Advanced learning-based energy policy and management of dispatchable units in smart grids considering uncertainty effects

Abstract In this paper, a new machine learning based framework is developed for the energy policy and operation management of the smart grids, utilizing advanced support vector networks in the renewable smart grids (RSGs), considering storage unit, wind and tidal systems and dispatchable units. The proposed system first develops a support vector regression (SVR) for prediction of the tidal and wind units output power with high accuracy. In the second step, an energy policy system is devised which forces the system operator to support renewable sources by guaranteeing the full purchase of their generation. In the third step, the optimal energy management framework is launched which optimizes the operation costs when considering the practical constraints. In the proposed novel framework, a new optimization method based on fuzzy dragonfly algorithm (FDA) is developed to enhance the search performance by creating adjusting fuzzy version this algorithm. In order to handle the uncertainty effects, a reduced scenario based approach is developed which shows high accuracy of 95% confidence level but with trivial computational time. The system quality is assessed on a test RSG system. The results prove the contributing claims of the research, clearly.

[1]  T. Yusaf,et al.  Landscape framework for the exploitation of renewable energy resources and potentials in urban scale (case study: Iran) , 2021 .

[2]  Josip Pecaric,et al.  Mercer and Wu-Srivastava generalisations of Steffensen's inequality , 2013, Appl. Math. Comput..

[3]  Haidar Samet,et al.  A new hybrid Modified Firefly Algorithm and Support Vector Regression model for accurate Short Term Load Forecasting , 2014, Expert Syst. Appl..

[4]  Lorenzo Bartolucci,et al.  Renewable source penetration and microgrids: Effects of MILP - Based control strategies , 2018 .

[5]  Loke Kok Foong,et al.  Stochastic scheduling of a renewable-based microgrid in the presence of electric vehicles using modified harmony search algorithm with control policies , 2020 .

[6]  Nadeem Javaid,et al.  Towards efficient energy management in smart grids considering microgrids with day-ahead energy forecasting , 2020 .

[7]  José Manuel Andújar,et al.  A suitable state-space model for renewable source-based microgrids with hydrogen as backup for the design of energy management systems , 2020 .

[8]  Alireza Askarzadeh,et al.  Optimizing operation of a photovoltaic/diesel generator hybrid energy system with pumped hydro storage by a modified crow search algorithm , 2020 .

[9]  A. Carlier,et al.  Renewable energy homes for marine life: Habitat potential of a tidal energy project for benthic megafauna. , 2020, Marine environmental research.

[10]  Ehab E. Elattar,et al.  Environmental economic dispatch with heat optimization in the presence of renewable energy based on modified shuffle frog leaping algorithm , 2019, Energy.

[11]  Mohammad Rizwan,et al.  Energy management supporting high penetration of solar photovoltaic generation for smart grid using solar forecasts and pumped hydro storage system , 2018 .

[12]  Lazaros G. Papageorgiou,et al.  Scenario tree reduction for optimisation under uncertainty using sensitivity analysis , 2019, Comput. Chem. Eng..

[13]  Chrysovalantou Ziogou,et al.  Energy management strategies based on hybrid automata for islanded microgrids with renewable sources, batteries and hydrogen , 2020 .

[14]  Tanveer Ahmad,et al.  A review on renewable energy and electricity requirement forecasting models for smart grid and buildings , 2020 .

[15]  Jamal Moshtagh,et al.  Optimal design of an adaptive under-frequency load shedding scheme in smart grids considering operational uncertainties , 2020 .

[16]  Mohammed A. Awadallah,et al.  An improved Dragonfly Algorithm for feature selection , 2020, Knowl. Based Syst..

[17]  Chengchu Yan,et al.  A multi-timescale cold storage system within energy flexible buildings for power balance management of smart grids , 2020 .

[18]  Kamaruzzaman Sopian,et al.  Performance evaluation of renewable energy R&D activities in Malaysia , 2021, Renewable Energy.

[19]  Gulfer Vural How do output, trade, renewable energy and non-renewable energy impact carbon emissions in selected Sub-Saharan African Countries? , 2020 .

[20]  Celal Fadil Kumru,et al.  Providing energy management of a fuel cell–battery–wind turbine–solar panel hybrid off grid smart home system , 2017 .

[21]  Abdollah Kavousi-Fard,et al.  Considering uncertainty in the optimal energy management of renewable micro-grids including storage devices , 2013 .

[22]  A. G. Abo-Khalil,et al.  An insight to the energy policy of GCC countries to meet renewable energy targets of 2030 , 2020 .

[23]  Nahla Aljojo,et al.  Optimal scheduling of a renewable based microgrid considering photovoltaic system and battery energy storage under uncertainty , 2020 .

[24]  Goran Krajačić,et al.  A review on energy storage and demand side management solutions in smart energy islands , 2021 .