Demographic models and IPCC climate projections predict the decline of an emperor penguin population
暂无分享,去创建一个
Hal Caswell | Henri Weimerskirch | Christophe Barbraud | Stéphanie Jenouvrier | M. Holland | H. Caswell | H. Weimerskirch | C. Barbraud | S. Jenouvrier | Marika Holland | Julienne Strœve | Julienne Strœve
[1] J. Burton,et al. Birds and climate change , 1995 .
[2] W. R. Fraser,et al. Effects of sea-ice extent and krill or salp dominance on the Antarctic food web , 1997, Nature.
[3] B. Sæther,et al. AVIAN LIFE HISTORY VARIATION AND CONTRIBUTION OF DEMOGRAPHIC TRAITS TO THE POPULATION GROWTH RATE , 2000 .
[4] S. Rodionov. A sequential algorithm for testing climate regime shifts , 2004 .
[5] S. Solomon. The Physical Science Basis : Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , 2007 .
[6] H. Weimerskirch,et al. Antarctic birds breed later in response to climate change. , 2006, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
[7] Vincent R. Gray. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Summary for Policymakers , 2007 .
[8] M. Holland,et al. Twentieth century simulation of the southern hemisphere climate in coupled models. Part II: sea ice conditions and variability , 2006 .
[9] P. Lundberg,et al. From climate change to population change: the need to consider annual life cycles , 2006 .
[10] Marcel E Visser,et al. Keeping up with a warming world; assessing the rate of adaptation to climate change , 2008, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.
[11] H. Goosse,et al. Analysis of the projected regional sea-ice changes in the Southern Ocean during the twenty-first century , 2007 .
[12] E. Murphy,et al. Environmental Change and Antarctic Seabird Populations , 2002, Science.
[13] W. Sutherland,et al. Climate Influences on avian population dynamics , 2004 .
[14] P. Ponganis,et al. Trends in western Ross Sea emperor penguin chick abundances and their relationships to climate , 2007, Antarctic Science.
[15] J. Copas. Plotting p against x , 1983 .
[16] P. Jouventin. Mortality parameters in Emperor penguins Aptenodytes forsteri , 1975 .
[17] D. Réale,et al. Keeping Pace with Fast Climate Change: Can Arctic Life Count on Evolution?1 , 2004, Integrative and comparative biology.
[18] N. Stenseth,et al. King penguin population threatened by Southern Ocean warming , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
[19] Bernard Cazelles,et al. Modelling population dynamics of seabirds: importance of the effects of climate fluctuations on breeding proportions , 2005 .
[20] C. Both,et al. Global Climate Change Leads to Mistimed Avian Reproduction , 2004 .
[21] R. McCleery,et al. Adaptive Phenotypic Plasticity in Response to Climate Change in a Wild Bird Population , 2008, Science.
[22] M. Harris,et al. The Biology of Penguins , 1976 .
[23] O. Phillips,et al. Extinction risk from climate change , 2004, Nature.
[24] S. Engen,et al. Population dynamical consequences of climate change for a small temperate songbird. , 2000, Science.
[25] H. Weimerskirch,et al. LONG‐TERM CONTRASTED RESPONSES TO CLIMATE OF TWO ANTARCTIC SEABIRD SPECIES , 2005 .
[26] Takashi Saitoh,et al. Constraints to projecting the effects of climate change on mammals , 2006 .
[27] C. Gilbert,et al. Foraging movements of emperor penguins at Pointe Géologie, Antarctica , 2007, Polar Biology.
[28] S. Amstrup,et al. Polar bears in the southern Beaufort Sea II: Demography and population growth in relation to sea ice conditions , 2007 .
[29] V. Land,et al. Management Plan for Antarctic Specially Protected Area No . 165 EDMONSON , 2011 .
[30] P. Holgate,et al. Matrix Population Models. , 1990 .
[31] B. Kendall,et al. Longevity can buffer plant and animal populations against changing climatic variability. , 2008, Ecology.
[32] A. Lombarte,et al. Daily ration of Antarctic silverfish ( Pleuragramma antarcticum Boulenger, 1902) in the Eastern Weddell Sea , 2004 .
[33] H. L. Miller,et al. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis , 2007 .
[34] K. Arrigo,et al. Decadal-scale changes in the climate and biota of the Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean, 1950s to the 1990s , 2005, Antarctic Science.
[35] D. Etheridge,et al. Recent southern Indian Ocean climate variability inferred from a Law Dome ice core: new insights for the interpretation of coastal Antarctic isotopic records , 2003 .
[36] Y. Cherel. Isotopic niches of emperor and Adélie penguins in Adélie Land, Antarctica , 2008 .
[37] S. Solomon. IPCC (2007): Climate Change The Physical Science Basis , 2007 .
[38] Henri Weimerskirch,et al. Emperor penguins and climate change , 2001, Nature.