Optimal Multi-Sectoral Water Resources Allocation Based on Economic Evaluation Considering the Environmental Flow Requirements: A Case Study of Yellow River Basin

Competitions and disputes between various human water sectors and environmental flow of the river are exacerbated due to the rapid growth of the economy in Yellow River basin as well as the limited supply of available water resources in recent decades. It is necessary to implement rational and effective management and allocation to alleviate the pressure of water shortage. In order to promote economic development and maintain the ecological balance of the river, both the water allocation to the river environmental system and different human needs should be of concern when making the allocation polices. This study developed a water allocation model based on Nash–Harsanyi bargaining game theory for optimal water resources allocation among agricultural, industrial, domestic, public, and urban ecological water (watering for urban green space) sectors while ensuring the environmental flow requirements of lower reaches. A comprehensive economic evaluation framework is built to assess the economic benefits of different water uses that were taken as the basis of water allocation model. The annual environmental base flow is 7.50 billion m3 in the lower reaches of Yellow River. Moreover, the optimal annual allocations for agricultural, industrial, domestic, public, and urban ecological water use sectors are estimated as 33.7, 6.42, 3.96, 1.75 and 2.68 billion m3, respectively.

[1]  C. Opp,et al.  Spatiotemporal supply-demand characteristics and economic benefits of crop water footprint in the semi-arid region. , 2020, The Science of the total environment.

[2]  Zening Wu,et al.  Optimal water distribution system based on water rights transaction with administrative management, marketization, and quantification of sediment transport value: A case study of the Yellow River Basin, China. , 2020, The Science of the total environment.

[3]  Chuanlei Wen,et al.  Study on factors affecting corn yield based on the Cobb-Douglas production function , 2020 .

[4]  Guiliang Tian,et al.  Virtual Water Flows Embodied in International and Interprovincial Trade of Yellow River Basin: A Multiregional Input-Output Analysis , 2020, Sustainability.

[5]  Huai'en Li,et al.  Quantity of Reasonable Distribution of River Ecological Basic Flow Considering the Economic Value of its Own Ecological Functions: a Case Study in the Baoji Section of the Weihe River, China , 2020, Water Resources Management.

[6]  T. Oki,et al.  Economically challenged and water scarce: identification of global populations most vulnerable to water crises , 2020, International Journal of Water Resources Development.

[7]  Bo Cheng,et al.  A conceptual decision-making for the ecological base flow of rivers considering the economic value of ecosystem services of rivers in water shortage area of Northwest China , 2019, Journal of Hydrology.

[8]  Qingyun Li,et al.  Limitations of Water Resources to Crop Water Requirement in the Irrigation Districts along the Lower Reach of the Yellow River in China , 2019, Sustainability.

[9]  F. Zhu,et al.  Water Resources Allocation in Transboundary River Basins Based on a Game Model Considering Inflow Forecasting Errors , 2019, Water Resources Management.

[10]  M. Bierkens,et al.  The Shadow Price of Irrigation Water in Major Groundwater‐Depleting Countries , 2019, Water Resources Research.

[11]  Jianan Qin,et al.  Asymmetric Bargaining Model for Water Resource Allocation over Transboundary Rivers , 2019, International journal of environmental research and public health.

[12]  Z. Dong,et al.  An Optimal Allocation Model for Large Complex Water Resources System Considering Water supply and Ecological Needs , 2019, Water.

[13]  T. Oki,et al.  The Effect of Global Warming on Future Water Availability: CMIP5 Synthesis , 2018, Water Resources Research.

[14]  Shivshanker Singh Patel,et al.  An optimization model and policy analysis of water allocation for a river basin , 2018, Sustainable Water Resources Management.

[15]  Dagmawi Mulugeta Degefu,et al.  Bankruptcy to Surplus: Sharing Transboundary River Basin’s Water under Scarcity , 2018, Water Resources Management.

[16]  F. Zhu,et al.  Water Resources Allocation in Transboundary River Based on Asymmetric Nash–Harsanyi Leader–Follower Game Model , 2018 .

[17]  Qiang Fu,et al.  An interval multi-objective programming model for irrigation water allocation under uncertainty , 2018 .

[18]  Yuning Gao,et al.  Assessment of the economic impact of South-to-North Water Diversion Project on industrial sectors in Beijing , 2018 .

[19]  Fan Zhang,et al.  A Regional Water Optimal Allocation Model Based on the Cobb-Douglas Production Function under Multiple Uncertainties , 2017 .

