Riverine flooding in a warmer Britain

A warmer Britain may also be wetter, at least seasonally, which might suggest that the frequency and magnitude of riverine flooding may increase. It may be difficult, however, to distinguish the effects of climate warming from the effects of continuing land use change, given the naturally stochastic nature of the inputs into hydrological systems. Prediction of the effects of climate change on riverine flooding is clearly very uncertain. These uncertainities need to be assessed, particularly for more extreme events. Further research on data collection techniques and model improvements to reduce levels of predictive uncertainty is required.

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