S&P 500 Trading Strategies and Stock Betas

this paper shows that S&P 500 stock betas are overstated and the non-S&P 500 stock betas are understated because of liquidity price effects caused by the S&P 500 trading strategies. The daily and weekly betas of stocks added to the S&P 500 index during 1985-1989 increase, on average, by 0.211 and 0.130. The difference between monthly betas of otherwise similar S&P 500 and non-S&P 500 stocks also equals 0.125 during this period. Some of these increases can be explained by the reduced nonsynchroneity of S&P 500 stock prices, but the remaining increases are explained by the price pressure or excess volatility caused by the S&P500 trading strategies. I estimate that theprice pressures accountfor 8.5 percent of the total variance of daily returns of a value-weighted portfolio of NYSE/AMEX stocks. The negative own autocorrelations in S&P 500 index returns and the negative cross autocorrelations between S&P 500 stock returns provide further evidence consistent with the price pressure hypothesis.

[1]  E. Dimson Risk measurement when shares are subject to infrequent trading , 1979 .

[2]  R. Roll,et al.  A Simple Implicit Measure of the Effective Bid-Ask Spread in an Efficient Market , 2008 .

[3]  Myron S. Scholes,et al.  Estimating betas from nonsynchronous data , 1977 .

[4]  K. J. Cohen,et al.  Friction in the trading process and the estimation of systematic risk , 1983 .

[5]  Eduardo S. Schwartz,et al.  Portfolio Insurance and Financial Market Equilibrium , 1989 .

[6]  Josef Lakonishok,et al.  Do Institutional Investors Destabilize Stock Prices? Evidence on Herding and Feedback Trading , 1991 .

[7]  Sanford J. Grossman,et al.  An Analysis of the Implications for Stock and Futures Price Volatility of Program Trading and Dynamic Hedging Strategies , 1987 .

[8]  Alan Kraus,et al.  PRICE IMPACTS OF BLOCK TRADING ON THE NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE , 1972 .

[9]  An Analysis of the Implications for Stock and Futures Price Volatility of Program Trading and Dynamic Hedging Strategies , 1988 .

[10]  David Mayers,et al.  The effect of large block transactions on security prices: A cross-sectional analysis , 1987 .

[11]  L. Harris The economics of cash index alternatives , 1990 .

[12]  Lawrence Harris,et al.  S&P 500 Cash Stock Price Volatilities , 1989 .

[13]  Myron S. Scholes The Market for Securities: Substitution Versus Price Pressure and the Effects of Information on Share Prices , 1972 .

[14]  E. Fama EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* , 1970 .

[15]  George Sofianos,et al.  Program Trading and Intraday Volatility , 1994 .

[16]  Suleyman Basak,et al.  A General Equilibrium Model of Portfolio Insurance , 1995 .

[17]  A. Lo,et al.  An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading , 1989 .

[18]  A. Lo,et al.  When are Contrarian Profits Due to Stock Market Overreaction? , 1989 .

[19]  Gary C. Sanger,et al.  The Puzzle in Post‐Listing Common Stock Returns , 1987 .

[20]  Lawrence Fisher,et al.  Some New Stock-Market Indexes , 1966 .

[21]  Paul H. Kupiec,et al.  A primer on program trading and stock price volatility: a survey of the issues and the evidence , 1990 .

[22]  Sanford J. Grossman Program Trading and Market Volatility: A Report on Interday Relationships , 1988 .

[23]  T. Ho,et al.  Dealer Bid‐Ask Quotes and Transaction Prices: An Empirical Study of Some AMEX Options , 1984 .