Evolving Interpolating Models of Net Ecosystem CO2 Exchange Using Grammatical Evolution

Accurate measurements of Net Ecosystem Exchange of CO2 between atmosphere and biosphere are required in order to estimate annual carbon budgets. These are typically obtained with Eddy Covariance techniques. Unfortunately, these techniques are often both noisy and incomplete, due to data loss through equipment failure and routine maintenance, and require gap-filling techniques in order to provide accurate annual budgets. In this study, a grammar-based version of Genetic Programming is employed to generate interpolating models for flux data. The evolved models are robust, and their symbolic nature provides further understanding of the environmental variables involved.

[1]  R. Valentini,et al.  A new assessment of European forests carbon exchanges by eddy fluxes and artificial neural network spatialization , 2003 .

[2]  Gengsheng Zhang,et al.  Hysteresis response of daytime net ecosystem exchange during drought , 2009 .

[3]  Michael O'Neill,et al.  Biologically Inspired Algorithms for Financial Modelling (Natural Computing Series) , 2005 .

[4]  Brad G. Kyer Review of 5 of biologically inspired algorithms for financial modelling by Anthony Brabazon, Michael O'Neill Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2006 , 2010, SIGA.

[5]  J. William Munger,et al.  Measurements of carbon sequestration by long‐term eddy covariance: methods and a critical evaluation of accuracy , 1996 .

[6]  Conor Ryan,et al.  An evolutionary approach to Wall Shear Stress prediction in a grafted artery , 2004, Appl. Soft Comput..

[7]  R. Monson,et al.  Gap-filling missing data in eddy covariance measurements using multiple imputation (MI) for annual estimations , 2004 .

[8]  T. Andrew Black,et al.  Carbon dioxide fluxes in coastal Douglas-fir stands at different stages of development after clearcut harvesting , 2006 .

[9]  John R. Koza,et al.  Genetic programming - on the programming of computers by means of natural selection , 1993, Complex adaptive systems.

[10]  Michael O'Neill,et al.  Grammatical Evolution: Evolving Programs for an Arbitrary Language , 1998, EuroGP.

[11]  John R. Koza,et al.  Genetic Programming II , 1992 .

[12]  Miguel Nicolau,et al.  Automatic Grammar Complexity Reduction in Grammatical Evolution , 2004 .

[13]  Marc Parizeau,et al.  Genetic Programming, Validation Sets, and Parsimony Pressure , 2006, EuroGP.

[14]  M. Heimann,et al.  Comprehensive comparison of gap-filling techniques for eddy covariance net carbon fluxes , 2007 .

[15]  Robin Harper,et al.  GE, explosive grammars and the lasting legacy of bad initialisation , 2010, IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation.

[16]  T. Vesala,et al.  On the separation of net ecosystem exchange into assimilation and ecosystem respiration: review and improved algorithm , 2005 .

[17]  Maarten Keijzer,et al.  Improving Symbolic Regression with Interval Arithmetic and Linear Scaling , 2003, EuroGP.

[18]  Mak Kaboudan,et al.  Biologically Inspired Algorithms for Financial Modelling , 2006, Genetic Programming and Evolvable Machines.

[19]  Anthony Brabazon,et al.  Evolving Behaviour Trees for the Mario AI Competition Using Grammatical Evolution , 2011, EvoApplications.

[20]  Peter A. Whigham,et al.  Grammar-based Genetic Programming: a survey , 2010, Genetic Programming and Evolvable Machines.

[21]  John H. Holland,et al.  Adaptation in Natural and Artificial Systems: An Introductory Analysis with Applications to Biology, Control, and Artificial Intelligence , 1992 .

[22]  Michael O'Neill,et al.  Grammatical evolution - evolutionary automatic programming in an arbitrary language , 2003, Genetic programming.

[23]  Alexandros Agapitos,et al.  A Preliminary Investigation of Overfitting in Evolutionary Driven Model Induction: Implications for Financial Modelling , 2011, EvoApplications.

[24]  Michael O'Neill,et al.  Exploring Grammatical Evolution for Horse Gait Optimisation , 2009, EuroGP.

[25]  Ü. Rannik,et al.  Gap filling strategies for defensible annual sums of net ecosystem exchange , 2001 .