[20]  R. Hobbs,et al.  Cultural ecosystem services: Characteristics, challenges and lessons for urban green space research , 2017 .

[21]  S. Pfister,et al.  Water scarcity assessments in the past, present, and future , 2017, Earth's future.

[22]  Subhrendu K. Pattanayak,et al.  What are households willing to pay for improved water access?: Results from a meta-analysis , 2017 .

[23]  Jing Li,et al.  A leader-follower-interactive method for regional water resources management with considering multiple water demands and eco-environmental constraints , 2017 .

[24]  B. Mitrică,et al.  An approach for forecasting of public water scarcity at the end of the 21st century, in the Timiş Plain of Romania , 2017 .

[25]  L. Zhen,et al.  Assessing the importance of cultural ecosystem services in urban areas of Beijing municipality , 2017 .

[26]  B. Cui,et al.  Environmental flows and its satisfaction degree forecasting in the Yellow River , 2017, Ecological Indicators.

[27]  R. Lejano,et al.  A cooperative game-theoretic framework for negotiating marine spatial allocation agreements among heterogeneous players. , 2017, Journal of environmental management.

[28]  S. Jia,et al.  Will the energy industry drain the water used for agricultural irrigation in the Yellow River basin? , 2017 .

[29]  Parvez Ahmed,et al.  Willingness to pay for safe drinking water: A contingent valuation study in Jacksonville, FL. , 2016, Journal of environmental management.

[30]  Elmar Kriegler,et al.  The impact of climate change mitigation on water demand for energy and food: An integrated analysis based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways , 2016 .

[31]  Yanjun Shen,et al.  Agricultural water supply/demand changes under projected future climate change in the arid region of northwestern China , 2016 .

[32]  Dagmawi Mulugeta Degefu,et al.  Water Allocation in Transboundary River Basins under Water Scarcity: a Cooperative Bargaining Approach , 2016, Water Resources Management.

[33]  Jian-hua Wang,et al.  Optimal Allocation of Water Resources Based on Water Supply Security , 2016 .

[34]  Aygul Ozbafli,et al.  Estimating the willingness to pay for reliable electricity supply: A choice experiment study , 2016 .

[35]  K. Hipel,et al.  Incorporating Water Demand Management into a Cooperative Water Allocation Framework , 2016, Water Resources Management.

[36]  Ijaz Ahmad,et al.  Multi-objective Linear Programming for Optimal Water Allocation Based on Satisfaction and Economic Criterion , 2016 .

[37]  M. E. Banihabib,et al.  Optimization model for the allocation of water resources based on the maximization of employment in the agriculture and industry sectors , 2016 .

[38]  M. Wigmosta,et al.  A High Spatiotemporal Assessment of Consumptive Water Use and Water Scarcity in the Conterminous United States , 2015, Water Resources Management.

[39]  P. Dumas,et al.  Projecting and valuing domestic water use at regional scale: A generic method applied to the Mediterranean at the 2060 horizon , 2015 .

[40]  Jiuping Xu,et al.  Administrative and market-based allocation mechanism for regional water resources planning , 2015 .

[41]  M. Zarghami,et al.  A new bankruptcy method for conflict resolution in water resources allocation. , 2014, Journal of environmental management.

[42]  S. Morid,et al.  A new framework for resolving conflicts over transboundary rivers using bankruptcy methods , 2014 .

[43]  Xiao-Chen Yuan,et al.  Urban Household Water Demand in Beijing by 2020: An Agent-Based Model , 2014, Water Resources Management.

[44]  P. Sutton,et al.  Changes in the global value of ecosystem services , 2014 .

[45]  Vijay P. Singh,et al.  Optimal Allocation of Agricultural Water Resources Based on Virtual Water Subdivision in Shiyang River Basin , 2014, Water Resources Management.

[46]  Ferenc Szidarovszky,et al.  Nash bargaining and leader–follower models in water allocation: Application to the Zarrinehrud River basin, Iran , 2014 .

[47]  Animesh K. Gain,et al.  Assessment of Future Water Scarcity at Different Spatial and Temporal Scales of the Brahmaputra River Basin , 2014, Water Resources Management.

[48]  Felipe J. Colón-González,et al.  Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change , 2013, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[49]  V. Singh,et al.  Eco-Hydrological Requirements in Arid and Semiarid Regions: Case Study of the Yellow River in China , 2013 .

[50]  Naota Hanasaki,et al.  A global water scarcity assessment under Shared Socio-economic Pathways – Part 1: Water use , 2012 .

