Emulating maize yields from global gridded crop models using statistical estimates

The MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change is funded through a consortium of industrial sponsors and Federal grants.

[1]  James W. Jones,et al.  The DSSAT cropping system model , 2003 .

[2]  C. Müller,et al.  Modelling the role of agriculture for the 20th century global terrestrial carbon balance , 2007 .

[3]  Niven Winchester,et al.  The Energy and Economic Impacts of Expanding International Emissions Trading , 2013 .

[4]  S. Hollinger,et al.  ESTIMATING CORN YIELD RESPONSE MODELS TO PREDICT IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE , 1994 .

[5]  Noelle E Selin,et al.  A self-consistent method to assess air quality co-benefits from U.S. climate policies , 2015, Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association.

[6]  Eric Strobl,et al.  The Distributional Impact of Large Dams: Evidence from Cropland Productivity in Africa , 2011 .

[7]  John M. Reilly,et al.  The Contribution of Biomass to Emissions Mitigation under a Global Climate Policy , 2015 .

[8]  C. Simota,et al.  Climate change impact on agricultural crops and adaptation options in Romania , 1999 .

[9]  G. Hoogenboom,et al.  Vulnerability and adaptation assessments of agriculturalcrops under climate change in the Southeastern USA , 2000 .

[10]  E. Strobl,et al.  Is Small Better? A Comparison of the Effect of Large and Small Dams on Cropland Productivity in South Africa , 2013 .

[11]  Jennifer Morris,et al.  Renewables Intermittency: Operational Limits and Implications for Long-Term Energy System Models , 2015 .

[12]  Dieter Gerten,et al.  Emulating global climate change impacts on crop yields , 2015 .

[13]  H. Jacoby,et al.  Expectations for a New Climate Agreement , 2014 .

[14]  Jimmy R. Williams,et al.  GEPIC - modelling wheat yield and crop water productivity with high resolution on a global scale , 2007 .

[15]  Erwan Monier,et al.  Climate change impacts on extreme events in the United States: an uncertainty analysis , 2014, Climatic Change.

[16]  Dara Entekhabi,et al.  An Analogue Approach to Identify Heavy Precipitation Events: Evaluation and Application to CMIP5 Climate Models in the United States , 2014 .

[17]  Sergey Paltsev,et al.  The future of global water stress: An integrated assessment , 2014 .

[18]  Jeffery R. Scott,et al.  Integrated economic and climate projections for impact assessment , 2013, Climatic Change.

[19]  Karl E. Taylor,et al.  An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design , 2012 .

[20]  Jimmy R. Williams,et al.  Simulating soil C dynamics with EPIC: Model description and testing against long-term data , 2006 .

[21]  James W. Jones,et al.  The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP): Protocols and Pilot Studies , 2013 .

[22]  N. Nicholls Increased Australian wheat yield due to recent climate trends , 1997, Nature.

[23]  D. Lobell,et al.  On the use of statistical models to predict crop yield responses to climate change , 2010 .

[24]  Benjamin Smith,et al.  Representation of vegetation dynamics in the modelling of terrestrial ecosystems: comparing two contrasting approaches within European climate space , 2008 .

[25]  N. Nakicenovic,et al.  Scenarios of long-term socio-economic and environmental development under climate stabilization , 2007 .

[26]  D. Lobell,et al.  Climate and Management Contributions to Recent Trends in U.S. Agricultural Yields , 2003, Science.

[27]  Jonathan Seaquist,et al.  Implications of accounting for land use in simulations of ecosystem services and carbon cycling in Africa , 2013 .

[28]  F. Piontek,et al.  A trend-preserving bias correction – the ISI-MIP approach , 2013 .

[29]  Linda O. Mearns,et al.  Comparative responses of EPIC and CERES crop models to high and low spatial resolution climate change scenarios , 1999 .

[30]  R. Prinn,et al.  The Impact of Climate Change on Crop Yields in Sub-Saharan Africa , 2012 .

[31]  Bruno Basso,et al.  of Crop Yield Forecasting Methods and Early Warning Systems , 2013 .

[32]  Ian T. Foster,et al.  The parallel system for integrating impact models and sectors (pSIMS) , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[33]  Niven Winchester,et al.  Limited Sectoral Trading Between The Eu-ets And China , 2013 .

[34]  Valerie J. Karplus,et al.  Interprovincial migration and the stringency of energy policy in China , 2016 .

[35]  C. Field,et al.  Global scale climate–crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming , 2007, Environmental Research Letters.

