7 Network Centrality and International Conflict , 1816-2001 : Does it Pay to Be Important ?

The position of states in the international system has long been a topic of interest in the study of world politics. Previous studies investigating the relationship between status inconsistency and international conflict produced largely mixed results. We apply social network analysis to study the relationship between centrality, status inconsistency and conflict at the national, dyadic, and systemic level of analysis. We derive different indices of network centrality and status inconsistency using data on alliance, trade, IGO, religious, and linguistic networks. We find that centrality has some effect on national conflict involvement, but this relationship is not robust across centrality indices and network types. On the other hand, status inconsistency has a robust effect on dispute and war involvement at the national, dyadic, and systemic levels of analysis. We discuss the implications of these results.

[1]  Andrew G. Long,et al.  Alliance Treaty Obligations and Provisions, 1815-1944 , 2002 .

[2]  William Reed,et al.  Regime types and status quo evaluations: Power transition theory and the democratic peace , 1996 .

[3]  R. Gilpin,et al.  The Political Economy of International Relations , 1987 .

[4]  Z. Maoz Domestic sources of global change , 1996 .

[5]  Z. Maoz,et al.  Realist and Cultural Critiques of the Democratic Peace: A Theoretical and Empirical Reassessment , 1998 .

[6]  Henry S. Farber,et al.  Polities and Peace , 1995 .

[7]  Zeev Maoz,et al.  Structural Equivalence and International Conflict , 2006 .

[8]  S. Bremer Dangerous Dyads , 1992 .

[9]  R. Jepperson,et al.  Norms, Identity and Culture in National Security , 1996 .

[10]  Frank Harary,et al.  Status and Contrastatus , 1959 .

[11]  Peter A. Bamberger,et al.  Status inconsistency in organizations: From social hierarchy to stress , 1993 .

[12]  Z. Maoz,et al.  Militarized Interstate Disputes, 1816-1976 , 1984 .

[13]  James Burk,et al.  Ballots and Bullets , 1999 .

[14]  Henry S. Farber,et al.  Common Interests or Common Polities? Reinterpreting the Democratic Peace , 1997, The Journal of Politics.

[15]  J. Bolland,et al.  Sorting out centrality: An analysis of the performance of four centrality models in real and simulated networks , 1988 .

[16]  D. Scott Bennett,et al.  The Behavioral Origins of War , 2003 .

[17]  Thomas J. Volgy,et al.  Status Inconsistency and International War: Exploring the Effects of Systemic Change , 1995 .

[18]  Katherine Barbieri,et al.  The Liberal Illusion: Does Trade Promote Peace? , 2002 .

[19]  Douglas M. Gibler,et al.  Measuring Alliances: the Correlates of War Formal Interstate Alliance Dataset, 1816–2000 , 2004 .

[20]  Reinhard Wolf,et al.  Democratization and the Danger of War , 1995 .

[21]  Zeev Maoz,et al.  International Relations: A Network Approach , 2003 .

[22]  Mark S. Mizruchi,et al.  Influence in Corporate Networks: An Examination of Four Measures. , 1981 .

[23]  C. Gochman Status, conflict, and war : the major powers, 1820-1970 , 1975 .

[24]  Donald F. Gentles The Tragedy of Great Power Politics , 2002 .

[25]  Nathaniel Beck,et al.  Taking Time Seriously: Time-Series-Cross-Section Analysis with a Binary Dependent Variable , 1998 .

[26]  Zeev Maoz,et al.  Pacifism and Fightaholism in International Politics: A Structural History of National and Dyadic Conflict, 1816–1992 , 2004 .

[27]  R. Z. Norman,et al.  Status inconsistency in task situations: A test of four status processing principles. , 1992 .

[28]  Thomas J. Volgy,et al.  Hegemonic and Bipolar Perspectives on the New World Order , 1995 .

[29]  Zeev Maoz,et al.  The onset and initiation of disputes , 1993 .

[30]  S. Karau,et al.  Role congruity theory of prejudice toward female leaders. , 2002, Psychological review.

[31]  Errol A. Henderson The Democratic Peace Through the Lens of Culture, 1820–1989 , 1998 .

[32]  Bruce Russett,et al.  Clash of Civilizations, or Realism and Liberalism Déjà Vu? Some Evidence , 2000 .

[33]  Zeev Maoz,et al.  Normative and Structural Causes of Democratic Peace, 1946–1986 , 1993, American Political Science Review.