  The ERA‐Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system , 2011 .

[24]  M. Pagani,et al.  Effects of Rapid Global Warming at the Paleocene-Eocene Boundary on Neotropical Vegetation , 2010, Science.

[25]  Z. Wan Collection-5 MODIS Land Surface Temperature Products Users' Guide , 2006 .

[26]  S. Ganguly,et al.  Amazon forests did not green‐up during the 2005 drought , 2009 .

[27]  Dar A. Roberts,et al.  Remotely sensed heat anomalies linked with Amazonian forest biomass declines , 2011 .

[28]  S. Hagemann,et al.  Sensitivity of the ERA40 reanalysis to the observing system: determination of the global atmospheric circulation from reduced observations , 2004 .

[29]  Nicolas Barbier,et al.  Remote sensing detection of droughts in Amazonian forest canopies. , 2010, The New phytologist.

[30]  M. Kendall Rank Correlation Methods , 1949 .

[31]  D. Bromwich,et al.  Strong Trends in the Skill of the ERA-40 and NCEP–NCAR Reanalyses in the High and Midlatitudes of the Southern Hemisphere, 1958–2001* , 2004 .

[32]  C. Nobre,et al.  The Drought of Amazonia in 2005 , 2008 .

[33]  G. Asner,et al.  Drought impacts on the Amazon forest: the remote sensing perspective. , 2010, The New phytologist.

[34]  S. Ganguly,et al.  Widespread decline in greenness of Amazonian vegetation due to the 2010 drought , 2011 .

[35]  K. Trenberth,et al.  Observations: Surface and Atmospheric Climate Change , 2007 .

[36]  Yang-Won Lee,et al.  A study on the relationship between Atlantic sea surface temperature and Amazonian greenness , 2010, Ecol. Informatics.

[37]  Chris Huntingford,et al.  Amazon Basin climate under global warming: the role of the sea surface temperature , 2008, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[38]  C. D. Keeling,et al.  Tropical rain forest tree growth and atmospheric carbon dynamics linked to interannual temperature variation during 1984–2000 , 2003, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.