Factors affecting population and workforce mobility in Australia: a future of declining regional affinity?

ABSTRACT An important policy question in Australia is whether regions can attract workforce and population with current policy settings, or whether there are additional social aspects of people’s affinity for regions that may limit migration to regional centres. Using the results of a national household survey, this article tests the extent to which the propensity for internal migration varies between city and metropolitan populations. A series of experiments were used to evaluate the relative importance of factors relevant to relocation or commuting to different types of regional centres, as well as the salary increases required. Only about five percent of the workforce were identified as highly mobile, while more than half of the workforce were not prepared to move no matter what increase in salary is offered. Large salary increases would be required to encourage the “average” employee to move to regional areas, especially from metropolitan locations, with larger salary increases required for long-distance commuting.

[1]  N. Argent,et al.  Regional Cities and City Regions in Rural Australia , 2018, SpringerBriefs in Population Studies.

[2]  K. Houghton National population plan for regional Australia , 2019 .

[3]  Caitlin Buckle,et al.  Urban perceptions of tree-change migration , 2018, Rural Society.

[4]  R. Hippe,et al.  The long-run impact of human capital on innovation and economic development in the regions of Europe , 2018, Applied Economics.

[5]  M. Tonts,et al.  The global commodities boom and the reshaping of regional economies: the Australian experience , 2018 .

[6]  R. Skeldon Internal Migration in the Developed World: Are We Becoming Less Mobile? , 2018, Population studies.

[7]  Xavier Raurich,et al.  Labor Mobility, Structural Change and Economic Growth , 2015, Journal of Macroeconomics.

[8]  J. Corcoran,et al.  Career Moves: Migration Histories of Selected Regional Workforces in Bendigo, Australia , 2018 .

[9]  Judi Walker,et al.  It's more than money: policy options to secure medical specialist workforce for regional centres. , 2017, Australian health review : a publication of the Australian Hospital Association.

[10]  F. McKenzie,et al.  Long-distance commuting and dispersed socio-economic benefits of connectivity , 2017 .

[11]  J. Daley,et al.  Regional patterns of Australia's economy and population , 2017 .

[12]  T. Wilson,et al.  Australia: The Long-Run Decline in Internal Migration Intensities , 2017 .

[13]  R. Welters,et al.  What drives long distance commuting into Australian regions? A spatial panel model approach , 2017 .

[14]  C. Wright,et al.  Economic migration and Australia in the 21st century , 2016 .

[15]  B. Lengyel,et al.  Co-Worker Networks, Labour Mobility and Productivity Growth in Regions , 2016 .

[16]  D. Lichter,et al.  Working, but poor: The good life in rural America? , 2016 .

[17]  M. Bell,et al.  Internal migration age patterns and the transition to adulthood: Australia and Great Britain compared , 2016 .

[18]  P. Veneri,et al.  Urban‐To‐Rural Population Growth Linkages: Evidence from OECD Tl3 Regions , 2016 .

[19]  Thomas G. Measham,et al.  Impacts of unconventional gas development on rural community decline , 2014 .

[20]  D. Carson,et al.  Local economies of mobility in sparsely populated areas: Cases from Australia's spine , 2014 .

[21]  Rudiger Ahrend,et al.  Does Regional Economic Growth Depend on Proximity to Urban Centres , 2014 .

[22]  M. Tonts,et al.  The Amenity Principle, Internal Migration, and Rural Development in Australia , 2014 .

[23]  John Rolfe,et al.  Assessing the Trade‐Offs of Increased Mining Activity in the Surat Basin, Queensland: Preferences of Brisbane Residents Using Nonmarket Valuation Techniques , 2014 .

[24]  J. Connell,et al.  Introduction : twenty-first century rural Australia , 2014 .

[25]  Ron Boschma,et al.  Labour Market Externalities and Regional Growth in Sweden: The Importance of Labour Mobility between Skill-Related Industries , 2014 .

[26]  M. Herbst,et al.  Mobility of human capital and its effect on regional economic development. Review of theory and empirical literature , 2013 .

[27]  Paul Hyland,et al.  Labour attraction and retention in rural and remote Queensland communities , 2013 .

[28]  J. Rolfe,et al.  Populating regional Australia: What are the impacts of non-resident labour force practices on demographic growth in resource regions? , 2012 .

[29]  A. Allan Rural Revival? Place Marketing, Tree Change and Regional Migration in Australia , 2012 .

[30]  John Connell,et al.  Rural Revival?: Place Marketing, Tree Change and Regional Migration in Australia , 2011 .

[31]  Fiona Haslam McKenzie,et al.  Fly-in fly-out: The challenges of transient populations in rural landscapes , 2010 .

[32]  Neil Ward,et al.  Placing the Rural in Regional Development , 2009 .

[33]  N. Argent,et al.  Rural Youth Migration Trends in Australia: an Overview of Recent Trends and Two Inland Case Studies , 2008 .

[34]  John Rolfe,et al.  Lessons from the Social and Economic Impacts of the Mining Boom in the Bowen Basin 2004-2006 , 2007 .

[35]  M. Alston ‘You don't want to be a check‐out chick all your life’: The out‐migration of young people from Australia's small rural towns , 2004 .

[36]  J. Rolfe,et al.  The Attraction and Retention of Professionals to Regional Areas , 2004 .

[37]  G. Withers,et al.  Immigration and the Regions: Taking Regional Australia Seriously: A Report on options for enhancing immigration's contribution to regional Australia , 2003 .

[38]  Bill Pritchard,et al.  Land of discontent: the dynamics of change in rural and regional Australia , 2000 .

[39]  F. McKenzie Population Decline in Non-Metropolitan Australia: Impacts and Policy Implications , 1994 .