Spinoff Entry in High-tech Industries: Motives and Consequences

Various theories have been advanced for why employees leave incumbent firms to found firms in the same industry, which we call spinoffs. We review the accumulating evidence about spinoffs in various high-tech industries, highlighting the central role often played by disagreements. Because existing theories have ignored them, we develop the foundations of a model of spinoff formation driven by disagreements. Doing so proves to be rather challenging, because disagreements are not possible among rational actors that talk to each other. We introduce a minimal degree of non-rationality, based on the concept of solipsism, and ask whether such a concept is capable of generating predictions consistent with the empirical literature.

[1]  Wei Jiang,et al.  Analysts' Weighting of Private and Public Information , 2003 .

[2]  Bruno Cassiman,et al.  Optimal Project Rejection and New Firm Start-Ups , 2002, Manag. Sci..

[3]  H. Stanley,et al.  On the Size Distribution of Business Firms , 2008 .

[4]  April Franco,et al.  Knowledge Diffusion through Employee Mobility , 2000 .

[5]  R. Aumann Common priors: A reply to Gul , 1998 .

[6]  April Franco,et al.  KNOWLEDGE TRANSFER THROUGH INHERITANCE: SPIN- OUT GENERATION, DEVELOPMENT, AND SURVIVAL , 2004 .

[7]  David M. Kreps,et al.  Speculative Investor Behavior in a Stock Market with Heterogeneous Expectations , 1978 .

[8]  Differing Priors ESSAYS ON THE MANAGERIAL IMPLICATIONS OF , 2001 .

[9]  F. Lad,et al.  Approximating the Distribution for Sums of Products of Normal Variables , 2003 .

[10]  R. McKelvey,et al.  Common Knowledge, Consensus, and Aggregate Information , 1986 .

[11]  Toby E. Stuart,et al.  Liquidity Events and the Geographic Distribution of Entrepreneurial Activity , 2003 .

[12]  Christopher L. Tucci Incumbent Entry into New Market Niches , 2001 .

[13]  Kim B. Clark,et al.  Architectural Innovation: The Reconfiguration of Existing Product Technologies and the Failure of , 1990 .

[14]  A. General,et al.  Holmes, Thomas J. , 1861 .

[15]  Lowell W. Busenitz,et al.  Differences between entrepreneurs and managers in large organizations: Biases and heuristics in strategic decision-making , 1997 .

[16]  Manuel Amador,et al.  Entrepreneurial Pressure and Innovation , 2003 .

[17]  Warren Keuffel,et al.  Inside Intel , 1999 .

[18]  Polly S Nichols,et al.  Agreeing to disagree. , 2005, General dentistry.

[19]  Peter Thompson,et al.  Selection and Firm Survival: Evidence from the Shipbuilding Industry, 18251914 , 2005, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[20]  S. Morris The Common Prior Assumption in Economic Theory , 1995, Economics and Philosophy.

[21]  M. Tushman,et al.  Technological Discontinuities and Organizational Environments , 1986 .

[22]  Faruk Gul A Comment on Aumann's Bayesian View , 1998 .

[23]  Christopher L. Tucci,et al.  Incumbent Entry into New Market Niches: The Role of Experience and Managerial Choice in the Creation of Dynamic Capabilities , 2002, Manag. Sci..

[24]  Ronald J. Gilson,et al.  Why Start-Ups? , 1999 .

[25]  C. Craig On the Frequency Function of $xy$ , 1936 .

[26]  M. Lerner,et al.  Frontiers of Entrepreneurship Research , 2003 .

[27]  Terrance Odean,et al.  Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders are Above Average , 1998 .

[28]  Damon J. Phillips A Genealogical Approach to Organizational Life Chances: The Parent-Progeny Transfer among Silicon Valley Law Firms, 1946–1996 , 2002 .

[29]  Kent D. Daniel,et al.  A Theory of Overconfidence, Self-Attribution, and Security Market Under- and Over-Reactions , 1997 .

[30]  Thomas Hellmann,et al.  When Do Employees Become Entrepreneurs? , 2007, Manag. Sci..

[31]  Åsa Lindholm,et al.  The Economics of Technology-Related Ownership Changes : A Study of Innovativeness and Growth through Acquisitions and Spin-offs , 1994 .

[32]  Steven Klepper,et al.  Firm Survival and the Evolution of Oligopoly , 2002 .

[33]  Steven Klepper,et al.  Entry by Spinoffs , 2005, Manag. Sci..

[34]  S. Wiggins,et al.  ENTREPRENEURIAL ENTERPRISES, ENDOGENOUS OWNERSHIP, AND THE LIMITS TO FIRM SIZE , 1995 .

[35]  Clayton M. Christensen The Rigid Disk Drive Industry: A History of Commercial and Technological Turbulence , 1993, Business History Review.

[36]  Carolyn Y. Woo,et al.  Entrepreneurs' perceived chances for success , 1988 .

[37]  Charles A. Holt,et al.  Information Cascades in the Laboratory , 1998 .

[38]  Steven Klepper,et al.  The capabilities of new firms and the evolution of the US automobile industry , 2002 .

[39]  G. Evans A Theory of Entrepreneurship , 1942, The Journal of Economic History.

[40]  R. Aumann Correlated Equilibrium as an Expression of Bayesian Rationality Author ( s ) , 1987 .

[41]  Douglas W. Dwyer,et al.  A Bayesian Learning Model Fitted to a Variety of Empirical Learning Curves , 1995 .

[42]  J. Geanakoplos,et al.  We Can't Disagree Forever , 1982 .

[43]  Leo A. Aroian,et al.  The probability function of the product of two normally distributed variables. , 1947 .

[44]  Steven Klepper,et al.  Dominance by birthright: entry of prior radio producers and competitive ramifications in the U. S. , 2000 .

[45]  N. Weinstein Unrealistic optimism about future life events , 1980 .

[46]  Glenn R. Carroll,et al.  The fates of De Novo and De Alio producers in the American Automobile Industry 1885–1981 , 2007 .

[47]  Steven Klepper,et al.  PRE-ENTRY EXPERIENCE AND FIRM PERFORMANCE IN THE EVOLUTION OF THE U.S. AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY , 2004 .

[48]  Z. Kunda,et al.  Motivated inference: Self-serving generation and evaluation of causal theories. , 1987 .

[49]  Ulrike Malmendier,et al.  CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment , 2002 .

[50]  David A. Garvin,et al.  Spin-offs and the New Firm Formation Process , 1983 .

[51]  Shmuel Nitzan,et al.  Optimum Contracts for Research Personnel, Research Employment, and the Establishment of "Rival" Enterprises , 1982, Journal of Labor Economics.

[52]  Thomas J. Holmes,et al.  A Theory of Entrepreneurship and Its Application to the Study of Business Transfers , 1990, Journal of Political Economy.

[53]  George A. Akerlof Labor Contracts as Partial Gift Exchange , 1982 .

[54]  Josh Lerner,et al.  Entrepreneurial Spawning: Public Corporations and the Genesis of New Ventures, 1986-1999 , 2003 .

[55]  S. Klepper The Organizing and Financing of Innovative Companies in the Evolution of the U.S. Automobile Industry , 2007 .

[56]  P. Geroski What do we know about entry , 1995 .

[57]  James J. Anton,et al.  Start-ups, Spin-offs, and Internal Projects , 1995 .

[58]  Denis Gromb,et al.  Entrepreneurship in Equilibrium , 2002 .

[59]  R. Thaler,et al.  Financial Decision-Making in Markets and Firms: A Behavioral Perspective , 1994 .