A multicriteria approach to sustainable energy supply for the rural poor

Despite significant progress in energy technology, about two billion people worldwide, particularly the poor in rural areas of developing countries, have no access to electricity. Decision-making concerning the most appropriate energy technology for supplying these areas has been difficult; existing energy decision-support tools have been useful but are mostly incomplete. Trade-offs, as well as impacts that can be positive or negative, may emerge as a result of implementing modern forms of energy. These can affect both community’s livelihoods as well as the confidence of decision-makers in relation to alternative technologies. The paper discusses a newly designed multicriteria approach and its novel robustness analysis for selecting energy generation systems for the improvement of livelihoods in rural areas. The proposed methodology builds upon a sustainable rural livelihoods framework to address multiple interactions and calculate trade-offs aimed at boosting decision-makers’ confidence in the selected technologies. The methodology is tested via a case study in Colombia.

[1]  Honora Smith,et al.  OR in developing countries: A review , 2011, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[2]  B. J. C. Perera,et al.  Stakeholder preference elicitation and modelling in multi-criteria decision analysis - A case study on urban water supply , 2010, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[3]  M. Ramachandran,et al.  Application of multi-criteria decision making to sustainable energy planning--A review , 2004 .

[4]  Otto Rentz,et al.  Sensitivity analyses in multi‐attribute decision support for off‐site nuclear emergency and recovery management , 2007 .

[5]  O. Petkova,et al.  Mixing Multiple Criteria Decision Making with soft systems thinking techniques for decision support in complex situations , 2007, Decis. Support Syst..

[6]  Maurizio Cellura,et al.  Decision making in energy planning: the ELECTRE multicriteria analysis approach compared to a FUZZY-SETS methodology , 1998 .

[7]  Xavier Pelet,et al.  Multiobjective optimisation of integrated energy systems for remote communities considering economics and CO2 emissions , 2005 .

[8]  Benjamin F. Hobbs,et al.  Energy Decisions and the Environment: A Guide to the Use of Multicriteria Methods , 2000 .

[9]  M. Roseland Sustainable community development: integrating environmental, economic, and social objectives , 2000 .

[10]  Fran Ackermann,et al.  Mixing OR methods in practice: Past, present and future directions , 2011, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[11]  Jonathan Rosenhead,et al.  Problem structuring methods in action , 2004, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[12]  Patricia Jaramillo,et al.  Energy supply for sustainable rural livelihoods. A multi-criteria decision-support system , 2007 .

[13]  Frik de Beer,et al.  Energy and the community of the poor: Urban settlements, household needs and participatory development in South Africa☆ , 1994 .

[14]  Theodor J. Stewart,et al.  Multiple criteria decision analysis - an integrated approach , 2001 .

[15]  Michael Doyle,et al.  Facilitator's Guide to Participatory Decision-Making , 1998 .

[16]  Alex Duncan,et al.  Sector Approaches, Sustainable Livelihoods and Rural Poverty Reduction , 2001 .

[17]  Bernard Roy,et al.  Robustness in operational research and decision aiding: A multi-faceted issue , 2010, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[18]  Vaclav Smil,et al.  Energy at the Crossroads: Global Perspectives and Uncertainties , 2005 .

[19]  Leena Srivastava,et al.  Energy for sustainable development in India: Linkages and strategic direction , 2006 .

[20]  Erik R. Larsen,et al.  The privatization of EEB : From cash drain to major contributor , 2007 .

[21]  E. Løken Use of multicriteria decision analysis methods for energy planning problems , 2007 .

[22]  Jyrki Wallenius,et al.  A study of high-level managerial decision processes, with implications for MCDM research , 2000, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[23]  C. Ashley,et al.  Sustainable livelihoods: lessons from early experience. , 1999 .

[24]  Bundit Limmeechokchai,et al.  Sustainable energy development strategies in the rural Thailand: The case of the improved cooking stove and the small biogas digester , 2007 .

[25]  Juscelino Almeida Dias,et al.  A stochastic method for robustness analysis in sorting problems , 2009, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[26]  M. Kablan Prioritization of decentralized electricity options available for rural areas in Jordan , 1997 .

[27]  Walter O. Rom,et al.  Ensuring quality in resource constrained project scheduling , 1997 .

[28]  Leroy White,et al.  Operational research and sustainable development: Tackling the social dimension , 2009, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[29]  A. Jessop Entropy in multiattribute problems , 1999 .

[30]  W. Edwards,et al.  Decision Analysis and Behavioral Research , 1986 .

[31]  Jean Pierre Brans,et al.  Multicriteria ranking of alternative locations for small scale hydro plants , 1987 .

[32]  E. Georgopoulou,et al.  A multicriteria decision aid approach for energy planning problems: The case of renewable energy option , 1997 .

[33]  Raimo P. Hämäläinen,et al.  On the convergence of multiattribute weighting methods , 2001, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[34]  K. A. Nigim,et al.  Pre-feasibility MCDM tools to aid communities in prioritizing local viable renewable energy sources , 2004 .

[35]  S. Mirasgedis,et al.  A multiple criteria decision-aid approach in defining national priorities for greenhouse gases emissions reduction in the energy sector , 2003, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[36]  Milan Zeleny,et al.  Multiple Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) , 2004 .

[37]  Oscar J. Mesa,et al.  A Rural Electrification Expansion Model , 1996 .

[38]  R. Hämäläinen,et al.  On the measurement of preferences in the analytic hierarchy process , 1997 .

[39]  E. Choo,et al.  Multi‐Criteria Ratios: What is the Unit? , 2011 .

[40]  Valerie Belton,et al.  Integrated Support from Problem Structuring through to Alternative Evaluation Using COPE and V·I·S·A , 1997 .

[41]  B. W. Ang,et al.  Decision analysis in energy and environmental modeling , 1995 .

[42]  R. Ramanathan,et al.  Group preference aggregation methods employed in AHP: An evaluation and an intrinsic process for deriving members' weightages , 1994 .

[43]  Benjamin F. Hobbs,et al.  Building public confidence in energy planning : a multimethod MCDM approach to demand-side planning at BC gas , 1997 .

[44]  Pragasen Pillay,et al.  Energy services in sub-Saharan Africa: how conducive is the environment? , 2004 .