The Emergence of Probability. A Philosophical Study of Early Ideas about Probability, Induction and Statistical Inference

1. An absent family of ideas 2. Duality 3. Opinion 4. Evidence 5. Signs 6. The first calculations 7. The Roannez circle (1654) 8. The great decision (1658?) 9. The art of thinking (1662) 10. Probability and the law (1665) 11. Expectation (1657) 12. Political arithmetic (1662) 13. Annuities (1671) 14. Equipossibility (1678) 15. Inductive logic 16. The art of conjecturing (1692[?] published 1713) 17. The first limit theorem 18. Design 19. Induction (1737) Bibliography Index.