A transferability evaluation model for intellectual property

Abstract As a type of intellectual property rights, patents are a vast source of human-generated technological knowledge; as such, patent evaluations from various perspectives have long been of primary interest to researchers. However, although patents are transferable assets with economic and technological value, limited attention has been paid to the possibility of realizing a patent’s potential through its transaction. Consequently, this study develops a patent transferability evaluation model by applying deep neural networks (DNNs) to various patent indicators and the corresponding historical patent rights transaction data. To this end, this study (1) constructs a patent database with patents and their corresponding historical patent rights transaction data from the Korean Patent Office database; (2) defines how to extract a variety of patent indicators related to patent transferability that do not depend on forward citations; (3) builds a patent transferability evaluation model based on DNN; and (4) validates the performance and effectiveness of the developed model. This study contributes to the literature by being one of the first to quantitatively evaluate patents in terms of transferability and, thus, the proposed model can be used for valuing patents and distinguishing quality patents that are marketable.

[1]  Daniele Rotolo,et al.  Determinants of Patent Citations in Biotechnology: An Analysis of Patent Influence Across the Industrial and Organizational Boundaries , 2014, ArXiv.

[2]  Yi Shen,et al.  Loss functions for binary classification and class probability estimation , 2005 .

[3]  Michel Verleysen,et al.  Mutual information for the selection of relevant variables in spectrometric nonlinear modelling , 2006, ArXiv.

[4]  J Rees,et al.  Intellectual property , 2001, The Lancet.

[5]  Mark A. Schankerman,et al.  Characteristics of patent litigation: a window on competition , 2001 .

[6]  Yoshua Bengio,et al.  Gradient-based learning applied to document recognition , 1998, Proc. IEEE.

[7]  Calvin S. Weng,et al.  A New Comprehensive Patent Analysis Approach for New Product Design in Mechanical Engineering , 2011 .

[8]  H. Kaiser The Application of Electronic Computers to Factor Analysis , 1960 .

[9]  Alberto Hernandez Neto,et al.  Comparison between detailed model simulation and artificial neural network for forecasting building energy consumption , 2008 .

[10]  Janghyeok Yoon,et al.  Application technology opportunity discovery from technology portfolios: Use of patent classification and collaborative filtering , 2017 .

[11]  Christian P. Robert,et al.  Machine Learning, a Probabilistic Perspective , 2014 .

[12]  Inseok Song,et al.  Identifying product opportunities using collaborative filtering-based patent analysis , 2017, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[13]  Sidahmed Benabderrahmane,et al.  On the predictive analysis of behavioral massive job data using embedded clustering and deep recurrent neural networks , 2018, Knowl. Based Syst..

[14]  Gülgün Kayakutlu,et al.  Patent value analysis using support vector machines , 2014, Soft Comput..

[15]  Everett M. Rogers,et al.  Lessons learned about technology transfer , 2001 .

[16]  Jeong-Dong Lee,et al.  An in-depth empirical analysis of patent citation counts using zero-inflated count data model: The case of KIST , 2007, Scientometrics.

[17]  David A. Griffith,et al.  The influence of market and cultural environmental factors on technology transfer between foreign MNCs and local subsidiaries: A Croatian illustration , 2006 .

[18]  Reinhilde Veugelers,et al.  In Search of Complementarity in Innovation Strategy: Internal R&D and External Knowledge Acquisition , 2006, Manag. Sci..

[19]  Minghong Chen,et al.  Study on Early Warning of Competitive Technical Intelligence Based on the Patent Map , 2010, J. Comput..

[20]  Z. Griliches,et al.  Citations, Family Size, Opposition and the Value of Patent Rights Have Profited from Comments and Suggestions , 2002 .

[21]  An Gie Yong,et al.  A Beginner's Guide to Factor Analysis: Focusing on Exploratory Factor Analysis , 2013 .

[22]  J. Albors *,et al.  Transnational technology transfer networks for SMEs. A review of the state-of-the art and an analysis of the European IRC network , 2005 .

[23]  H. Ernst,et al.  Patent portfolio analysis as a useful tool for identifying R&D and business opportunities--an empirical application in the nutrition and health industry , 2006 .

[24]  Pascal Vincent,et al.  Representation Learning: A Review and New Perspectives , 2012, IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence.

[25]  Jong Won Seo,et al.  Construction technology valuation for patent transaction , 2010 .

[26]  J A Swets,et al.  Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. , 1988, Science.

[27]  Koenraad Debackere,et al.  Patent Data for Monitoring S&T Portfolios , 2004 .

[28]  Jun Suzuki,et al.  Structural modeling of the value of patent , 2011 .

[29]  Sungjoo Lee,et al.  Technology roadmapping for R&D planning: The case of the Korean parts and materials industry , 2007 .

[30]  Jongtae Shin,et al.  Technological relatedness, boundary-spanning combination of knowledge and the impact of innovation: Evidence of an inverted-U relationship , 2010 .

