State of the Art of Flood Forecasting - from Deterministic to Probabilistic Approaches
暂无分享,去创建一个
De Roo Arie | Thielen Del Pozo Jutta | Pappenberger Florian | Salamon Peter | Burek Peter Andreas | Bogner Konrad
[1] Jeffrey L. Anderson. A Method for Producing and Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts from Ensemble Model Integrations , 1996 .
[2] Soroosh Sorooshian,et al. Effect of rainfall‐sampling errors on simulations of desert flash floods , 1994 .
[3] David A. Marks,et al. Evaluation of Radar Rainfall Products: Lessons Learned from the NASA TRMM Validation Program in Florida , 2006 .
[4] T. Hamill. Interpretation of Rank Histograms for Verifying Ensemble Forecasts , 2001 .
[5] Jutta Thielen,et al. Aims, challenges and progress of the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX) following the third HEPEX workshop held in Stresa 27 to 29 June 2007 , 2008 .
[6] K. Bogner,et al. Error‐correction methods and evaluation of an ensemble based hydrological forecasting system for the Upper Danube catchment , 2008 .
[7] E. Todini. Hydrological catchment modelling: past, present and future , 2007 .
[8] Keith Beven,et al. The future of distributed models: model calibration and uncertainty prediction. , 1992 .
[9] R. Meneghini,et al. Validation of TRMM Precipitation Radar through Comparison of Its Multiyear Measurements with Ground-Based Radar , 2009 .
[10] S. Sorooshian,et al. Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall‐runoff models , 1992 .
[11] Dong-Jun Seo,et al. A Nonparametric Postprocessor for Bias Correction of Hydrometeorological and Hydrologic Ensemble Forecasts , 2010 .
[12] S. Sorooshian,et al. Comparison of simple versus complex distributed runoff models on a midsized semiarid watershed , 1994 .
[13] K. Beven,et al. Development of a European flood forecasting system , 2003 .
[14] Todini,et al. Coupling meteorological and hydrological models for flood forecasting , 2005 .
[15] J. Thielen,et al. The European Flood Alert System – Part 1: Concept and development , 2008 .
[16] Thomas M. Hamill,et al. Comparison of Ensemble-MOS Methods Using GFS Reforecasts , 2007 .
[17] Göran Lindström,et al. Development of an automatic calibration scheme for the HBV hydrological model , 1997 .
[18] Jutta Thielen,et al. The european flood alert system EFAS - Part 2: statistical skill assessment of probabilistic and deterministic operational forecasts. , 2008 .
[19] Florian Pappenberger,et al. New dimensions in early flood warning across the globe using grand‐ensemble weather predictions , 2008 .
[20] U. Germann,et al. Radar precipitation measurement in a mountainous region , 2006 .
[21] E. Roulin,et al. Skill and relative economic value of medium-range hydrological ensemble predictions , 2006 .
[22] Denis A. Hughes,et al. Comparison of satellite rainfall data with observations from gauging station networks , 2006 .
[23] G. Pegram,et al. Combining radar and rain gauge rainfall estimates using conditional merging , 2005 .
[24] Eugenia Kalnay,et al. Operational Ensemble Prediction at the National Meteorological Center: Practical Aspects , 1993 .
[25] Witold F. Krajewski,et al. Lidar-Based Estimation of Small-Scale Rainfall: Empirical Evidence , 2009 .
[26] S. Vogt,et al. MAP D‐PHASE: real‐time demonstration of hydrological ensemble prediction systems , 2008 .
[27] Renate Hagedorn,et al. Probabilistic Forecast Calibration Using ECMWF and GFS Ensemble Reforecasts. Part I: Two-Meter Temperatures , 2008 .
[28] W. Krajewski,et al. On the estimation of radar rainfall error variance , 1999 .
[29] J. Schaake,et al. Correcting Errors in Streamflow Forecast Ensemble Mean and Spread , 2008 .
[30] Maria-Helena Ramos,et al. Development of decision support products based on ensemble forecasts in the European flood alert system , 2007 .
[31] Edmund C. Penning-Rowsell,et al. The Benefits of Flood Warnings: Real But Elusive, and Politically Significant , 2000 .
[32] R. Buizza,et al. The Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction EXperiment (HEPEX) , 2006 .
