Intuition, risk, and the formation of online trust

Models of consumer trust decision-making assume the use of deliberative processes.Associative intuition plays an essential role in risky online purchase decisions.Risk asymmetrically affects deliberation and intuition decision processes.Implications for website design are discussed. Understanding how consumers evaluate website trustworthiness is a critical factor for online vendors. The dominant view espouses a deliberative trust formation process whereby shoppers evaluate security certificates, return policies, user feedback and the like, implying a highly rational underlying trust calculus. In this paper we use a laboratory experiment to explore an alternative perspective, based on the non-rational associative reasoning approach. Our findings show that when faced with a no-risk hypothetical decision about whether or not they would purchase a book from an online bookseller, subjects' decision-making processes were indeed consistent with the dominant deliberative view. However, when confronted with a decision entailing risk (i.e., sharing sensitive personal information with an unknown website), subjects became reliant on their non-rational, gut-level intuition. We adopt a dual-process reasoning theory to make sense of these findings, and recommend that vendors take into account associative reasoning factors when designing online interfaces. Future research directions are provided.

[1]  Hock-Hai Teo,et al.  The Value of Privacy Assurance: An Exploratory Field Experiment , 2007, MIS Q..

[2]  Izak Benbasat,et al.  The Effects of Personalizaion and Familiarity on Trust and Adoption of Recommendation Agents , 2006, MIS Q..

[3]  D. Hothersall History of Psychology , 1984 .

[4]  A. Sanfey,et al.  Friend or foe: The effect of implicit trustworthiness judgments in social decision-making , 2008, Cognition.

[5]  Leif D. Nelson,et al.  Intuitive confidence: choosing between intuitive and nonintuitive alternatives. , 2006, Journal of experimental psychology. General.

[6]  Gitte Lindgaard,et al.  Attention web designers: You have 50 milliseconds to make a good first impression! , 2006, Behav. Inf. Technol..

[7]  René Riedl,et al.  Are There Neural Gender Differences in Online Trust? An fMRI Study on the Perceived Trustworthiness of eBay Offers , 2010, MIS Q..

[8]  N. L. Chervany,et al.  Initial Trust Formation in New Organizational Relationships , 1998 .

[9]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Conditions for intuitive expertise: a failure to disagree. , 2009, The American psychologist.

[10]  T. Gilovich,et al.  People's intuitions about intuitive insight and intuitive choice. , 2010, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[11]  Janine Willis,et al.  First Impressions , 2006, Psychological science.

[12]  Sung-joon Yoon,et al.  The antecedents and consequences of trust in online-purchase decisions , 2002 .

[13]  Charles J. Kacmar,et al.  Developing and Validating Trust Measures for e-Commerce: An Integrative Typology , 2002, Inf. Syst. Res..

[14]  Y. Rogers,et al.  Interaction Design , 2002 .

[15]  D. Berry,et al.  Were the Physiognomists Right? , 1989 .

[16]  Bettina Berendt,et al.  E-privacy in 2nd generation E-commerce: privacy preferences versus actual behavior , 2001, EC '01.

[17]  Serena Chen,et al.  Transference in social perception: the role of chronic accessibility in significant-other representations. , 1995, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[18]  Colin M. Macleod Half a century of research on the Stroop effect: an integrative review. , 1991, Psychological bulletin.

[19]  ปิยดา สมบัติวัฒนา Behavioral Game Theory: Experiments in Strategic Interaction , 2013 .

[20]  Lori N. K. Leonard Attitude Influencers in C2C E-Commerce: Buying and Selling , 2012, J. Comput. Inf. Syst..

[21]  R. Baumeister,et al.  Self-regulation and depletion of limited resources: does self-control resemble a muscle? , 2000, Psychological bulletin.

[22]  Jason Bennett Thatcher,et al.  Swift Trust in Web Vendors: The Role of Appearance and Functionality , 2009, J. Organ. End User Comput..

[23]  Paul A. Pavlou,et al.  Building Effective Online Marketplaces with Institution-Based Trust , 2004, Inf. Syst. Res..

[24]  Tao Zhou,et al.  Examining online consumers’ initial trust building from an elaboration likelihood model perspective , 2014, Information Systems Frontiers.

[25]  Jon M. Werner,et al.  Managers as Initiators of Trust: An Exchange Relationship Framework for Understanding Managerial Trustworthy Behavior , 1998 .

