Advances in mortality forecasting: introduction

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[15]  J. Vaupel,et al.  Coherent Forecasts of Mortality with Compositional Data Analysis , 2017 .

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[20]  Guangquan Li,et al.  Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble , 2017, The Lancet.

[21]  S. Purcal,et al.  Evaluating extensions to coherent mortality forecasting models , 2017 .

[22]  Marco Mira d’Ercole,et al.  Inequalities in longevity by education in OECD countries: Insights from new OECD estimates , 2017 .

[23]  Emilio Zagheni,et al.  A Flexible Bayesian Model for Estimating Subnational Mortality , 2016, Demography.

[24]  Roland Rau,et al.  Probabilistic mortality forecasting with varying age-specific survival improvements , 2013, Genus.

[25]  Rodrigo Sekkel,et al.  Model Confidence Sets and forecast combination , 2017 .

[26]  J. de Beer,et al.  A new parametric model to assess delay and compression of mortality , 2016, Population Health Metrics.

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[28]  Rob J Hyndman,et al.  Grouped Functional Time Series Forecasting: An Application to Age-Specific Mortality Rates , 2016, 1609.04222.

[29]  M. Denuit,et al.  A multivariate evolutionary credibility model for mortality improvement rates , 2016 .

[30]  Han Lin Shang,et al.  Mortality and life expectancy forecasting for a group of populations in developed countries: A multilevel functional data method , 2016, 1606.05067.

[31]  K. Dowd,et al.  Modelling Socio-Economic Differences in the Mortality of Danish Males Using a New Affluence Index , 2016 .

[32]  Pieter van Baal,et al.  Forecasting differences in life expectancy by education , 2016, Population studies.

[33]  Marius Pascariu,et al.  The Double-Gap Life Expectancy Forecasting Model , 2016 .

[34]  Wilma Terblanche.  Alternative state and national projections of Australia’s very elderly population , 2015 .

[35]  Pavel Grigoriev,et al.  Data Resource Profile: The Human Mortality Database (HMD). , 2015, International journal of epidemiology.

[36]  Impact of Economic Conditions and Crises on Mortality and its Predictability , 2015, Kolner Zeitschrift fur Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie.

[37]  Torsten Kleinow,et al.  A common age effect model for the mortality of multiple populations , 2015 .

[38]  Katrien Antonio,et al.  Bayesian Poisson log-bilinear models for mortality projections with multiple populations , 2015 .

[39]  Jakub Bijak,et al.  Bayesian Population Forecasting: Extending the Lee-Carter Method , 2015, Demography.

[40]  Colin O'Hare,et al.  Forecasting Death Rates Using Exogenous Determinants , 2014 .

[41]  J. Bongaarts.  Trends in Causes of Death in Low-Mortality Countries: Implications for Mortality Projections , 2014 .

[42]  Patrick Gerland,et al.  Joint Probabilistic Projection of Female and Male Life Expectancy. , 2014, Demographic research.

[43]  K. S. Tan,et al.  Modeling Period Effects in Multi-Population Mortality Models: Applications to Solvency II , 2014 .

[44]  Andrés M. Villegas,et al.  On the modelling and forecasting of socio-economic mortality differentials: an application to deprivation and mortality in England , 2013 .

[45]  Katrien Antonio,et al.  The impact of multiple structural changes on mortality predictions , 2014 .

[46]  Chou-Wen Wang,et al.  Pricing Survivor Derivatives with Cohort Mortality Dependence Under the Lee–Carter Framework , 2013 .

[47]  George Athanasopoulos,et al.  Forecasting: principles and practice , 2013 .

[48]  Leo van Wissen,et al.  Impact of different mortality forecasting methods and explicit assumptions on projected future life expectancy: The case of the Netherlands , 2013 .

[49]  P. Gerland,et al.  Extending the Lee-Carter Method to Model the Rotation of Age Patterns of Mortality Decline for Long-Term Projections , 2013, Demography.

[50]  A. Renshaw,et al.  Modelling and projecting mortality improvement rates using a cohort perspective , 2013 .

[51]  S. Haberman,et al.  Common mortality modeling and coherent forecasts. An empirical analysis of worldwide mortality data , 2013 .

[52]  Kumar Muthuraman,et al.  Modeling and forecasting mortality rates , 2013 .

[53]  Jackie Li.  A Poisson common factor model for projecting mortality and life expectancy jointly for females and males , 2013, Population studies.

[54]  S. Preston,et al.  Projecting the Effect of Changes in Smoking and Obesity on Future Life Expectancy in the United States , 2012, Demography.

[55]  Modeling Mortality of Multiple Populations with Vector Error Correction Models: Applications to Solvency II , 2013 .

[56]  A. Raftery,et al.  Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of Life Expectancy for All Countries , 2013, Demography.

[57]  Rob J Hyndman,et al.  Coherent Mortality Forecasting: The Product-Ratio Method With Functional Time Series Models , 2013, Demography.

