Re‐randomization tests in clinical trials

As randomization methods use more information in more complex ways to assign patients to treatments, analysis of the resulting data becomes challenging. The treatment assignment vector and outcome vector become correlated whenever randomization probabilities depend on data correlated with outcomes. One straightforward analysis method is a re-randomization test that fixes outcome data and creates a reference distribution for the test statistic by repeatedly re-randomizing according to the same randomization method used in the trial. This article reviews re-randomization tests, especially in nonstandard settings like covariate-adaptive and response-adaptive randomization. We show that re-randomization tests provide valid inference in a wide range of settings. Nonetheless, there are simple examples demonstrating limitations.

[1]  T M Therneau,et al.  How many stratification factors are "too many" to use in a randomization plan? , 1993, Controlled clinical trials.

[2]  Peter F Thall,et al.  A simulation study of outcome adaptive randomization in multi-arm clinical trials , 2017, Clinical trials.

[3]  Colin B. Begg,et al.  On inferences from Wei's biased coin design for clinical trials , 1990 .

[4]  B. Freidlin,et al.  Outcome--adaptive randomization: is it useful? , 2011, Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology.

[5]  V W Berger,et al.  Pros and cons of permutation tests in clinical trials. , 2000, Statistics in medicine.

[6]  J. Strong,et al.  Reversion of advanced Ebola virus disease in nonhuman primates with ZMapp™ , 2014, Nature.

[7]  D. Berry Adaptive clinical trials: the promise and the caution. , 2011, Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology.

[8]  V. Berger Selection Bias and Covariate Imbalances in Randomized Clinical Trials: Berger/Selection Bias and Covariate Imbalances in Randomized Clinical Trials , 2005 .

[9]  Richard Simon,et al.  Using Randomization Tests to Preserve Type I Error With Response-Adaptive and Covariate-Adaptive Randomization. , 2011, Statistics & probability letters.

[10]  A. V. D. Vaart,et al.  Asymptotic Statistics: Frontmatter , 1998 .

[11]  D R Taves,et al.  Minimization: A new method of assigning patients to treatment and control groups , 1974, Clinical pharmacology and therapeutics.

[12]  M. Proschan,et al.  Cluster without fluster: The effect of correlated outcomes on inference in randomized clinical trials , 2008, Statistics in medicine.

[13]  R. G. Cornell,et al.  Extracorporeal circulation in neonatal respiratory failure: a prospective randomized study. , 1985, Pediatrics.

[14]  Vance W Berger,et al.  The reverse propensity score to detect selection bias and correct for baseline imbalances , 2005, Statistics in medicine.

[15]  Yevgen Tymofyeyev,et al.  Preserving the allocation ratio at every allocation with biased coin randomization and minimization in studies with unequal allocation , 2012, Statistics in medicine.