Assessing the impact of space debris on orbital resource in life cycle assessment: A proposed method and case study.

The space sector is a new area of development for Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) studies. However, it deals with strong particularities which complicate the use of LCA. One of the most important is that the space industry is the only human activity crossing all stages of the atmosphere during the launch event or the atmospheric re-entry. As a result, interactions occur not only with the natural environment but also with the orbital environment during the use phase and the end-of-life of space missions. In this context, there is a lack of indicators and methods to characterise the complete life-cycle of space systems including their impact on the orbital environment. The end-of-life of spacecraft is of particular concern: space debris proliferation is today a concrete threat for all space activities. Therefore, the proposed work aims at characterising the orbital environment in term of space debris crossing the orbital resource. A complete methodology and a set of characterisation factors at midpoint level are provided. They are based on two factors: (i) the exposure to space debris in a given orbit and (ii) the severity of a potential spacecraft break-up leading to the release of new debris in the orbital environment. Then, we demonstrate the feasibility of such approach through three theoretical post-mission disposal scenarios based on the Sentinel-1A mission parameters. The results are discussed against the propellant consumption needed in each case with the purpose of addressing potential 'burden shifting' that could occur between the Earth environment and the orbital one.

[1]  Michael P. Tsang,et al.  Evaluating nanotechnology opportunities and risks through integration of life-cycle and risk assessment. , 2017, Nature nanotechnology.

[2]  Gregory M Peters,et al.  Review of Environmental Assessment Case Studies Blending Elements of Risk Assessment and Life Cycle Assessment. , 2015, Environmental science & technology.

[3]  Stefanie Hellweg,et al.  LCIA framework and cross-cutting issues guidance within the UNEP-SETAC Life Cycle Initiative. , 2017, Journal of cleaner production.

[4]  Alexander Cimprich,et al.  Extension of geopolitical supply risk methodology: Characterization model applied to conventional and electric vehicles , 2017 .

[5]  N. Johnson Medium Earth Orbits: Is There a Need for a Third Protected Region? , 2010 .

[6]  Hans-Jürgen Dr. Klüppel,et al.  The Revision of ISO Standards 14040-3 - ISO 14040: Environmental management – Life cycle assessment – Principles and framework - ISO 14044: Environmental management – Life cycle assessment – Requirements and guidelines , 2005 .

[7]  Sylvie Durrieu,et al.  Earth Observation from Space - The Issue of Environmental Sustainability , 2013 .

[8]  Salvatore Alfano,et al.  A comprehensive assessment of collision likelihood in Geosynchronous Earth Orbit , 2018, Acta Astronautica.

[9]  Hugh G. Lewis,et al.  Analytical Model for the Propagation of Small-Debris-Object Clouds After Fragmentations , 2015 .

[10]  Lucia Mancini,et al.  Characterization of raw materials based on supply risk indicators for Europe , 2018, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[11]  Carsten Wiedemann,et al.  Survey of the Current Activities in the Field of Modeling the Space Debris Environment at TU Braunschweig , 2018 .

[12]  Luciano Anselmo,et al.  Compliance of the Italian satellites in low Earth orbit with the end-of-life disposal guidelines for Space Debris Mitigation and ranking of their long-term criticality for the environment , 2015 .

[13]  Jeroen B. Guinée,et al.  Abiotic Raw-Materials in Life Cycle Impact Assessments : An Emerging Consensus across Disciplines , 2016 .

[14]  Mary Stewart,et al.  A Consistent Framework for Assessing the Impacts from Resource Use - A focus on resource functionality (8 pp) , 2005 .

[15]  S. Flegel,et al.  ORDEM 3.0 and MASTER-2009 modeled debris population comparison ☆ , 2015 .

[16]  M. Porter,et al.  Strategy and society: the link between competitive advantage and corporate social responsibility. , 2006, Harvard business review.

[17]  J. Liou An active debris removal parametric study for LEO environment remediation , 2011 .

[18]  Holger Krag,et al.  Assessment of breakup severity on operational satellites , 2016 .

[19]  Rana Pant,et al.  Rethinking the area of protection "natural resources" in life cycle assessment. , 2015, Environmental science & technology.

[20]  Anders Bjørn,et al.  Introducing carrying capacity-based normalisation in LCA: framework and development of references at midpoint level , 2015, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[21]  Not Indicated,et al.  International Reference Life Cycle Data System (ILCD) Handbook: Framework and Requirements for Life Cycle Impact Assessment Models and Indicators , 2010 .

[22]  Anders Bjørn,et al.  A Framework for Development and Communication of Absolute Environmental Sustainability Assessment Methods , 2018, Journal of Industrial Ecology.

[23]  Holger Krag,et al.  Development of a Debris Index , 2018 .

[24]  Jennifer Wall Msfc What Is Orbital Debris , 2015 .

[25]  W. Steffen,et al.  The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration , 2015 .

[26]  Stefanie Hellweg,et al.  Towards harmonizing natural resources as an area of protection in life cycle impact assessment , 2017, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[27]  P. Baojun,et al.  GEO space debris environment determination in the earth fixed coordinate system , 2017 .

[28]  Christophe Bonnal,et al.  Active debris removal: Recent progress and current trends , 2013 .

[29]  Markus Berger,et al.  The economic resource scarcity potential (ESP) for evaluating resource use based on life cycle assessment , 2014, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[30]  T. Koellner,et al.  UNEP-SETAC guideline on global land use impact assessment on biodiversity and ecosystem services in LCA , 2013, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[31]  M. Noguer,et al.  Climate change 2001: The scientific basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , 2002 .

[32]  T. Brady,et al.  Mineral resources in life cycle impact assessment—defining the path forward , 2015, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[33]  Marta Schuhmacher,et al.  Integrated life-cycle and risk assessment for industrial processes , 2003 .

[34]  Friedhelm Rostan,et al.  Copernicus Sentinel-1 Satellite and C-SAR instrument , 2014, 2014 IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium.

[35]  Luciano Anselmo,et al.  Evaluating the environmental criticality of massive objects in LEO for debris mitigation and remediation , 2018 .

[36]  Philippe Loubet,et al.  Towards the integration of orbital space use in Life Cycle Impact Assessment. , 2017, The Science of the total environment.

[37]  C. Pardini,et al.  An Index for Ranking Active Debris Removal Targets in LEO , 2017 .

[38]  Alexander Cimprich,et al.  Mineral resources in life cycle impact assessment—part I: a critical review of existing methods , 2020, The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment.

[39]  N. Johnson,et al.  NASA's new breakup model of evolve 4.0 , 2001 .

[40]  Christoph Helbig,et al.  How to evaluate raw material supply risks—an overview , 2013 .

[41]  Andrea Gamba,et al.  Valuing Modularity as a Real Option , 2009, Manag. Sci..

[42]  Luciano Anselmo,et al.  Review of past on-orbit collisions among cataloged objects and examination of the catastrophic fragmentation concept☆ , 2014 .

[43]  Eskinder Demisse Gemechu,et al.  From a critical review to a conceptual framework for integrating the criticality of resources into Life Cycle Sustainability Assessment , 2015 .

[44]  Alessandro Rossi,et al.  The Criticality of Spacecraft Index , 2015 .