Contingent convertible bonds in financial networks

We study the role of contingent convertible bonds (CoCos) in a network of interconnected banks. We first confirm the phase transitions documented by Acemoglu et al. (2015) in absence of CoCos, thus revealing that the structure of the interbank network is of fundamental importance for the effectiveness of CoCos as a financial stability enhancing mechanism. Furthermore, we show that in the presence of a moderate financial shock lightly interconnected financial networks are more robust than highly interconnected networks, and can possibly be the optimal choice for both CoCos issuers and buyers. Finally our results show that, under some network structures, the presence of CoCos can increase (and not reduce) financial fragility, because of the occurring of unneeded triggers and consequential suboptimal conversions that damage CoCos investors.

[1]  S. Sundaresan,et al.  On the Design of Contingent Capital with a Market Trigger , 2010, World Scientific Reference on Contingent Claims Analysis in Corporate Finance.

[2]  S. Fischer Concluding remarks: maintaining stability in a changing financial system , 2008 .

[3]  Why Do Banks Issue Contingent Convertible Bonds? , 2018 .

[4]  M. Flannery Contingent Capital Instruments for Large Financial Institutions: A Review of the Literature , 2013 .

[5]  Alexei Tchistyi,et al.  On Equilibrium When Contingent Capital Has a Market Trigger: A Correction to Sundaresan and Wang Journal of Finance (2015) , 2018, The Journal of Finance.

[6]  G. Michailidis,et al.  Interconnectedness in the Interbank Market , 2015, Journal of Financial Economics.

[7]  P. Bolton,et al.  Capital Access Bonds: Contingent Capital with an Option to Convert , 2011 .

[8]  P. Glasserman,et al.  Contingent Capital, Tail Risk, and Debt-Induced Collapse , 2015 .

[9]  Coco Design, Risk Shifting and Financial Fragility , 2016 .

[10]  Jean-Charles Rochet,et al.  Systemic risk, interbank relations and liquidity provision by the Central Bank , 2000 .

[11]  Contingent Convertibles with Stock Price Triggers: The Case of Perpetuities , 2018, The Review of Financial Studies.

[12]  Contingent Convertible Bonds: payoff structures and incentive effects , 2017 .

[13]  E. Perotti,et al.  Convertible Bonds and Bank Risk-Taking , 2012, Journal of Financial Intermediation.

[14]  A. Raviv,et al.  Bank Stability and Market Discipline: The Effect of Contingent Capital on Risk Taking and Default Probability , 2014 .

[15]  P. Bolton,et al.  Coco Issuance and Bank Fragility , 2017, Journal of Financial Economics.

[16]  Dwight M. Jaffee,et al.  Contingent Convertible Bonds and Capital Structure Decisions , 2010 .

[17]  Asuman E. Ozdaglar,et al.  Network Security and Contagion , 2013, PERV.

[18]  A. Tahbaz-Salehi,et al.  Systemic Risk and Stability in Financial Networks , 2013 .

[19]  Christian Koziol,et al.  Contingent convertibles. Solving or seeding the next banking crisis , 2012 .

[20]  M. Flannery,et al.  No Pain, No Gain? Effecting Market Discipline Via 'Reverse Convertible Debentures' , 2002 .

[21]  Tobias Berg,et al.  Does Contingent Capital Induce Excessive Risk-Taking? , 2015 .

[22]  Charles W. Calomiris,et al.  How to Design a Contingent Convertible Debt Requirement that Helps Solve Our Too‐Big‐To‐Fail Problem , 2013 .

[23]  Béla Bollobás,et al.  A Probabilistic Proof of an Asymptotic Formula for the Number of Labelled Regular Graphs , 1980, Eur. J. Comb..

[24]  John Y. Campbell,et al.  The Squam Lake Report: Fixing the Financial System , 2010 .

[25]  Franklin Allen,et al.  Financial Contagion , 2000, Journal of Political Economy.

[26]  Christian C. P. Wolff,et al.  Contingent Capital: The Case of COERCs , 2010, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

[27]  P. Glasserman,et al.  Market‐Triggered Changes in Capital Structure: Equilibrium Price Dynamics , 2016 .

[28]  Robert L. McDonald,et al.  Contingent Capital with a Dual Price Trigger , 2010 .

[29]  Mark Newman,et al.  Networks: An Introduction , 2010 .

[30]  Aparna Gupta,et al.  Addressing Systemic Risk Using Contingent Convertible Debt — A Network Analysis , 2019, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[31]  Prasanna Gai,et al.  Contagion in financial networks , 2010, Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences.