Department of Economics Working Paper Series Learning by Doing and Aggregate Fluctuations Learning by Doing and Aggregate Fluctuations Learning by Doing and Aggregate Fluctuations Ii. Previous Studies of Learning by Doing

A major unresolved issue in business cycle theory is the construction of an endogenous propagation mechanism capable of capturing the amount of persistence displayed in the data. In this paper we explore the quantitative implications of one propagation mechanism: learning by doing. Estimation of the parameters characterizing learning by doing is based both on aggregate 2-digit data and plant level observations in the US. The estimated learning by doing function is then integrated into a stochastic growth model in which fluctuations are driven by technology shocks. We conclude that learning by doing can be a powerful mechanism for generating endogenous persistence.

[1]  Charles I. Plosser,et al.  Growth and Business Cycles I. The Basic Neoclassical Model , 1988 .

[2]  Timothy Cogley,et al.  Output Dynamics in Real-Business-Cycle Models , 1993 .

[3]  Martin Eichenbaum,et al.  Factor Hoarding and the Propagation of Business Cycles Shocks , 1994 .

[4]  Lawrence J. Christiano,et al.  The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: Some Evidence from the Flow of Funds , 1996 .

[5]  M. Letendre,et al.  Labour Market Dynamics in RBC Models , 2001 .

[6]  Susanto Basu,et al.  Procyclical Productivity: Increasing Returns or Cyclical Utilization? , 1995 .

[7]  S. Basu Procyclical Productivity: Overhead Inputs or Cyclical Utilization , 1993 .

[8]  W. Gray,et al.  The NBER Manufacturing Productivity Database , 1996 .

[9]  Lawrence I. Clxistiaoo,et al.  Current Real Business Cycle Theories and Aggregate Labor Market Fiuctaationr , 1990 .

[10]  Susanto Basu,et al.  Are Apparent Productive Spillovers a Figment of Specification Error? , 1994 .

[11]  Martin Eichenbaum,et al.  Labor Hoarding and the Business Cycle , 1990, Journal of Political Economy.

[12]  Douglas W. Dwyer,et al.  A Bayesian Learning Model Fitted to a Variety of Empirical Learning Curves , 1995 .

[13]  T. P. Wright,et al.  Factors affecting the cost of airplanes , 1936 .

[14]  Sergio Rebelo,et al.  Production, growth and business cycles: II. New directions , 1988 .

[15]  Peter J. Klenow,et al.  Learning-by-Doing Spillovers in the Semiconductor Industry , 1994, Journal of Political Economy.

[16]  Warren Bower New directions , 1937 .

[17]  Andrew John,et al.  Coordinating Coordination Failures in Keynesian Models , 1988 .

[18]  Robert E. Hall,et al.  Macroeconomic Fluctuations and the Allocation of Time , 1997, Journal of Labor Economics.

[19]  Ron S. Jarmin,et al.  Learning by Doing and Competition in the Early Rayon Industry , 1994 .

[20]  Martin Eichenbaum,et al.  Is Theory Really Ahead of Measurement? Current Real Business Cycle Theories and Aggregate Labor Market Fluctuations , 1988 .

[21]  Julio J. Rotemberg,et al.  Real-Business-Cycle Models and the Forecastable Movements in Output, Hours, and Consumption , 1996 .

[22]  Russell Cooper,et al.  Dynamic Complementarities: A Quantitative Analysis , 1996 .

[23]  Michael Gort,et al.  Decomposing Learning by Doing in New Plants , 1993, Journal of Political Economy.

[24]  Marianne Baxter,et al.  Productive externalities and business cycles , 1991 .

[25]  Bruce D. Meyer,et al.  Unemployment Insurance, Recall Expectations, and Unemployment Outcomes , 1988 .

[26]  Russell Cooper,et al.  Evidence on Macroeconomic Complementarities , 1993 .

[27]  Martin Eichenbaum,et al.  Capital Utilization and Returns to Scale , 1995, NBER Macroeconomics Annual.