The Simple Economics of Motor Vehicle Pollution: A Case for Fuel Tax

The volume of pollution produced by an automobile is determined by driver's behavior along three margins: (i) vehicle selection, (ii) kilometers driven, and (iii) on-road fuel economy. The first two margins have been studied extensively, however the third has received scant attention. How significant is this 'intensive margin'? What would be the optimal policies when it is taken into account? The paper develops and analyzes a simple model of the technical and behavioral mechanisms that determine the volume emissions produced by a car. The results show that an optimal fuel tax would provide drivers with appropriate incentives along all three margins and that only public information is needed for a fuel tax to be set optimally. In contrast, an optimal distance tax would require private information. Lastly, relative to the optimal fuel tax, a simple uniform fuel tax is shown to be progressive. Thus, being already deployed worldwide, a uniform fuel tax is an attractive second-best policy. These findings should be accounted for when designing new mechanisms to alleviate motor vehicle pollution.

[1]  W James Gauderman,et al.  Childhood Asthma and Exposure to Traffic and Nitrogen Dioxide , 2005, Epidemiology.

[2]  H. Frey,et al.  Fuel use and emissions comparisons for alternative routes, time of day, road grade, and vehicles based on in-use measurements. , 2008, Environmental science & technology.

[3]  M. Frondel,et al.  Fuel Taxes versus Efficiency Standards – An Instrumental Variable Approach , 2013 .

[4]  U. Kunert,et al.  The diverse structures of passenger car taxation in Europe and the EU Commissions proposal for reform , 2007 .

[5]  Richard S.J. Tol,et al.  The marginal damage costs of carbon-dioxide emissions’ , 2005 .

[6]  Yu Zhou,et al.  Modelling of the fuel consumption for passenger cars regarding driving characteristics , 2008 .

[7]  T. Dinan,et al.  Clearing the air: The costs and consequences of higher CAFE standards and increased gasoline taxes , 2005, Controlling Automobile Air Pollution.

[8]  Manuel Frondel,et al.  Heterogeneity in the Rebound Effect – Further Evidence for Germany , 2010 .

[9]  J. Barkenbus Eco-driving: An overlooked climate change initiative , 2010 .

[10]  Manuel Frondel,et al.  Driving for fun? Comparing the effect of fuel prices on weekday and weekend fuel consumption , 2010 .

[11]  L. Friberg [Air pollution]. , 1984, Svenska lakartidningen.

[12]  H Christopher Frey,et al.  Characterization of Real-World Activity, Fuel Use, and Emissions for Selected Motor Graders Fueled with Petroleum Diesel and B20 Biodiesel , 2008, Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association.

[13]  Steven Broekx,et al.  Using on-board logging devices to study the longer-term impact of an eco-driving course , 2009 .

[14]  Z. Ning,et al.  On-road remote sensing of petrol vehicle emissions measurement and emission factors estimation in Hong Kong , 2004 .

[15]  M. Vandenbergh The Carbon-Neutral Individual , 2007 .

[16]  Takao Onoda IEA policies--G8 recommendations and an afterwards , 2009 .

[17]  humAn cArcinogens,et al.  iArc monogrAphs on the evAluAtion oF cArcinogenic risks to humAns , 2012 .

[18]  Zhi Ning,et al.  Experimental and numerical study of the dispersion of motor vehicle pollutants under idle condition , 2005 .

[19]  G. T. Gardner,et al.  Household actions can provide a behavioral wedge to rapidly reduce US carbon emissions , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[20]  R. Pindyck Climate Change Policy: What Do the Models Tell Us? , 2013 .

[21]  M. Frondel,et al.  A regression on climate policy: The European Commission's legislation to reduce CO2 emissions from automobiles , 2011 .

[22]  Michael Toman,et al.  Climate Change Policy , 2000 .

[23]  A. V. Benthem,et al.  What is the optimal speed limit on freeways , 2015 .

[24]  M. Greenstone,et al.  Evidence on the impact of sustained exposure to air pollution on life expectancy from China’s Huai River policy , 2013, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[25]  Winston Harrington,et al.  Should Automobile Fuel Economy Standards be Tightened? , 2007 .

[26]  Randall Guensler,et al.  Analysis of effects of driver/vehicle characteristics on acceleration noise using GPS-equipped vehicles , 2010 .

[27]  André de Palma,et al.  A Handbook of Transport Economics , 2011 .

[28]  G. T. Gardner,et al.  The Short List: The Most Effective Actions U.S. Households Can Take to Curb Climate Change , 2008 .

[29]  David L. Greene,et al.  What is greener than a VMT tax? The case for an indexed energy user fee to finance us surface transportation , 2011 .

[30]  Jeffrey Gonder,et al.  Analyzing Vehicle Fuel Saving Opportunities through Intelligent Driver Feedback , 2012 .

[31]  Does the Effect of Pollution on Infant Mortality Differ between Developing and Developed Countries? Evidence from Mexico City , 2016 .

[32]  Shui Bin,et al.  Consumer lifestyle approach to US energy use and the related CO2 emissions , 2005 .

[33]  Jonathan M. Gilligan,et al.  Individual Carbon Emissions: The Low-Hanging Fruit , 2008 .