[33] Florian Pappenberger,et al. Ensemble flood forecasting: a review. , 2009 .
[34] R. T. Clarke,et al. Adaptive hydrological forecasting—a review / Revue des méthodes de prévision hydrologique ajustables , 1981 .
[35] Andrew S. Jones,et al. A Blended Satellite Total Precipitable Water Product for Operational Forecasting , 2007 .
[36] Philippe Gourbesville,et al. Calibration of physically based models: back to basics? , 2003 .
[37] D. Kavetski,et al. Confronting Input Uncertainty in Environmental Modelling , 2013 .
[38] Daniel S. Wilks,et al. Comparison of ensemble‐MOS methods in the Lorenz '96 setting , 2006 .
[39] Jens Christian Refsgaard,et al. Validation and Intercomparison of Different Updating Procedures for Real-Time Forecasting , 1997 .
[40] Qingyun Duan,et al. An integrated hydrologic Bayesian multimodel combination framework: Confronting input, parameter, and model structural uncertainty in hydrologic prediction , 2006 .
[41] Witold F. Krajewski,et al. Radar hydrology: rainfall estimation. , 2002 .
[42] Keith Beven,et al. Equifinality, data assimilation, and uncertainty estimation in mechanistic modelling of complex environmental systems using the GLUE methodology , 2001 .
[43] J. Jaime Gómez-Hernández,et al. A non-parametric automatic blending methodology to estimate rainfall fields from rain gauge and radar data , 2009 .
[44] Quanxi Shao,et al. An improved statistical approach to merge satellite rainfall estimates and raingauge data. , 2010 .
[45] Florian Pappenberger,et al. Monthly‐, medium‐, and short‐range flood warning: testing the limits of predictability , 2009 .
[46] A. Hollingsworth,et al. Probabilistic Predictions of Precipitation Using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System , 1999 .
[47] Roman Krzysztofowicz,et al. A bivariate meta-Gaussian density for use in hydrology , 1997 .
[48] Keith Beven,et al. The sensitivity of hydrological models to spatial rainfall patterns: an evaluation using observed data , 1994 .
[49] E. Todini,et al. Influence of parameter estimation uncertainty in Kriging: Part 2 - Test and case study applications , 2001 .
[50] F. Molteni,et al. The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: Methodology and validation , 1996 .
[51] Clifford F. Mass,et al. Measuring the Ensemble Spread–Error Relationship with a Probabilistic Approach: Stochastic Ensemble Results , 2007 .
[52] R. Buizza,et al. A Comparison of the ECMWF, MSC, and NCEP Global Ensemble Prediction Systems , 2005 .
[53] L. Feyen,et al. Assessing parameter, precipitation, and predictive uncertainty in a distributed hydrological model using sequential data assimilation with the particle filter , 2009 .
[54] Peter J. Webster,et al. A 1–10-Day Ensemble Forecasting Scheme for the Major River Basins of Bangladesh: Forecasting Severe Floods of 2003–07* , 2010 .
[55] J. McBride,et al. Verification of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts from Operational Numerical Weather Prediction Models over Australia , 2000 .
[56] Renate Hagedorn,et al. Probabilistic Forecast Calibration Using ECMWF and GFS Ensemble Reforecasts. Part II: Precipitation , 2008 .
[57] S. Sorooshian,et al. A Shuffled Complex Evolution Metropolis algorithm for optimization and uncertainty assessment of hydrologic model parameters , 2002 .
[58] U. Germann,et al. REAL—Ensemble radar precipitation estimation for hydrology in a mountainous region , 2009 .
[59] Patrick Arnaud,et al. Influence of rainfall spatial variability on flood prediction , 2002 .
[60] Roman Krzysztofowicz,et al. Bayesian theory of probabilistic forecasting via deterministic hydrologic model , 1999 .
[61] Matteo Monai,et al. Quantitative comparison of radar QPE to rain gauges for the 26 September 2007 Venice Mestre flood , 2010 .
[62] Florian Pappenberger,et al. The Skill of ECMWF Precipitation and Temperature Predictions in the Danube Basin as Forcings of Hydrological Models , 2009 .
[63] Victor Koren,et al. Runoff response to spatial variability in precipitation: an analysis of observed data , 2004 .