Critical Component Analysis in Cascading Failures for Power Grids Using Community Structures in Interaction Graphs

Cascading phenomena have been studied extensively in various networks. Particularly, it has been shown that the community structures in networks impact their cascade processes. However, the role of community structures in cascading failures in power grids have not been studied heretofore. In this paper, cascading failures in power grids are studied using interaction graphs. Key evidence has been provided that the community structures in interaction graphs bear critical information about the cascade process and the role of system components in cascading failures in power grids. Furthermore, a centrality measure based on the community structures is proposed to identify critical components of the system, which their protection can help in containing failures within a community and prevent the propagation of failures to large sections of the power grid. Various criticality evaluation techniques, including data driven, epidemic simulation based, power system simulation based, and graph based, have been used to verify the importance of the identified critical components in the cascade process and compare them with those identified by traditional centrality measures. Moreover, it has been shown that the loading level of the power grid impacts the interaction graph and consequently, the community structure and criticality of the components in the cascade process.

[1]  Boleslaw K. Szymanski,et al.  Overlapping community detection in networks: The state-of-the-art and comparative study , 2011, CSUR.

[2]  Yang Yang,et al.  Small vulnerable sets determine large network cascades in power grids , 2017, Science.

[3]  Haibo He,et al.  Multi-Contingency Cascading Analysis of Smart Grid Based on Self-Organizing Map , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Information Forensics and Security.

[4]  Jure Leskovec,et al.  The dynamics of viral marketing , 2005, EC '06.

[5]  Majeed M. Hayat,et al.  Impacts of operating characteristics on sensitivity of power grids to cascading failures , 2016, 2016 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting (PESGM).

[6]  M. Shahidehpour,et al.  Direct Calculation of Line Outage Distribution Factors , 2009, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[7]  Nasir Ghani,et al.  Impacts of Operators’ Behavior on Reliability of Power Grids During Cascading Failures , 2018, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[8]  Fei Xue,et al.  Structural vulnerability of power systems: A topological approach , 2011 .

[9]  Peter Crossley,et al.  Identification of Critical Transmission Lines in Complex Power Networks , 2017 .

[10]  Ming Tang,et al.  An Efficient Immunization Strategy for Community Networks , 2013, PloS one.

[11]  Kai Sun,et al.  An Interaction Model for Simulation and Mitigation of Cascading Failures , 2014, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[12]  Junbo Zhao,et al.  A Novel Cascading Faults Graph Based Transmission Network Vulnerability Assessment Method , 2018, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[13]  Haibo He,et al.  Supplementary File : Revealing Cascading Failure Vulnerability in Power Grids using Risk-Graph , 2013 .

[14]  Bin Liu,et al.  Recognition and Vulnerability Analysis of Key Nodes in Power Grid Based on Complex Network Centrality , 2018, IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems II: Express Briefs.

[15]  Harry Eugene Stanley,et al.  Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks , 2009, Nature.

[16]  Ian Dobson,et al.  Obtaining Statistics of Cascading Line Outages Spreading in an Electric Transmission Network From Standard Utility Data , 2015, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[17]  Zhaoyu Wang,et al.  Can an influence graph driven by outage data determine transmission line upgrades that mitigate cascading blackouts? , 2018, 2018 IEEE International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS).

[18]  I. Dobson,et al.  Estimating the Propagation and Extent of Cascading Line Outages From Utility Data With a Branching Process , 2012, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[19]  Ian Dobson,et al.  "Dual Graph" and "Random Chemistry" Methods for Cascading Failure Analysis , 2013, 2013 46th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences.

[20]  Alessandro Vespignani Modelling dynamical processes in complex socio-technical systems , 2011, Nature Physics.

[21]  ZiNan Chang,et al.  Epidemic spreading in weighted homogeneous networks with community structure , 2014 .

[22]  A-L Barabási,et al.  Structure and tie strengths in mobile communication networks , 2006, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[23]  Anna Scaglione,et al.  Electrical centrality measures for electric power grid vulnerability analysis , 2010, 49th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control (CDC).

[24]  Zhao Yang,et al.  A Comparative Analysis of Community Detection Algorithms on Artificial Networks , 2016, Scientific Reports.

[25]  Mahshid Rahnamay-Naeini,et al.  Designing cascade-resilient interdependent networks by optimum allocation of interdependencies , 2016, 2016 International Conference on Computing, Networking and Communications (ICNC).

[26]  Filippo Menczer,et al.  Virality Prediction and Community Structure in Social Networks , 2013, Scientific Reports.

[27]  Quan Chen,et al.  Composite Power System Vulnerability Evaluation to Cascading Failures Using Importance Sampling and Antithetic Variates , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[28]  Yang Yang,et al.  Vulnerability and co-susceptibility determine the size of network cascades , 2017, Physical review letters.

[29]  Seth Blumsack,et al.  A Centrality Measure for Electrical Networks , 2008, Proceedings of the 41st Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS 2008).

