Earthquake prediction with electromagnetic phenomena

Short-term earthquake (EQ) prediction is defined as prospective prediction with the time scale of about one week, which is considered to be one of the most important and urgent topics for the human beings. If this short-term prediction is realized, casualty will be drastically reduced. Unlike the conventional seismic measurement, we proposed the use of electromagnetic phenomena as precursors to EQs in the prediction, and an extensive amount of progress has been achieved in the field of seismo-electromagnetics during the last two decades. This paper deals with the review on this short-term EQ prediction, including the impossibility myth of EQs prediction by seismometers, the reason why we are interested in electromagnetics, the history of seismo-electromagnetics, the ionospheric perturbation as the most promising candidate of EQ prediction, then the future of EQ predictology from two standpoints of a practical science and a pure science, and finally a brief summary.

[1]  M. Hayakawa Earthquake Prediction with Radio Techniques: Hayakawa/Earthquake Prediction with Radio Techniques , 2015 .

[2]  M. Hayakawa,et al.  The ULF/ELF electromagnetic radiation before the 11 March 2011 Japanese earthquake , 2013 .

[3]  M. Devi,et al.  Over-the-Horizon Anomalous VHF Propagation and Earthquake Precursors , 2012, Surveys in Geophysics.

[4]  M. Hayakawa,et al.  A statistical study on the correlation between lower ionospheric perturbations as seen by subionospheric VLF/LF propagation and earthquakes , 2010, 2011 XXXth URSI General Assembly and Scientific Symposium.

[5]  M. Takada,et al.  Anomalous pre-seismic transmission of VHF-band radio waves resulting from large earthquakes, and its statistical relationship to magnitude of impending earthquakes , 2010 .

[6]  Masashi Kamogawa,et al.  Short-term earthquake prediction: Current status of seismo-electromagnetics , 2009 .

[7]  早川 正士,et al.  Seismo-electromagnetics and related phenomena : history and latest results , 2008 .

[8]  Masashi Hayakawa,et al.  Monitoring of ULF (ultra-low-frequency) Geomagnetic Variations Associated with Earthquakes , 2007, Sensors (Basel, Switzerland).

[9]  Y. Kushida,et al.  POSSIBILITY OF EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY RADIO OBSERVATIONS IN THE VHF BAND , 2002 .

[10]  M. Hayakawa,et al.  On the precursory signature of Kobe earthquake on VLF subionospheric signals , 1997, 1997 Proceedings of International Symposium on Electromagnetic Compatibility.

[11]  Eiji Kawai,et al.  The precursory signature effect of the Kobe earthquake on VLF subionospheric signals , 1996 .

[12]  Kiyohumi Yumoto,et al.  Results of ultra-low-frequency magnetic field measurements during the Guam Earthquake of 8 August 1993 , 1996 .

[13]  Yu. A. Kopytenko,et al.  Detection of ultra-low-frequency emissions connected with the Spitak earthquake and its aftershock activity, based on geomagnetic pulsations data at Dusheti and Vardzia observatories , 1993 .

[14]  M. Ladd,et al.  Low‐frequency magnetic field measurements near the epicenter of the Ms 7.1 Loma Prieta Earthquake , 1990 .