Fractional Deterministic Factor Analysis of Economic Processes with Memory and Nonlocality

In this paper, we describe an application of the fractional calculus to factor analysis of dynamic systems in economy. Basic concepts and methods that allow us to take into account the effects of memory and nonlocality in deterministic factor analysis are suggested. These methods give a quantitative description of the influence of individual factors on the change of the effective economic indicator. We suggested two methods of fractional integro-differentiation of non-integer order for the deterministic factor analysis of economic processes. It has been shown that these methods, which are based on the integro-differentiation of non-integer order, can give more accurate results than the standard methods of factor analysis, which are based on differentiation and integration of integer orders.

[1]  Vasily E. Tarasov,et al.  Fractional Dynamics of Natural Growth and Memory Effect in Economics , 2016 .

[2]  Xavier Gabaix,et al.  Power Laws in Economics: An Introduction , 2016 .

[3]  Vasily E. Tarasov,et al.  Economic Growth Model with Constant Pace and Dynamic Memory , 2017 .

[4]  R. Gorenflo,et al.  Fractional calculus and continuous-time finance II: the waiting-time distribution , 2000, cond-mat/0006454.

[5]  V. E. Tarasov Fractional Vector Calculus and Fractional Maxwell's Equations , 2008, 0907.2363.

[6]  V. E. Tarasov,et al.  Logistic map with memory from economic model , 2017, 1712.09092.

[7]  Vasily E. Tarasov,et al.  On chain rule for fractional derivatives , 2016, Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul..

[8]  Vasily E. Tarasov,et al.  Economic interpretation of fractional derivatives , 2017, 1712.09575.

[9]  F. Mainardi Fractional Calculus and Waves in Linear Viscoelasticity: An Introduction to Mathematical Models , 2010 .

[10]  Vasily E. Tarasov,et al.  No violation of the Leibniz rule. No fractional derivative , 2013, Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul..

[11]  Vasily E. Tarasov,et al.  Concept of dynamic memory in economics , 2018, Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul..

[12]  N. Laskin Fractional market dynamics , 2000 .

[13]  V. E. Tarasov,et al.  Time-dependent fractional dynamics with memory in quantum and economic physics , 2017 .

[14]  R. Gorenflo,et al.  Fractional calculus and continuous-time finance , 2000, cond-mat/0001120.

[15]  I. Podlubny Fractional differential equations , 1998 .

[16]  Xavier Gabaix,et al.  Power Laws in Economics and Finance , 2009 .

[17]  J. A. Tenreiro Machado,et al.  Pseudo Phase Plane and Fractional Calculus modeling of western global economic downturn , 2015, Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul..

[18]  Vasily E. Tarasov,et al.  Leibniz rule and fractional derivatives of power functions , 2016 .

[19]  Vasily E. Tarasov,et al.  Elasticity for economic processes with memory: Fractional differential calculus approach , 2016 .

[20]  V. E. Tarasov Fractional Dynamics: Applications of Fractional Calculus to Dynamics of Particles, Fields and Media , 2011 .

[21]  Vasily E. Tarasov,et al.  Dynamic intersectoral models with power-law memory , 2017, Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul..

[22]  Vasily E. Tarasov,et al.  Economic Accelerator with Memory: Discrete Time Approach , 2016 .

[23]  V. E. Tarasov,et al.  Long and Short Memory in Economics: Fractional-Order Difference and Differentiation , 2016, 1612.07903.

[24]  Zaid M. Odibat,et al.  Generalized Taylor's formula , 2007, Appl. Math. Comput..

[25]  José António Tenreiro Machado,et al.  Fractional State Space Analysis of Economic Systems , 2015, Entropy.

[26]  V. Uchaikin Fractional Derivatives for Physicists and Engineers , 2013 .

[27]  Enrico Scalas,et al.  Fractional Calculus and Continuous-Time Finance III : the Diffusion Limit , 2001 .

[28]  Ricardo Almeida,et al.  A Caputo fractional derivative of a function with respect to another function , 2016, Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul..

[29]  José António Tenreiro Machado,et al.  Fractional Dynamics in Financial Indices , 2012, Int. J. Bifurc. Chaos.

[30]  E. C. Oliveira,et al.  Fractional Versions of the Fundamental Theorem of Calculus , 2013 .

[31]  K. Diethelm The Analysis of Fractional Differential Equations: An Application-Oriented Exposition Using Differential Operators of Caputo Type , 2010 .