Numerical study for reliability assessment of a corroding pipe to flange weld joint over its lifetime

Numerical model of a corroded weld joint connecting pipe to flange using a finite element method was developed, and coupled with usual stress models. The structure material has been characterized experimentally. Monte Carlo simulations, FORM and SORM methods have been applied for estimating reliability and failure probability under corrosion and residual stress effects. A numerical case with various corrosion rates was conducted to determine the reliability of the welded connection pipe to flange. The obtained results show that the heat affected zone is very sensitive to corrosion effects due to the welding process.