[51]  S. Kanae,et al.  A global water scarcity assessment under Shared Socio-economic Pathways – Part 2: Water availability and scarcity , 2012 .

[52]  Claudia Pahl-Wostl,et al.  The Development of Water Allocation Management in The Yellow River Basin , 2012, Water Resources Management.

[53]  Mukand S. Babel,et al.  Optimal allocation of bulk water supplies to competing use sectors based on economic criterion – An application to the Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand , 2011 .

[54]  Wei Yang,et al.  A multi-objective optimization approach to allocate environmental flows to the artificially restored wetlands of China's Yellow River Delta , 2011 .

[55]  P. Ciais,et al.  The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China , 2010, Nature.

[56]  Kaveh Madani,et al.  Game theory and water resources , 2010 .

[57]  David E. Rosenberg,et al.  Hydro-economic models: concepts, design, applications, and future prospects. , 2009 .

[58]  M. Santamouris,et al.  Monitoring the effect of urban green areas on the heat island in Athens , 2009, Environmental monitoring and assessment.

[59]  G. Q. Chen,et al.  Environmental flow requirements for integrated water resources allocation in the Yellow River Basin, China , 2009 .

[60]  Dawen Yang,et al.  Water Resources Allocation Considering the Water Use Flexible Limit to Water Shortage—A Case Study in the Yellow River Basin of China , 2009 .

[61]  S. Kanae,et al.  An integrated model for the assessment of global water resources – Part 2: Applications and assessments , 2008 .

[62]  S. Kanae,et al.  An integrated model for the assessment of global water resources – Part 1: Model description and input meteorological forcing , 2008 .

[63]  Water: A Shared Responsibility – The United Nations World Water Development Report 2 , 2007 .

[64]  S. Kanae,et al.  Global Hydrological Cycles and World Water Resources , 2006, Science.

[65]  Ronald C. Griffin,et al.  Water Resource Economics: The Analysis of Scarcity, Policies, and Projects , 2005 .

[66]  W. Douglass Shaw,et al.  Water Resource Economics and Policy: An Introduction , 2005 .

[67]  Mark W. Rosegrant,et al.  Optional water development strategies for the Yellow River Basin: Balancing agricultural and ecological water demands , 2004 .

[68]  A. Biswas Integrated Water Resources Management: A Reassessment , 2004 .

[69]  C. Vörösmarty,et al.  Global water resources: vulnerability from climate change and population growth. , 2000, Science.

[70]  R. O'Neill,et al.  The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital , 1997, Nature.

[71]  Donald L. Tennant Instream Flow Regimens for Fish, Wildlife, Recreation and Related Environmental Resources , 1976 .

[72]  John C. Harsanyi,et al.  A Simplified Bargaining Model for the n-Person Cooperative Game , 1963 .

[73]  Shaoming Peng,et al.  Thirty Years of the Yellow River Water Allocation Scheme and future Prospect , 2018 .

[74]  T. Oki Water Resources Management and Adaptation to Climate Change , 2016 .

[75]  S. Jin Differential Water Price Model Based on Basic Demand and Marginal Cost , 2015 .

[76]  Zhu Qili Application of Willingness to Pay Method in the Calculation of Beijing's Water Resources Fee , 2015 .

[77]  中华人民共和国国家统计局工业统计司 中国工业统计年鉴 = China industry statistical yearbook , 2013 .

[78]  Ximing Cai,et al.  Can water allocation in the Yellow River basin be improved?: Insights from a multi-agent system model , 2011 .

[79]  S. Guner United Nations World Water Assessment Programme , 2011 .

[80]  Shuko Hamada,et al.  Seasonal variations in the cooling effect of urban green areas on surrounding urban areas. , 2010 .

[81]  Richard Kotter,et al.  Determining the economic value of water: concepts and methods , 2008 .

[82]  Asit K. Biswas,et al.  28. Integrated Water Resources Management: A Reassessment – A Water Forum Contribution , 2004 .

[83]  Ari M. Michelsen,et al.  The economic value of water in agriculture: concepts and policy applications $ , 2002 .

[84]  Thomas C. Brown,et al.  AQUARIUS, a modeling system for river basin water allocation , 1997 .

[85]  中華人民共和国国家統計局 China statistical yearbook , 1988 .

[86]  J. Harsanyi A bargaining model for the cooperative n-person game , 1958 .

[87]  J. Nash Two-Person Cooperative Games , 1953 .