Public preferences for informed choice under conditions of risk uncertainty

It has been assumed that the general public is unable to conceptualize information about risk uncertainties, and so communication about food risk has tended to avoid this type of information. However, recent societal and political pressure to increase transparency in risk management practices will result in the uncertainties inherent in risk analysis becoming subject to public scrutiny. Best practice regarding risk communication must address how to communicate risk uncertainty. A questionnaire was developed that aimed to assess how the general public characterized uncertainty associated with food risks. The results indicated that people wanted to be provided with information about food risk uncertainty as soon as the uncertainty was identified. People were more accepting of uncertainty associated with the scientific process of risk management than they were of uncertainty due to lack of action or lack of interest on the part of the government. The findings indicate that the focus of risk communication should be on “what is being done to reduce the uncertainty.” Recommendations are made regarding best practice for communicating risk uncertainty.

[1]  Joel Huber,et al.  Communication of ambiguous risk information , 1991 .

[2]  B. Wynne Uncertainty and environmental learning: reconceiving science and policy in the preventive paradigm. , 1992 .

[3]  Mitchell Ness,et al.  The views of scientific experts on how the public conceptualize uncertainty , 2003 .

[4]  Susan Miles,et al.  Public perception of scientific uncertainty in relation to food hazards , 2003 .

[5]  P. Anand,et al.  Of Mad Cows and Marmosets: From Rational Choice to Organizational Behaviour in Crisis Management , 1995 .

[6]  Paul Slovic,et al.  Lay views on uncertainty in environmental health risk assessment , 1998 .

[7]  M. Ness,et al.  Communicating Risk Uncertainty with the Public , 2001 .

[8]  R. Shepherd,et al.  The influence of initial attitudes on responses to communication about genetic engineering in food production , 1998 .

[9]  D G MacGregor,et al.  Perception of Risks from Electromagnetic Fields: A Psychometric Evaluation of a Risk-Communication Approach , 1994, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[10]  Robert E. O'Connor,et al.  Determinants of Risk Perceptions of a Hazardous Waste Site , 1992 .

[11]  P. Slovic,et al.  Presenting uncertainty in health risk assessment: initial studies of its effects on risk perception and trust. , 1995, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[12]  M O'Brien,et al.  Have lessons been learned from the UK bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) epidemic? , 2000, International journal of epidemiology.