Simulation of natural land use zoning under free-market and incremental development control regimes

Abstract This paper is the third in a series which presents an approach to embedding micro-economic models of community and developer behaviour within a Cellular Automata framework. The first two papers ( Webster & Wu, 1998a Webster & Wu, 1998b ) present the economic theory and simulation methodology respectively. Here we concentrate on a discussion of the simulation results. The purpose is to demonstrate the richness of information that comes from a model which explicitly models space as well as behaviour. Two illustrative simulations are defined to represent cities evolving under very different regulative regimes. The simulations yield a range of urban performance indicators which are discussed in some detail.

[1]  Nigel Gilbert,et al.  Simulating Societies : The Computer Simulation of Social Phenomena , 1995 .

[2]  Chris Webster,et al.  Simulating urban growth under alternative systems of property rights , 1997 .

[3]  Chris Webster,et al.  Regulation, Land-Use Mix, and Urban Performance. Part 2: Simulation , 1999 .

[4]  Chris Webster,et al.  Public Choice, Pigouvian and Coasian Planning Theory , 1998 .

[5]  Roger White,et al.  Cellular Automata and Fractal Urban Form: A Cellular Modelling Approach to the Evolution of Urban Land-Use Patterns , 1993 .

[6]  C. Webster.  Analytical public-choice planning theory: a response to Poulton , 1998 .

[7]  Torsten Hägerstrand,et al.  A Monte Carlo Approach to Diffusion , 1965, European Journal of Sociology.

[8]  F. Wu,et al.  An Experiment on the Generic Polycentricity of Urban Growth in a Cellular Automatic City , 1998 .

[9]  Chris Webster,et al.  Simulations of urban growth with models of pollution property rights and subcentre formation , 1997 .

[10]  Chris Webster,et al.  Regulation, Land-Use Mix, and Urban Performance. Part 1: Theory , 1999 .

[11]  F. Wu,et al.  Simulation of Land Development through the Integration of Cellular Automata and Multicriteria Evaluation , 1998 .

[12]  Juval Portugali,et al.  Artificial Planning Experience by Means of a Heuristic Cell-Space Model: Simulating International Migration in the Urban Process , 1995 .

[13]  Michael Batty,et al.  Urban Systems as Cellular Automata , 1997 .

[14]  Michael Batty,et al.  From Cells to Cities , 1994 .