A Mathematical Framework for Quantifying and Optimizing Protective Actions for Civil Infrastructure Systems

This article provides a comprehensive framework for conceptualizing, categorizing, and quantifying system performance measures in the presence of uncertain events, component failure, or other disruptions/disasters with the potential to reduce system capacity/performance. The framework clarifies the interrelationships between notions of coping capacity, preparedness, robustness, flexibility, recovery capacity, and resilience, previously espoused as independent measures, and provides a single mathematical decision problem for quantifying these measures congruously and maximizing their values. Required solution methodologies are presented for use in evaluating system performance in terms of these measures and resulting solutions can be exploited to determine an optimal allocation of limited resources to preparedness and response options. A numerical-transportation-related example is provided to illustrate its application. Results of this application offer insights into these various performance measures, their relationships, and the relative importance of preparedness and response actions.

[1]  Kelly Pitera,et al.  Structuring a Definition of Resilience for the Freight Transportation System , 2009 .

[2]  A. Nagurney,et al.  Robustness of transportation networks subject to degradable links , 2007 .

[3]  Elise Miller-Hooks,et al.  Resilience: An Indicator of Recovery Capability in Intermodal Freight Transport , 2012, Transp. Sci..

[4]  Alexander Gutfraind,et al.  Optimizing Topological Cascade Resilience Based on the Structure of Terrorist Networks , 2009, PloS one.

[5]  Miguel J. Bagajewicz,et al.  On the Generalized Benders Decomposition , 1991 .

[6]  Yasunori Iida,et al.  BASIC CONCEPTS AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS OF ROAD NETWORK RELIABILITY ANALYSIS , 1999 .

[7]  R. Wets,et al.  L-SHAPED LINEAR PROGRAMS WITH APPLICATIONS TO OPTIMAL CONTROL AND STOCHASTIC PROGRAMMING. , 1969 .

[8]  Elise Miller-Hooks,et al.  Measuring and maximizing resilience of freight transportation networks , 2012, Comput. Oper. Res..

[9]  Rüdiger Schultz,et al.  Dual decomposition in stochastic integer programming , 1999, Oper. Res. Lett..

[10]  Satish V. Ukkusuri,et al.  Robust Transportation Network Design Under Demand Uncertainty , 2007, Comput. Aided Civ. Infrastructure Eng..

[11]  Katja Berdica,et al.  AN INTRODUCTION TO ROAD VULNERABILITY: WHAT HAS BEEN DONE, IS DONE AND SHOULD BE DONE , 2002 .

[12]  Edward K. Morlok,et al.  Measuring capacity flexibility of a transportation system , 2004 .

[13]  C. S. Holling Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems , 1973 .

[14]  Changzheng Liu,et al.  A two-stage stochastic programming model for transportation network protection , 2009, Comput. Oper. Res..

[15]  Yongxi Huang,et al.  Optimal Allocation of Multiple Emergency Service Resources for Protection of Critical Transportation Infrastructure , 2007 .

[16]  Andrew Cox,et al.  Transportation security and the role of resilience: A foundation for operational metrics , 2011 .

[17]  B. Berche,et al.  Resilience of public transport networks against attacks , 2009, 0905.1638.

[18]  Anthony Chen,et al.  Modeling capacity flexibility of transportation networks , 2011 .

[19]  Lindsey R. Barnes,et al.  A place-based model for understanding community resilience to natural disasters , 2008 .

[20]  Reiner Horst,et al.  A new simplicial cover technique in constrained global optimization , 1992, J. Glob. Optim..

[21]  A. Rose DEFINING AND MEASURING ECONOMIC RESILIENCE TO DISASTERS , 2004 .

[22]  R. Tyrrell Rockafellar,et al.  Scenarios and Policy Aggregation in Optimization Under Uncertainty , 1991, Math. Oper. Res..

[23]  A. M. Geoffrion Generalized Benders decomposition , 1972 .

[24]  F. Sibel Salman,et al.  Pre-disaster investment decisions for strengthening a highway network , 2010, Comput. Oper. Res..

[25]  Michel Bruneau,et al.  A Framework to Quantitatively Assess and Enhance the Seismic Resilience of Communities , 2003 .

[26]  Nayel Urena Serulle,et al.  Resiliency of Transportation Network of Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic , 2011 .

[27]  C. Floudas,et al.  Global optimum search for nonconvex NLP and MINLP problems , 1989 .

[28]  Elise Miller-Hooks,et al.  Resilience Framework for Ports and Other Intermodal Components , 2010 .

[29]  Stephanie E. Chang,et al.  Fostering resilience to extreme events within infrastructure systems: Characterizing decision contexts for mitigation and adaptation , 2008 .

[30]  Dingwei Wang,et al.  Resilience and Friability of Transportation Networks: Evaluation, Analysis and Optimization , 2011, IEEE Systems Journal.

[31]  Garth P. McCormick,et al.  Computability of global solutions to factorable nonconvex programs: Part I — Convex underestimating problems , 1976, Math. Program..