National Scale Operational Mapping of Burnt Areas as a Tool for the Better Understanding of Contemporary Wildfire Patterns and Regimes

This paper presents the results of an operational nationwide burnt area mapping service realized over Greece for the years 2007–2011, through the implementation of the so-called BSM_NOA dedicated method developed at the National Observatory of Athens for post-fire recovery management. The method exploits multispectral satellite imagery, such as Landsat-TM, SPOT, FORMOSAT-2, WorldView and IKONOS. The analysis of fire size distribution reveals that a high number of fire events evolve to large and extremely large wildfires under favorable wildfire conditions, confirming the reported trend of an increasing fire-severity in recent years. Furthermore, under such conditions wildfires affect to a higher degree areas at high altitudes, threatening the existence of ecologically significant ecosystems. Finally, recent socioeconomic changes and land abandonment has resulted in the encroachment of former agricultural areas of limited productivity by shrubs and trees, resulting both in increased fuel availability and continuity, and subsequently increased burnability.

[1]  C. Giannakopoulos,et al.  The exceptionally hot summer of 2007 in Athens, Greece — A typical summer in the future climate? , 2009 .

[2]  Richard A. Minnich,et al.  An Integrated Model of Two Fire Regimes , 2001 .

[3]  I. Keramitsoglou,et al.  Reliable, accurate and timely forest mapping for wildfire management using ASTER and Hyperion satellite imagery , 2008 .

[4]  J. Pausas,et al.  Changes in Fire and Climate in the Eastern Iberian Peninsula (Mediterranean Basin) , 2004 .

[5]  E. Johnson,et al.  Wildfire Regime in the Boreal Forest and the Idea of Suppression and Fuel Buildup , 2001 .

[6]  Juli G. Pausas,et al.  Fire regime changes in the Western Mediterranean Basin: from fuel-limited to drought-driven fire regime , 2011, Climatic Change.

[7]  Francisco Moreira,et al.  Size-dependent pattern of wildfire ignitions in Portugal: when do ignitions turn into big fires? , 2010, Landscape Ecology.

[8]  Juli G. Pausas,et al.  Plant persistence traits in fire-prone ecosystems of the Mediterranean basin: a phylogenetic approach , 2005 .

[9]  B. W. Wilgen,et al.  Fire and Plants , 1995, Population and Community Biology Series.

[10]  Thomas M. Bonnicksen,et al.  Computer simulation of the cumulative effects of brushland fire-management policies , 1980 .

[11]  B. Ahrens,et al.  Regional Climate Projections , 2015 .

[12]  Ross A. Bradstock,et al.  Fire persistence traits of plants along a productivity and disturbance gradient in mediterranean shrublands of south‐east Australia , 2007 .

[13]  R. Minnich Fire Mosaics in Southern California and Northern Baja California , 1983, Science.

[14]  Juli G Pausas,et al.  Fire as an evolutionary pressure shaping plant traits. , 2011, Trends in plant science.

[15]  Nikos Koutsias,et al.  Where did the fires burn in Peloponnisos, Greece the summer of 2007? Evidence for a synergy of fuel and weather , 2012 .

[16]  Carlos A. F. Marques,et al.  Fire weather risk assessment under climate change using a dynamical downscaling approach , 2011, Environ. Model. Softw..

[17]  W. Bond,et al.  Fire as a global 'herbivore': the ecology and evolution of flammable ecosystems. , 2005, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[18]  F. Woodward,et al.  The global distribution of ecosystems in a world without fire. , 2004, The New phytologist.

[19]  A. Callegari,et al.  Forest Fires , 1934, Nature.

[20]  J. Keeley,et al.  A Burning Story: The Role of Fire in the History of Life , 2009 .

[21]  Scott L. Goodrick,et al.  Trends in global wildfire potential in a changing climate , 2010 .

[22]  L. Trabaud,et al.  The role of fire in ecological systems , 1987 .

[23]  Charalambos Kontoes,et al.  Operational land cover change detection using change vector analysis , 2008 .

[24]  Jon E. Keeley,et al.  Historic Fire Regime in Southern California Shrublands , 2001 .

[25]  Jon E. Keeley,et al.  Fire and the Miocene expansion of C4 grasslands , 2005 .

[26]  W. Bond,et al.  Ecology of sprouting in woody plants: the persistence niche. , 2001, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[27]  M Dodge,et al.  Forest fuel accumulation--a growing problem. , 1972, Science.

[28]  Juli G. Pausas Changes in Fire and Climate in the Eastern Iberian Peninsula (Mediterranean Basin) , 2004 .

[29]  Alberto Cruz,et al.  Effects of the recent land-use history on the postfire vegetation of uplands in Central Spain , 2003 .

[30]  Z. Naveh FIRE IN THE MEDITERRANEAN - A LANDSCAPE ECOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVE. , 1990 .

[31]  Harold A. Mooney,et al.  Resilience at the individual plant level , 1986 .

[32]  Charalambos Kontoes,et al.  A comparative analysis of a fixed thresholding vs. a classification tree approach for operational burn scar detection and mapping , 2009, Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. Geoinformation.

[33]  S. Rambal,et al.  Simulating climate change impacts on fire frequency and vegetation dynamics in a Mediterranean‐type ecosystem , 2002 .

[34]  S. Stephens,et al.  FEDERAL FOREST‐FIRE POLICY IN THE UNITED STATES , 2005 .

[35]  Juli G. Pausas,et al.  Inferring differential evolutionary processes of plant persistence traits in Northern Hemisphere Mediterranean fire‐prone ecosystems , 2006 .

[36]  Hans Lambers,et al.  Little evidence for fire-adapted plant traits in Mediterranean climate regions. , 2011, Trends in plant science.

[37]  L. Trabaud,et al.  Postfire Plant Community Dynamics in the Mediterranean Basin , 1994 .

[38]  Z. Naveh,et al.  The evolutionary significance of fire in the mediterranean region , 2006, Vegetatio.

[39]  Ioannis Z. Gitas,et al.  Burned Area Mapping in Greece Using SPOT-4 HRVIR Images and Object-Based Image Analysis , 2012, Remote. Sens..

[40]  Irene Lavery,et al.  Return to the future. , 2004, Nursing standard (Royal College of Nursing (Great Britain) : 1987).

[41]  Ioannis Z. Gitas,et al.  The development of an operational procedure for burned-area mapping using object-based classification and ASTER imagery , 2010 .

[42]  F. Moreira,et al.  Modeling and mapping wildfire ignition risk in Portugal , 2009 .

[43]  I. Tegoulias,et al.  Extreme temperatures in Greece during 2007: Could this be a “return to the future”? , 2009 .