[36]  Steven R.H. Barrett,et al.  The Impact of Advanced Biofuels on Aviation Emissions and Operations in the U.S. , 2015 .

[37]  C. Adam Schlosser,et al.  Characterization of the Wind Power Resource in Europe and its Intermittency , 2013 .

[38]  James W. Jones,et al.  How do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors? , 2014, Global change biology.

[39]  Jennifer F. Morris,et al.  Electricity Generation and Emissions Reduction Decisions under Policy Uncertainty: A General Equilibrium Analysis , 2014 .

[40]  L. Stokes,et al.  The mercury game: evaluating a negotiation simulation that teaches students about science-policy interactions , 2014, Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences.

[41]  F. Piontek,et al.  The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI–MIP): Project framework , 2013, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[42]  Henry D. Jacoby,et al.  Protection of Coastal Infrastructure under Rising Flood Risk , 2013 .

[43]  D. Deryng,et al.  Simulating the effects of climate and agricultural management practices on global crop yield , 2011 .

[44]  V. Karplus,et al.  Equity and emissions trading in China , 2015, Climatic Change.

[45]  Jeffrey M. Wooldridge,et al.  Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach , 1999 .

[46]  K. Strzepek,et al.  A Framework for Analysis of the Uncertainty of Socioeconomic Growth and Climate Change on the Risk of Water Stress: a Case Study in Asia , 2014 .

[47]  J. Fuhrer,et al.  Statistical crop models: predicting the effects of temperature and precipitation changes , 2012 .

[48]  R. Corobov Estimations of climate change impacts on crop production in the Republic of Moldova , 2002 .

[49]  E. Strobl,et al.  Water availability and crop growth at the crop plot level in South Africa modelled from satellite imagery , 2014, The Journal of Agricultural Science.

[50]  Simon Koesler Specifying Parameters in Computable General Equilibrium Models Using Optimal Fingerprint Detection Methods , 2014 .

[51]  L. S. Pereira,et al.  Crop evapotranspiration : guidelines for computing crop water requirements , 1998 .

[52]  D. Lobell,et al.  Robust negative impacts of climate change on African agriculture , 2010, Environmental Research Letters.

[53]  Jennifer Morris,et al.  The MIT EPPA6 Model: Economic Growth, Energy Use, and Food Consumption , 2015 .

[54]  M. Davidson,et al.  An Integrated Assessment of China's Wind Energy Potential , 2014 .

[55]  Liangzhi You,et al.  Impact of growing season temperature on wheat productivity in China , 2009 .

[56]  K. T. Paw,et al.  Coupling the High Complexity Land Surface Model ACASA to the Mesoscale Model WRF , 2014 .

[57]  Xiliang Zhang,et al.  Modeling Regional Transportation Demand in China and the Impacts of a National Carbon Policy , 2014 .

[58]  Xiliang Zhang,et al.  The energy and CO2 emissions impact of renewable energy development in China , 2014 .

[59]  C. Bozonnat,et al.  Characterization of the Solar Power Resource in Europe and Assessing Benefits of Co-Location with Wind Power Installations , 2014 .

[60]  Andrei P. Sokolov,et al.  A framework for modeling uncertainty in regional climate change , 2014, Climatic Change.

[61]  B. Sohngen,et al.  Towards An Integrated Land Use Database for Assessing the Potential for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation , 2005, GTAP Technical Paper Series.

[62]  C. Müller,et al.  Climate‐driven simulation of global crop sowing dates , 2012 .

[63]  A. Schlosser,et al.  The Potential Wind Power Resource in Australia: A New Perspective , 2014, PloS one.

[64]  Tx Station Stata Statistical Software: Release 7. , 2001 .

[65]  James W. Jones,et al.  Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison , 2013, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[66]  G. Metcalf,et al.  The CO2 Content of Consumption Across US Regions: A Multi-Regional Input-Output (MRIO) Approach , 2017 .

[67]  Edward Miguel,et al.  The Long Run Impact of Bombing Vietnam , 2006 .

[68]  C. Carter,et al.  The Weather Factor and Variability in China's Grain Supply , 1998 .

[69]  George H. Hargreaves,et al.  Reference Crop Evapotranspiration from Temperature , 1985 .

[70]  D. Lobell,et al.  Nonlinear heat effects on African maize as evidenced by historical yield trials , 2011 .

[71]  D. Lobell,et al.  Greater Sensitivity to Drought Accompanies Maize Yield Increase in the U.S. Midwest , 2014, Science.