[34]  Michael A. Morrisey,et al.  Do higher gasoline taxes save lives , 2006 .

[35]  G. Becker,et al.  Irrational Behavior and Economic Theory , 1962, Journal of Political Economy.

[36]  J DanielKhazzoom An Econometric Model of the Regulated Emissions for Fuel-Efficient New Vehicles , 1995 .

[37]  Robert W. Crandall,et al.  Policy Watch: Corporate Average Fuel Economy Standards , 1992 .

[38]  Andrew N. Kleit,et al.  Impacts of Long-Range Increases in the Fuel Economy (CAFE) Standard , 2004, Controlling Automobile Air Pollution.

[39]  Winston Harrington,et al.  Fuel Economy and Motor Vehicle Emissions , 1997 .

[40]  J. Olsen,et al.  The European Commission , 2020, The European Union.

[41]  Valerie J. Karplus,et al.  Should a vehicle fuel economy standard be combined with an economy-wide greenhouse gas emissions constraint? Implications for energy and climate policy in the United States , 2013 .

[42]  Robert Innes Regulating Automobile Pollution under Certainty, Competition, and Imperfect Information , 1996 .

[43]  Manuel Frondel,et al.  Do High Oil Prices Matter? Evidence on the Mobility Behavior of German Households , 2008 .

[44]  David Gerard,et al.  The Economics of CAFE Reconsidered: A Response to CAFE Critics and A Case for Fuel Economy Standards , 2003 .

[45]  W. Harrington,et al.  Automobile Externalities and Policies , 2007 .

[46]  Jrc Jaap Ham,et al.  Ecodriving acceptance : an experimental study on anticipation behavior of truck drivers , 2014 .

[47]  E T Verhoef,et al.  Effects of Pay-As-You-Drive vehicle insurance on young drivers' speed choice: results of a Dutch field experiment. , 2011, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[48]  Yutaka Takada,et al.  Improvement of Fuel Economy by Eco-Driving with Devices for Freight Vehicles in Real Traffic Conditions , 2007 .

[49]  T. Sterner Fuel taxes : An important instrument for climate policy , 2007 .

[50]  K. Small,et al.  Does Britain or the United States Have the Right Gasoline Tax , 2005 .

[51]  J Van Mierlo,et al.  Driving style and traffic measures-influence on vehicle emissions and fuel consumption , 2004 .

[52]  H. Frey,et al.  Quantification of Highway Vehicle Emissions Hot Spots Based upon On-Board Measurements , 2004, Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association.

[53]  A. McNabola,et al.  Modelling the impacts of a carbon emission-differentiated vehicle tax system on CO2 emissions intensity from new vehicle purchases in Ireland , 2009 .

[54]  Jonathan M. Gilligan,et al.  Costly myths: An analysis of idling beliefs and behavior in personal motor vehicles $ , 2009 .

[55]  N. Stern The Structure of Economic Modeling of the Potential Impacts of Climate Change: Grafting Gross Underestimation of Risk onto Already Narrow Science Models , 2013 .

[56]  Ingrid van Schagen,et al.  Driving speed and the risk of road crashes: a review. , 2006, Accident; analysis and prevention.

[57]  R. Hanna,et al.  Does the Effect of Pollution on Infant Mortality Differ Between Developed and Developing Countries? Evidence from Mexico City , 2012 .

[58]  Anders af Wåhlberg,et al.  Long-term effects of training in economical driving: Fuel consumption, accidents, driver acceleration behavior and technical feedback , 2007 .

[59]  W. Nordhaus Estimates of the Social Cost of Carbon: Concepts and Results from the DICE-2013R Model and Alternative Approaches , 2014, Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.

[60]  Kanok Boriboonsomsin,et al.  Energy and emissions impacts of a freeway-based dynamic eco-driving system , 2009 .

[61]  Norimasa Iida,et al.  Analysis of the Effect of Eco-driving with Early Shift-up on Real-world Emission , 2010 .

[62]  Xianbao Shen,et al.  On-board measurements of emissions from light-duty gasoline vehicles in three mega-cities of China , 2012 .

[63]  David L. Greene,et al.  Rebound 2007: Analysis of U.S. light-duty vehicle travel statistics , 2012 .

[64]  J Montag,et al.  A Radical Change in Traffic Law: Effects on Fatalities in the Czech Republic , 2012, Journal of public health.

[65]  W T Hung,et al.  On-Road Motor Vehicle Emissions and Fuel Consumption in Urban Driving Conditions , 2000, Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association.

[66]  D. Greene,et al.  Survey evidence on the willingness of U.S. consumers to pay for automotive fuel economy , 2013 .

[67]  M. Pitesky,et al.  Clearing the Air: Livestock's Contribution to Climate Change , 2009 .

[68]  P. Goodwin,et al.  Elasticities of Road Traffic and Fuel Consumption with Respect to Price and Income: A Review , 2004 .

[69]  Suzana Kahn Ribeiro,et al.  Energy efficiency technologies for road vehicles , 2009 .

[70]  Stef Proost,et al.  Will a radical transport pricing reform jeopardize the ambitious EU climate change objectives , 2009 .