Principles of forecasting : a handbook for researchers and practitioners

Preface. Dedication. List of Contributors. 1. Introduction J.S. Armstrong. 2. Role-Playing. 3. Intentions. 4. Expert Opinions. 5. Conjoint Analysis. 6. Judgmental Bootstrapping. 7. Analogies. 8. Extrapolation. 9. Rule-based Forecasting. 10. Expert Systems. 11. Econometric Models. 12. Selecting Methods. 13. Integrating, Adjusting, and Combining Procedures. 14. Evaluating Methods. 15. Assessing Uncertainty. 16. Gaining Acceptance. 17. Monitoring Forecasts. 18. Applications of Principles. 19. Diffusion of Principles. 20. Summary. Appendix. Reviewers. Biographical sketches of authors. People Index. Subject Index. The Forecasting Dictionary.

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