[26]  Charles F. Hofacker,et al.  Customer Information Sharing with E-Vendors: The Roles of Incentives and Trust , 2010, Int. J. Electron. Commer..

[27]  Sirkka L. Jarvenpaa,et al.  Perils of Internet fraud: an empirical investigation of deception and trust with experienced Internet consumers , 2000, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part A.

[28]  A. Tversky,et al.  Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment , 1983 .

[29]  A. Tversky,et al.  Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment , 1983 .

[30]  Sirkka L. Jarvenpaa,et al.  Consumer Trust in an Internet Store: A Cross-Cultural Validation , 2006, J. Comput. Mediat. Commun..

[31]  Steven John Simon,et al.  The impact of culture and gender on web sites: an empirical study , 2000, DATB.

[32]  M. Banaji,et al.  When fair is foul and foul is fair: reverse priming in automatic evaluation. , 1999, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[33]  Shyh-Rong Fang,et al.  ANTECEDENTS AND DISTINCTIONS BETWEEN ONLINE TRUST AND DISTRUST: PREDICTING HIGH- AND LOW-RISK INTERNET BEHAVIORS , 2013 .

[34]  Norman L. Chervany,et al.  What Trust Means in E-Commerce Customer Relationships: An Interdisciplinary Conceptual Typology , 2001, Int. J. Electron. Commer..

[35]  F. Sultan,et al.  Are the Drivers and Role of Online Trust the Same for All Web Sites and Consumers? A Large-Scale Exploratory Empirical Study , 2005 .

[36]  Paurav Shukla,et al.  The impact of organizational efforts on consumer concerns in an online context , 2014, Inf. Manag..

[37]  Jagdip Singh,et al.  Consumer Trust, Value, and Loyalty in Relational Exchanges , 2002 .

[38]  R. Lazarus Emotion and Adaptation , 1991 .

[39]  John R. Hauser,et al.  Morph the Web to Build Empathy, Trust and Sales , 2009 .

[40]  Dianne Cyr,et al.  Localization of Web design: An empirical comparison of German, Japanese, and United States Web site characteristics , 2004, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[41]  S. Andersen,et al.  Eliciting facial affect, motivation, and expectancies in transference: significant-other representations in social relations. , 1996, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[42]  N. L. Chervany,et al.  Initial trust formation in new organizational relationships, Academy of Management Review, , . , 1998 .

[43]  Leo Van Hove,et al.  The Effect of Website Design Dimensions on Initial Trust: A Synthesis of the Empirical Literature , 2011 .

[44]  Jeffrey V. Butler,et al.  The role of intuition and reasoning in driving aversion to risk and ambiguity , 2011 .

[45]  Marcel Creemers,et al.  Understanding online purchase intentions: contributions from technology and trust perspectives , 2003, Eur. J. Inf. Syst..

[46]  D. Ellsberg Decision, probability, and utility: Risk, ambiguity, and the Savage axioms , 1961 .

[47]  N. L. Chervany,et al.  THE MEANINGS OF TRUST , 2000 .

[48]  C. Jayawardhena,et al.  e-Consumer Behaviour , 2009 .

[49]  J. Shah The Automatic Pursuit and Management of Goals , 2005 .

[50]  Dianne Cyr,et al.  Beyond Trust: Web Site Design Preferences Across Cultures , 2005, J. Glob. Inf. Manag..

[51]  Catherine C. Eckel,et al.  The Value of a Smile: Game Theory with a Human Face , 2001 .

[52]  A. Einstein,et al.  Einstein and the Poet: In Search of the Cosmic Man , 1983 .

[53]  R. Frank,et al.  The evolution of one-shot cooperation: An experiment , 1993 .

[54]  Lance A. Young,et al.  Trust and Credit: The Role of Appearance in Peer-to-peer Lending , 2012 .

[55]  P. Devine Stereotypes and prejudice: Their automatic and controlled components. , 1989 .

[56]  Detmar W. Straub,et al.  Trust and TAM in Online Shopping: An Integrated Model , 2003, MIS Q..

[57]  Chien-Hung Lin,et al.  How does background music tempo work for online shopping? , 2012, Electron. Commer. Res. Appl..

[58]  Sarah J. S. Wilner,et al.  Networked Narratives: Understanding Word-of-Mouth Marketing in Online Communities , 2009 .

