Intelligent Real-Time Earthquake Detection by Recurrent Neural Networks

Taiwan that is located at the junction of the Eurasian Plate and the Philippine Sea Plate is one of the most active seismic zones in the world. Devastating earthquakes have occurred around the island and have caused severe damages from time to time. To avoid the severe loss, earthquake early warning (EEW) is of great importance, and one of the most critical issues of EEW is fast and reliable detection for the presence of earthquakes. Traditional methods for earthquake detection usually use criterion-based algorithms to detect the onset of the earthquake waves. Currently, the thresholds for those criteria are usually decided empirically and may result in excessive false alarms. Obviously, false alarms can cause undue panics and diminish the credibility of the system. In this article, the recurrent neural network (RNN) models are adopted to develop a real-time EEW system. The developed system is designed to identify the occurrence of an earthquake event, and the duration of the P-wave and the S-wave. It was trained and tested using the seismograms recorded in Taiwan from 2016 to 2017. From the simulation results, the proposed scheme outperforms the traditional criterion-based schemes in terms of detection accuracy and processing time.

[1]  Yehuda Ben-Zion,et al.  Automatic picking of direct P, S seismic phases and fault zone head waves , 2014 .

[2]  Weiqiang Zhu,et al.  PhaseNet: A Deep-Neural-Network-Based Seismic Arrival Time Picking Method , 2018, Geophysical Journal International.

[3]  Richard M. Allen,et al.  The Status of Earthquake Early Warning around the World: An Introductory Overview , 2009 .

[4]  António E. Ruano,et al.  Seismic detection using support vector machines , 2014, Neurocomputing.

[5]  A. Masih An Enhanced Seismic Activity Observed Due To Climate Change: Preliminary Results from Alaska , 2018, IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science.

[6]  Michaël Gharbi,et al.  Convolutional neural network for earthquake detection and location , 2017, Science Advances.

[7]  Yih-Min Wu,et al.  Progress on Development of an Earthquake Early Warning System Using Low-Cost Sensors , 2015, Pure and Applied Geophysics.

[8]  O. Kamigaichi,et al.  Earthquake Early Warning in Japan: Warning the General Public and Future Prospects , 2009 .

[9]  Nai-Chi Hsiao,et al.  The Earthworm Based Earthquake Alarm Reporting System in Taiwan , 2015 .

[10]  Paul J. Werbos,et al.  Backpropagation Through Time: What It Does and How to Do It , 1990, Proc. IEEE.

[11]  R. V. Allen,et al.  Automatic phase pickers: Their present use and future prospects , 1982 .

[12]  En-Jui Lee,et al.  Classification of Seismic Windows Using Artificial Neural Networks , 2011, ICCS.

[13]  Jana Doubravová,et al.  Single Layer Recurrent Neural Network for detection of swarm-like earthquakes in W-Bohemia/Vogtland - the method , 2016, Comput. Geosci..

[14]  Yih-Min Wu,et al.  A High-Density Seismic Network for Earthquake Early Warning in Taiwan Based on Low Cost Sensors , 2013 .

[15]  Martín Abadi,et al.  TensorFlow: Large-Scale Machine Learning on Heterogeneous Distributed Systems , 2016, ArXiv.

[16]  David M. W. Powers,et al.  Evaluation: from precision, recall and F-measure to ROC, informedness, markedness and correlation , 2011, ArXiv.

[17]  Stavros M. Panas,et al.  PAI-S/K: A robust automatic seismic P phase arrival identification scheme , 2002, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote. Sens..

[18]  Yehuda Ben-Zion,et al.  An Improved Algorithm for Real‐Time S‐Wave Picking with Application to the (Augmented) ANZA Network in Southern California , 2016 .

[19]  Yih‐Min Wu,et al.  A Fast Magnitude Estimation for the 2011 Mw 9.0 Great Tohoku Earthquake , 2012 .

[20]  Farid U. Dowla,et al.  Seismic discrimination with artificial neural networks: Preliminary results with regional spectral data , 1990 .

[21]  Reinoud Sleeman,et al.  Robust automatic P-phase picking: an on-line implementation in the analysis of broadband seismogram recordings , 1999 .

[22]  V. V. Gravirov,et al.  Use of artificial neural networks for classification of noisy seismic signals , 2017, Seismic Instruments.

[23]  R. V. Allen,et al.  Automatic earthquake recognition and timing from single traces , 1978, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America.

[24]  Zefeng Li,et al.  Machine Learning Seismic Wave Discrimination: Application to Earthquake Early Warning , 2018, Geophysical Research Letters.

[25]  Anne Mangeney,et al.  An Automatic Kurtosis‐Based P ‐ and S ‐Phase Picker Designed for Local Seismic Networks , 2014 .

[26]  Jimmy Ba,et al.  Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization , 2014, ICLR.