Liquidity constraints and the permanent-income hypothesis: Evidence from panel data

Abstract Several recent studies have rejected the permanent-income hypothesis using aggregate time-series data. One explanation for this rejection is that some households are liquidity-constrained. This study directly tests for liquidity constraints using panel data on individual households. It finds no evidence of liquidity constraints and suggests that the failure of the permanent-income hypothesis in aggregate data may be due to aggregation bias. The paper also contains an extended discussion of econometric methods for panel-data rational-expectations models.

[1]  S. Zeldes Consumption and Liquidity Constraints: An Empirical Investigation , 1989, Journal of Political Economy.

[2]  W. F. Maunder,et al.  The Design of Economic Accounts. , 1971 .

[3]  H. White Asymptotic theory for econometricians , 1985 .

[4]  Whitney K. Newey,et al.  Maximum Likelihood Specification Testing and Conditional Moment Tests , 1985 .

[5]  R. Michener Permanent income in general equilibrium , 1984 .

[6]  F. Hayashi Tests for Liquidity Constraints: a Critical Survey , 1985 .

[7]  L. Hansen Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators , 1982 .

[8]  Matthew D. Shapiro,et al.  THE PERMANENT INCOME HYPOTHESIS AND THE REAL INTEREST RATE Some Evidence From Panel Data , 1984 .

[9]  W. Newey,et al.  A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelationconsistent Covariance Matrix , 1986 .

[10]  M. Eichenbaum,et al.  A Time Series Analysis of Representative Agent Models of Consumption Andleisure Choice Under Uncertainty , 1986 .

[11]  Mark Rubinstein,et al.  An aggregation theorem for securities markets , 1974 .

[12]  Joseph G. Altonji,et al.  Testing the Response of Consumption to Income Changes with (Noisy) Paneldata , 1986 .

[13]  M. Arellano,et al.  Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations , 1991 .

[14]  Frederic S. Mishkin,et al.  The Sensitivity of Consumption to Transitory Income: Estimates from Panel Data on Households , 1980 .

[15]  L. Hansen,et al.  Generalized Instrumental Variables Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models , 1982 .

[16]  S. Zeldes,et al.  Optimal Consumption with Stochastic Income: Deviations from Certainty Equivalence , 1989 .

[17]  D. Hamermesh,et al.  The Costs of Worker Displacement , 1984 .

[18]  David E. Runkle,et al.  Testing the Rationality of Price Forecasts: New Evidence from Panel Data , 1990 .

[19]  Sanford J. Grossman,et al.  The Determinants of the Variability of Stock Market Prices , 1980 .

[20]  L. Ball INTERTEMPORAL SUBSTITUTION AND CONSTRAINTS ON LABOR SUPPLY: EVIDENCE FROM PANEL DATA , 1990 .

[21]  Marno Verbeek,et al.  Can cohort data be treated as genuine panel data? , 1992 .

[22]  N. Mankiw The permanent income hypothesis and the real interest rate , 1981 .

[23]  John Huizinga,et al.  Two-Step Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation in Models with Rational Expectations , 1983 .

[24]  J. Hausman Specification tests in econometrics , 1978 .

[25]  M. King,et al.  Asset Holdings and the Life Cycle , 1982 .

[26]  Jerry A. Hausman,et al.  Panel Data and Unobservable Individual Effects , 1981 .