[59]  Jonathan Evans Dual-processing accounts of reasoning, judgment, and social cognition. , 2008, Annual review of psychology.

[60]  Norbert Schwarz,et al.  If It's Difficult to Pronounce, It Must Be Risky , 2009, Psychological science.

[61]  David Gefen,et al.  The impact of personal dispositions on information sensitivity, privacy concern and trust in disclosing health information online , 2010, Decis. Support Syst..

[62]  Izak Benbasat,et al.  Understanding Customer Trust in Agent-Mediated Electronic Commerce, Web-Mediated Electronic Commerce, and Traditional Commerce , 2004, Inf. Technol. Manag..

[63]  Matthew D. Lieberman,et al.  Evidence-based and intuition-based self-knowledge: an FMRI study. , 2004, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[64]  P. Tetlock,et al.  Accounting for the effects of accountability. , 1999, Psychological bulletin.

[65]  J. Keith Murnighan,et al.  What's in a name? Subliminally activating trusting behavior , 2010 .

[66]  D. R. Danielson,et al.  How do users evaluate the credibility of Web sites?: a study with over 2,500 participants , 2003, DUX '03.

[67]  Dianne Cyr,et al.  Colour appeal in website design within and across cultures: A multi-method evaluation , 2010, Int. J. Hum. Comput. Stud..

[68]  P. Phillips,et al.  Age and gender differences in preferences for rational and experiential thinking , 2010 .

[69]  Wolfgang Jank,et al.  Research Note - The Value of Third-Party Assurance Seals in Online Retailing: An Empirical Investigation , 2013, Inf. Syst. Res..

[70]  Hong Sheng,et al.  Effects of Web Atmospheric Cues on Users' Emotional Responses in E-Commerce , 2012 .

[71]  James C. Wetherbe,et al.  International Journal of Information Management Examining Online Consumers' Behavior: a Service-oriented View , 2022 .

[72]  Alice H. Eagly,et al.  Heuristic and systematic information processing within and beyond the persuasion context. , 1989 .

[73]  Marios Koufaris,et al.  The development of initial trust in an online company by new customers , 2004, Inf. Manag..

[74]  Michael H. Zack,et al.  Integrating Innovation Style and Knowledge Into Strategy , 2008 .

[75]  Steven Walczak,et al.  The relationship between website quality, trust and price premiums at online auctions , 2010, Electron. Commer. Res..

[76]  Dianne Cyr,et al.  The impact of task framing and viewing timing on user website perceptions and viewing behavior , 2013, Int. J. Hum. Comput. Stud..

[77]  Ray L. Benedicktus Psychological distance perceptions and trust beliefs for internet-only and hybrid retailers: implications for marketers , 2008 .

[78]  Samer Faraj,et al.  The Role of Intermediaries in the Development of Trust on the WWW: The Use and Prominence of Trusted Third Parties and Privacy Statements , 2006, J. Comput. Mediat. Commun..

[79]  D. Gefen,et al.  E-commerce: the role of familiarity and trust , 2000 .

[80]  A. Damasio,et al.  Deciding Advantageously Before Knowing the Advantageous Strategy , 1997, Science.

[81]  David M. Boush,et al.  Objective-Source Ratings , and Implied Investments in Advertising : Investigating Online , 2006 .

[82]  Helen Kelley,et al.  Research Commentary - Generalizability of Information Systems Research Using Student Subjects - A Reflection on Our Practices and Recommendations for Future Research , 2012, Inf. Syst. Res..

[83]  S. Sloman The empirical case for two systems of reasoning. , 1996 .

[84]  Dane K. Peterson,et al.  Privacy Policy Statements and Consumer Willingness to Provide Personal Information , 2006, J. Electron. Commer. Organ..

[85]  Daniel M. Oppenheimer,et al.  Overcoming intuition: metacognitive difficulty activates analytic reasoning. , 2007, Journal of experimental psychology. General.

[86]  Henry H. Emurian,et al.  Trust in E-Commerce: Consideration of Interface Design Factors , 2005, J. Electron. Commer. Organ..

[87]  Venkatesh Shankar,et al.  Online trust: a stakeholder perspective, concepts, implications, and future directions , 2002, J. Strateg. Inf. Syst..

[88]  A. Tversky,et al.  Heuristics and Biases: Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning , 2002 .