[58]  Fanny Janssen,et al.  Including the Smoking Epidemic in Internationally Coherent Mortality Projections , 2013, Demography.

[59]  H. Shang.  Point and interval forecasts of age-specific life expectancies: A model averaging approach , 2012 .

[60]  A. Renshaw,et al.  Parametric mortality improvement rate modelling and projecting , 2012 .

[61]  James W. Vaupel,et al.  Forecasting life expectancy in an international context , 2012 .

[62]  S. Gaille.  Forecasting mortality: when academia meets practice , 2012 .

[63]  E. Reither,et al.  New forecasting methodology indicates more disease and earlier mortality ahead for today's younger Americans. , 2011, Health affairs.

[64]  Rob J. Hyndman,et al.  Point and interval forecasts of mortality rates and life expectancy: A comparison of ten principal component methods , 2011 .

[65]  Gary King,et al.  The future of death in America. , 2011, Demographic research.

[66]  Luis M.R.C. Nunes,et al.  Forecasting mortality in the event of a structural change , 2011 .

[67]  S. Haberman,et al.  Extending the Lee–Carter model: a three-way decomposition , 2011 .

[68]  David Blake,et al.  Bayesian Stochastic Mortality Modelling for Two Populations , 2011, ASTIN Bulletin.

[69]  Mary R. Hardy,et al.  Measuring Basis Risk in Longevity Hedges , 2011 .

[70]  K. Dowd,et al.  A Gravity Model of Mortality Rates for Two Related Populations , 2011 .

[71]  Nan Li,et al.  Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the lee-carter method , 2005, Demography.

[72]  J. Bongaarts.  Long-range trends in adult mortality: Models and projection methods , 2005, Demography.

[73]  Ronald Lee,et al.  Evaluating the performance of the lee-carter method for forecasting mortality , 2001, Demography.

[74]  M. Börger,et al.  Coherent Projections of Age, Period, and Cohort Dependent Mortality Improvements , 2011 .

[75]  Peter Reinhard Hansen,et al.  The Model Confidence Set , 2010 .

[76]  Atsuyuki Kogure,et al.  A Bayesian approach to pricing longevity risk based on risk-neutral predictive distributions , 2010 .

[77]  S. Olshansky,et al.  Future trends in human longevity: Implications for investments, pensions and the global economy , 2009 .

[78]  D. Swanson,et al.  Demographic Forecasting , 2009 .

[79]  Richard Plat,et al.  On Stochastic Mortality Modeling , 2009 .

[80]  S. Haberman,et al.  A parameterized approach to modeling and forecasting mortality , 2009 .

[81]  Samuel H. Preston,et al.  Forecasting United States mortality using cohort smoking histories , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[82]  David Blake,et al.  A Quantitative Comparison of Stochastic Mortality Models Using Data From England and Wales and the United States , 2009 .

[83]  S. F. Jarner,et al.  PI-0902 Modelling Adult Mortality in Small Populations : The Saint Model , 2008 .

[84]  H. Booth,et al.  Mortality Modelling and Forecasting: a Review of Methods , 2008, Annals of Actuarial Science.

[85]  David Blake,et al.  Mortality Density Forecasts: An Analysis of Six Stochastic Mortality Models , 2008 .

[86]  A. Kunst,et al.  The choice among past trends as a basis for the prediction of future trends in old-age mortality , 2007, Population studies.

[87]  Rob J. Hyndman,et al.  Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: A functional data approach , 2007, Comput. Stat. Data Anal..

[88]  J. Bongaarts.  How Long Will We Live , 2006 .

[89]  Kevin Dowd,et al.  A Two-Factor Model for Stochastic Mortality With Parameter Uncertainty: Theory and Calibration , 2006 .

[90]  Claudia Pedroza,et al.  A Bayesian forecasting model: predicting U.S. male mortality. , 2006, Biostatistics.

[91]  Steven Haberman,et al.  A cohort-based extension to the Lee-Carter model for mortality reduction factors , 2006 .

[92]  F. Pampel.  Forecasting sex differences in mortality in high income nations : The contribution of smoking , 2005 .

[93]  Claudia Czado,et al.  Bayesian Poisson log-bilinear mortality projections , 2005 .

[94]  C. Heathcote,et al.  Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective , 2005 .

[95]  Paul H. C. Eilers,et al.  Smoothing and forecasting mortality rates , 2004 .

[96]  Adrian Gallop,et al.  Ewa Tabeau, Aneke van den Berg Jeths and Christopher Heathcote (eds.), Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a statistical, demographic and epidemiological perspective , 2003 .

[97]  Michel Denuit,et al.  A Poisson log-bilinear regression approach to the construction of projected lifetables , 2002 .

[98]  J. Maindonald,et al.  Applying Lee-Carter under conditions of variable mortality decline , 2002, Population studies.

[99]  Christopher R Heathcote,et al.  Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries , 2001 .

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