[30]  Massimo Marchiori,et al.  Model for cascading failures in complex networks. , 2004, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[31]  Di Wu,et al.  Extended Topological Metrics for the Analysis of Power Grid Vulnerability , 2012, IEEE Systems Journal.

[32]  Santo Fortunato,et al.  Community detection in networks: A user guide , 2016, ArXiv.

[33]  Yonggang Wen,et al.  Community detection in weighted networks: Algorithms and applications , 2013, 2013 IEEE International Conference on Pervasive Computing and Communications (PerCom).

[34]  G. Andersson,et al.  Transmission Line Conductor Temperature Impact on State Estimation Accuracy , 2007, 2007 IEEE Lausanne Power Tech.

[35]  R D Zimmerman,et al.  MATPOWER: Steady-State Operations, Planning, and Analysis Tools for Power Systems Research and Education , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[36]  Michalis Vazirgiannis,et al.  Clustering and Community Detection in Directed Networks: A Survey , 2013, ArXiv.

[37]  Frances M. T. Brazier,et al.  Structural vulnerability assessment of electric power grids , 2013, Proceedings of the 11th IEEE International Conference on Networking, Sensing and Control.

[38]  Benjamin A Carreras,et al.  Complex systems analysis of series of blackouts: cascading failure, critical points, and self-organization. , 2007, Chaos.

[39]  Jun Yang,et al.  Identify critical branches with cascading failure chain statistics and hypertext-induced topic search algorithm , 2017, 2017 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting.

[40]  Chen Liang,et al.  Monotonicity properties and spectral characterization of power redistribution in cascading failures , 2017, 2017 55th Annual Allerton Conference on Communication, Control, and Computing (Allerton).

[41]  P. Hines,et al.  Do topological models provide good information about electricity infrastructure vulnerability? , 2010, Chaos.

[42]  Upama Nakarmi,et al.  Analyzing Power Grids’ Cascading Failures and Critical Components using Interaction Graphs , 2018, 2018 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting (PESGM).

[43]  Martin Rosvall,et al.  Compression of flow can reveal overlapping modular organization in networks , 2011, ArXiv.

[44]  I. Dobson,et al.  Initial review of methods for cascading failure analysis in electric power transmission systems IEEE PES CAMS task force on understanding, prediction, mitigation and restoration of cascading failures , 2008, 2008 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting - Conversion and Delivery of Electrical Energy in the 21st Century.

[45]  Mark S. Granovetter The Strength of Weak Ties , 1973, American Journal of Sociology.

[46]  Nasir Ghani,et al.  Stochastic Analysis of Cascading-Failure Dynamics in Power Grids , 2014, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[47]  Ake J Holmgren,et al.  Using Graph Models to Analyze the Vulnerability of Electric Power Networks , 2006, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[48]  S Arianos,et al.  Power grid vulnerability: a complex network approach. , 2008, Chaos.

[49]  M. Timme,et al.  Critical Links and Nonlocal Rerouting in Complex Supply Networks. , 2015, Physical review letters.

[50]  Paul D. H. Hines,et al.  Cascading Power Outages Propagate Locally in an Influence Graph That is Not the Actual Grid Topology , 2015, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[51]  G. Sheblé,et al.  Power generation operation and control — 2nd edition , 1996 .

[52]  Mahshid Rahnamay Naeini,et al.  Stochastic Dynamics of Cascading Failures in Electric-Cyber Infrastructures , 2014 .

[53]  Johan van Leeuwaarden,et al.  Epidemic spreading on complex networks with community structures , 2016, Scientific Reports.

[54]  Marc Timme,et al.  Dynamically induced cascading failures in power grids , 2017, Nature Communications.

[55]  Yicheng Zhang,et al.  Identifying influential nodes in complex networks , 2012 .

[56]  Marcel Salathé,et al.  Dynamics and Control of Diseases in Networks with Community Structure , 2010, PLoS Comput. Biol..

[57]  Martin Rosvall,et al.  Maps of Information Flow Reveal Community Structure In Complex Networks , 2007 .

[58]  Fang Wu,et al.  Social Networks that Matter: Twitter Under the Microscope , 2008, First Monday.

[59]  Sandip Roy,et al.  The influence model , 2001 .

[60]  Martin Rosvall,et al.  Maps of random walks on complex networks reveal community structure , 2007, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[61]  I. Dobson,et al.  Risk Assessment of Cascading Outages: Methodologies and Challenges , 2012, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[62]  Bernardo A. Huberman,et al.  E-Mail as Spectroscopy: Automated Discovery of Community Structure within Organizations , 2005, Inf. Soc..

[63]  Adam Wierman,et al.  Failure Localization in Power Systems via Tree Partitions , 2018, 2018 IEEE Conference on Decision and Control (CDC).

[64]  Carl T. Bergstrom,et al.  The map equation , 2009, 0906.1405.