Quantification of capacity credit and reserve requirements from the large scale integration of wind energy in the french power system

The paper presents results of a detailed study carried out to simulate the integration of large amount of wind power in the French power system. The targets set for France are between 10_000 and 14_000 MW of installed wind capacity by year 2010. In order to simulate the projected wind production, hourly wind speed measurements from 40 sites spread over the country and covering a period of 3 years are used. The data reflect both temporal and spatial correlations that are proper to the climate conditions in France. Then, realistic scenarios are built for the installation of several levels of wind power based on appropriate assumptions. The simulation of each scenario provides a detailed profile of the wind production at a national level. The paper presents the level of guaranteed wind power that is provided for given probability for each scenario. The variability of the production is analyzed in order to define the reserve or storage requirements to achieve a secure integration of wind power. Finally, an analysis is presented on how wind generation can be integrated in the national power generation mix in France.

[1]  Georges Kariniotakis,et al.  An advanced On-line Wind Resource Prediction system for the optimal management of wind park , 2002 .

[2]  Pierre Pinson,et al.  On‐line assessment of prediction risk for wind power production forecasts , 2003 .

[3]  M. Trovato,et al.  Technical Issues for Wind Energy Integration in Power Systems: Projections in Italy , 2003 .

[4]  R. Castro,et al.  A Comparison Between Chronological and Probabilistic Methods to Estimate Wind Power Capacity Credit , 2001, IEEE Power Engineering Review.

[5]  M. O'Malley,et al.  Quantifying reserve demands due to increasing wind power penetration , 2003, 2003 IEEE Bologna Power Tech Conference Proceedings,.

[6]  Arthouros Zervos,et al.  Developing wind energy to meet the Kyoto targets in the European union , 2003 .

[7]  Gregor Giebel,et al.  The State-Of-The-Art in Short-Term Prediction of Wind Power. A Literature Overview , 2003 .

[8]  Luís Ferreira,et al.  Capacity credit for renewable energy resources , 1999, IEEE Power Engineering Society. 1999 Winter Meeting (Cat. No.99CH36233).

[9]  Graham,et al.  An Enumerated Probabilistic Simulation Technique and Case Study: Integrating Wind Power into Utility Production Cost Models , 1996 .

[10]  Michael Milligan,et al.  Modeling Utility-Scale Wind Power Plants Part 2: Capacity Credit , 2000 .

[11]  R. Billinton,et al.  Power system reliability and its assessment. I. Background and generating capacity , 1992 .

[12]  Mark Diesendorf,et al.  The Capacity Credit of Wind Power: A Theoretical Analysis , 2018, Renewable Energy.