Going against the flow: potential mechanisms for unexpected downslope range shifts in a warming climate

J. Lenoir (lenoir.john@gmail.com), The Ecoinformatics & Biodiversity Group, Dept of Biological Sciences, Aarhus Univ., Ny Munkegade 114,DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark and AgroParisTech, UMR1092 AgroParisTech-INRA, Laboratoire d’Etude des Ressources Foreˆt-Bois (LERFoB),14 rue Girardet, FR-54000 Nancy, France. J.-C. Ge´gout, AgroParisTech, UMR1092 AgroParisTech-INRA, Laboratoire d’Etude desRessources Foreˆt-Bois (LERFoB), 14 rue Girardet, FR-54000 Nancy, France, and Center for Advanced Studies in Ecology and Biodiversity(CASEB), Depto de Ecologia, Pontificia Univ., Cato´lica de Chile, Alameda 340 C.P. 6513677, Santiago, Chile. A. Guisan, Fac. of Biologyand Medicine, Dept of Ecology & Evolution, Univ. of Lausanne, Baˆtiment Biophore, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland. P. Vittoz, Fac. ofBiology and Medicine, Dept of Ecology & Evolution, Univ. of Lausanne, Baˆtiment Biophore, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland and Fac. ofGeosciences and Environment, Univ. of Lausanne, Baˆtiment Biophore, CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland. T. Wohlgemuth and N. E.Zimmermann, Swiss Federal Research Inst. for Forest Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Zu¨rcherstrasse 111, CH-8903 Birmensdorf,Switzerland. S. Dullinger, Vienna Inst. for Nature Conservation and Analyses, Giessergasse 6/7, AT-1090 Vienna, Austria, and Fac. Centrefor Biodiversity, Dept of Conservation Biology, Vegetation and Landscape Ecology, Univ. of Vienna, Rennweg 14, AT-1030 Vienna, Austria. H. Pauli, Inst. of Mountain Research: Man and the Environment (IGF) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences, c/o Fac. Centre for Biodiversity,Dept of Conservation Biology, Vegetation and Landscape Ecology, Univ. of Vienna, Rennweg 14, AT-1030 Vienna, Austria. W. Willner,Vienna Inst. for Nature Conservation and Analyses, Giessergasse 6/7, AT-1090 Vienna, Austria. J.-C. Svenning, The Ecoinformatics &Biodiversity Group, Dept of Biological Sciences, Aarhus Univ., Ny Munkegade 114, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark.

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