[31]  Yann Ménière,et al.  Innovation and international technology transfer: The case of the Chinese photovoltaic industry , 2011 .

[32]  Geoffrey E. Hinton,et al.  Learning representations by back-propagating errors , 1986, Nature.

[33]  Alan L. Porter,et al.  Technology life cycle analysis method based on patent documents , 2013 .

[34]  So Young Sohn,et al.  Patent portfolio-based indicators to evaluate the commercial benefits of national plant genetic resources , 2016 .

[35]  Mark A. Lemley,et al.  Examiner Characteristics and Patent Office Outcomes , 2009 .

[36]  D. Opitz,et al.  Popular Ensemble Methods: An Empirical Study , 1999, J. Artif. Intell. Res..

[37]  U. Rajendra Acharya,et al.  Automated detection of coronary artery disease using different durations of ECG segments with convolutional neural network , 2017, Knowl. Based Syst..

[38]  Timo Fischer,et al.  Testing patent value indicators on directly observed patent value—An empirical analysis of Ocean Tomo patent auctions , 2014 .

[39]  Jonghwa Kim,et al.  Technology opportunity discovery (TOD) from existing technologies and products: A function-based TOD framework , 2015 .

[40]  Janghyeok Yoon,et al.  Assessing coreness and intermediarity of technology sectors using patent co-classification analysis: the case of Korean national R&D , 2013, Scientometrics.

[41]  Hélène Delerue,et al.  Shadow of joint patents: Intellectual property rights sharing by SMEs in contractual R&D alliances , 2018, Journal of Business Research.

[42]  Kwangsoo Kim,et al.  Identification of promising patents for technology transfers using TRIZ evolution trends , 2013, Expert Syst. Appl..

[43]  Jan Tobochnik,et al.  Modeling innovation by a kinetic description of the patent citation system , 2005 .

[44]  Jesse Giummo,et al.  German employee inventors’ compensation records: A window into the returns to patented inventions , 2010 .

[45]  Amy J. C. Trappey,et al.  A patent quality analysis for innovative technology and product development , 2012, Adv. Eng. Informatics.

[46]  M. Greiner,et al.  Principles and practical application of the receiver-operating characteristic analysis for diagnostic tests. , 2000, Preventive veterinary medicine.

[47]  M. Reitzig Improving patent valuations for management purposes--validating new indicators by analyzing application rationales , 2004 .

[48]  Jaehyun Choi,et al.  A Predictive Model of Technology Transfer Using Patent Analysis , 2015 .

[49]  Wen-Min Lu,et al.  Intellectual capital and national innovation systems performance , 2014, Knowl. Based Syst..

[50]  Minoo Philipp,et al.  Patent filing and searching: Is deflation in quality the inevitable consequence of hyperinflation in quantity? , 2006 .

[51]  The Transfer of Patents in Imperial Germany , 2010, The Journal of Economic History.

[52]  T. Daim,et al.  Measuring the efficiency of university technology transfer , 2007 .

[53]  Mary Mathew,et al.  Patent Characteristics and the Age‐Value Relationship: Study of Oceantomo Auctioned Us Singleton Patents for the Period 2006–2008 , 2018 .

[54]  Radford M. Neal Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning , 2007, Technometrics.

[55]  Oh-Jin Kwon,et al.  Product opportunity identification based on internal capabilities using text mining and association rule mining , 2016 .

[56]  Henry Chesbrough,et al.  Open Innovation: The New Imperative for Creating and Profiting from Technology , 2003 .

[57]  Stefan Karlsson,et al.  Forecasting incoming call volumes in call centers with recurrent Neural Networks , 2016 .

[58]  D. Kukolj,et al.  Threat of Litigation and Patent Value: What Technology Managers Should Know , 2013 .

[59]  Nasser M. Nasrabadi,et al.  Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning , 2006, Technometrics.

[60]  Lior Rokach,et al.  Ensemble-based classifiers , 2010, Artificial Intelligence Review.

[61]  Wang Jun,et al.  A weighted EMD-based prediction model based on TOPSIS and feed forward neural network for noised time series , 2017, Knowl. Based Syst..

[62]  Stefan Wagner,et al.  Modeling probabilities of patent oppositions in a Bayesian semiparametric regression framework , 2006 .

[63]  Mohammad Sadeghzadeh Maharluie,et al.  Detecting and ranking cash flow risk factors via artificial neural networks technique , 2016 .

[64]  Bruno van Pottelsberghe de la Potterie,et al.  Applications, grants and the value of patent , 2000 .

[65]  Yi-Hsuan Lai,et al.  Modeling patent legal value by Extension Neural Network , 2009, Expert Syst. Appl..

[66]  Xianwen Wang,et al.  Patent co-citation networks of Fortune 500 companies , 2011, Scientometrics.