Probabilistic Forecasting of El Niño Using Neural Network Models
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] A. J. Clarke,et al. On the Warm Water Volume and Its Changing Relationship with ENSO , 2014 .
[2] Alex J. Cannon,et al. Non-crossing nonlinear regression quantiles by monotone composite quantile regression neural network, with application to rainfall extremes , 2018, Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment.
[3] A. Timmermann,et al. El Niño–Southern Oscillation complexity , 2018, Nature.
[4] Petra Friederichs,et al. Decomposition and graphical portrayal of the quantile score , 2014 .
[5] A. J. Clarke. El Niño physics and El Niño predictability. , 2013, Annual review of marine science.
[6] Matthieu Lengaigne,et al. Influence of the state of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the following year’s El Niño , 2010 .
[7] Jürgen Kurths,et al. Disentangling different types of El Niño episodes by evolving climate network analysis. , 2013, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.
[8] Mojib Latif,et al. Dynamics of Interdecadal Variability in Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Models , 1998 .
[9] Emilio Hernández-García,et al. Percolation-based precursors of transitions in extended systems , 2016, Scientific Reports.
[10] William W. Hsieh,et al. Neural network forecasts of the tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures , 2006, Neural Networks.
[11] Thomas M. Smith,et al. Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature, Version 5 (ERSSTv5): Upgrades, Validations, and Intercomparisons , 2017 .
[12] James W. Taylor. A Quantile Regression Neural Network Approach to Estimating the Conditional Density of Multiperiod Returns , 2000 .
[13] M. Iredell,et al. The NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2 , 2014 .
[14] Alex J. Cannon. Quantile regression neural networks: Implementation in R and application to precipitation downscaling , 2011, Comput. Geosci..
[15] Dejian Yang,et al. Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study , 2018, National Science Review.
[16] William W. Hsieh,et al. Forecasting regional sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific by neural network models, with wind stress and sea level pressure as predictors , 1998 .
[17] M. Hoerling,et al. ENSO variability, teleconnections and climate change , 2001 .
[18] David L. T. Anderson,et al. Decadal and Seasonal Dependence of ENSO Prediction Skill , 1995 .
[19] Michael K. Tippett,et al. Deterministic skill of ENSO predictions from the North American Multimodel Ensemble , 2017, Climate Dynamics.
[20] Nitish Srivastava,et al. Dropout: a simple way to prevent neural networks from overfitting , 2014, J. Mach. Learn. Res..
[21] Max J. Suarez,et al. A Delayed Action Oscillator for ENSO , 1988 .
[22] Fei-Fei Jin,et al. An Equatorial Ocean Recharge Paradigm for ENSO. Part I: Conceptual Model , 1997 .
[23] A. Barnston,et al. Skill of Real-Time Seasonal ENSO Model Predictions During 2002–11: Is Our Capability Increasing? , 2012 .
[24] P. Friederichs,et al. Statistical Downscaling of Extreme Precipitation Events Using Censored Quantile Regression , 2007 .
[25] William W. Hsieh,et al. Forecasting the equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures by neural network models , 1997 .
[26] Dake Chen,et al. El Niño prediction and predictability , 2008, J. Comput. Phys..
[27] A. Barnston,et al. Toward an Improved Multimodel ENSO Prediction , 2015 .
[28] Shlomo Havlin,et al. Very early warning of next El Niño , 2014, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
[29] M. Balmaseda,et al. Evaluation of the ECMWF ocean reanalysis system ORAS4 , 2013 .
[30] S. Hameed,et al. A model for super El Niños , 2018, Nature Communications.
[31] R. Reynolds,et al. The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project , 1996, Renewable Energy.
[32] Christopher K. Wikle,et al. Bayesian Recurrent Neural Network Models for Forecasting and Quantifying Uncertainty in Spatial-Temporal Data , 2017, Entropy.
[33] Jeong-Hwan Kim,et al. Deep learning for multi-year ENSO forecasts , 2019, Nature.
[34] R. Koenker,et al. Goodness of Fit and Related Inference Processes for Quantile Regression , 1999 .
[35] Henk A. Dijkstra,et al. Using network theory and machine learning to predict El Niño , 2018, Earth System Dynamics.
[36] Coherent Tropical Indo-Pacific Interannual Climate Variability , 2016 .