Information Technology Project Portfolio Implementation Process Optimization Based on Complex Network Theory and Entropy

In traditional information technology project portfolio management (ITPPM), managers often pay more attention to the optimization of portfolio selection in the initial stage. In fact, during the portfolio implementation process, there are still issues to be optimized. Organizing cooperation will enhance the efficiency, although it brings more immediate risk due to the complex variety of links between projects. In order to balance the efficiency and risk, an optimization method is presented based on the complex network theory and entropy, which will assist portfolio managers in recognizing the structure of the portfolio and determine the cooperation range. Firstly, a complex network model for an IT project portfolio is constructed, in which the project is simulated as an artificial life agent. At the same time, the portfolio is viewed as a small scale of society. Following this, social network analysis is used to detect and divide communities in order to estimate the roles of projects between different portfolios. Based on these, the efficiency and the risk are measured using entropy and are balanced through searching for adequate hierarchy community divisions. Thus, the activities of cooperation in organizations, risk management, and so on—which are usually viewed as an important art—can be discussed and conducted based on quantity calculations.

[1]  Ralf Müller,et al.  New Insights into Project Management Research: A Natural Sciences Comparative , 2015, Project Management Methodologies, Governance and Success.

[2]  Massimiliano Zanin,et al.  Complex Network Theory , 2016 .

[3]  Tirazheh Zare Garizy,et al.  Systemic Risk in IT Portfolios - An Integrated Quantification Approach , 2015, ICIS.

[4]  Mariusz Hofman,et al.  Project Portfolio Risk Identification-Application of Delphi Method , 2015 .

[5]  D. Hartono,et al.  Dynamic Project Interdependencies (PI) in Optimizing Project Portfolio Management (PPM) , 2015 .

[6]  Catherine P. Killen,et al.  Evaluation of project interdependency visualizations through decision scenario experimentation , 2013 .

[7]  Alexander Kock,et al.  An empirical investigation on how portfolio risk management influences project portfolio success , 2013 .

[8]  Hans-Georg Gemünden,et al.  Predicting Project Portfolio Success by Measuring Management Quality—A Longitudinal Study , 2013, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management.

[9]  Frosina Tasevska,et al.  Management of Project Interdependencies in a Project Portfolio , 2013 .

[10]  Enrico Zio,et al.  Network theory-based analysis of risk interactions in large engineering projects , 2012, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[11]  Yvan Petit,et al.  Advancing project and portfolio management research: applying strategic management theories , 2012 .

[12]  H. Gemünden,et al.  The three roles of a project portfolio management office: Their impact on portfolio management execution and success , 2012 .

[13]  Catherine P. Killen,et al.  Understanding project interdependencies: The role of visual representation, culture and process , 2012 .

[14]  B. Flyvbjerg,et al.  Why Your IT Project May Be Riskier than You Think , 2011, 1304.0265.

[15]  Olli-Pekka Hilmola,et al.  Interdependency management of projects: survey comparison between Estonia and Finland , 2011 .

[16]  Yifan Hu,et al.  Algorithms for Visualizing Large Networks , 2011 .

[17]  Sascha Meskendahl The influence of business strategy on project portfolio management and its success — A conceptual framework , 2010 .

[18]  Olaf Sporns,et al.  Complex network measures of brain connectivity: Uses and interpretations , 2010, NeuroImage.

[19]  John Skvoretz,et al.  Node centrality in weighted networks: Generalizing degree and shortest paths , 2010, Soc. Networks.

[20]  Alper Yilmaz,et al.  A SOCIAL NETWORK ANALYSIS APPROACH TO ANALYZE ROAD NETWORKS , 2010 .

[21]  Mark Winter,et al.  Images of Projects , 2009 .

[22]  Honglei Li,et al.  A particle swarm optimization-driven cognitive map approach to analyzing information systems project risk , 2009, J. Assoc. Inf. Sci. Technol..

[23]  Tore Opsahl,et al.  Clustering in weighted networks , 2009, Soc. Networks.

[24]  Robert Pellerin,et al.  Risk management applied to projects, programs, and portfolios , 2009 .

[25]  G. Bianconi Entropy of network ensembles. , 2008, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[26]  Claudio Castellano,et al.  Community Structure in Graphs , 2007, Encyclopedia of Complexity and Systems Science.

[27]  K. Gurney,et al.  Network ‘Small-World-Ness’: A Quantitative Method for Determining Canonical Network Equivalence , 2008, PloS one.

[28]  Jean-Loup Guillaume,et al.  Fast unfolding of communities in large networks , 2008, 0803.0476.

[29]  Phillip Bonacich,et al.  Some unique properties of eigenvector centrality , 2007, Soc. Networks.

[30]  Peter W. G. Morris,et al.  The Wiley Guide to Project, Program, and Portfolio Management , 2007 .

[31]  A. Medaglia,et al.  Model for the Selection and Scheduling of Interdependent Projects , 2007, 2007 IEEE Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium.

[32]  Martin G. Everett,et al.  A Graph-theoretic perspective on centrality , 2006, Soc. Networks.

[33]  M E J Newman,et al.  Modularity and community structure in networks. , 2006, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[34]  V. Latora,et al.  Complex networks: Structure and dynamics , 2006 .

[35]  John R. Drake,et al.  RISK IN INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY PROJECT PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT , 2006 .

[36]  Sang Joon Kim,et al.  A Mathematical Theory of Communication , 2006 .

[37]  B. Uzzi,et al.  Collaboration and Creativity: The Small World Problem1 , 2005, American Journal of Sociology.

[38]  Jose L. Salmeron,et al.  An AHP-based methodology to rank critical success factors of executive information systems , 2005, Comput. Stand. Interfaces.

[39]  Y. Kwak,et al.  Project risk management: lessons learned from software development environment , 2004 .

[40]  M. Newman Analysis of weighted networks. , 2004, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[41]  Michael Pilato Version Control with Subversion , 2004 .

[42]  A. Vespignani,et al.  The architecture of complex weighted networks. , 2003, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[43]  M. Newman,et al.  Finding and evaluating community structure in networks. , 2003, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[44]  Wu Jun Network Structure Entropy and Its Application to Scale-free Networks , 2004 .

[45]  Tuure Tuunanen,et al.  Extending Critical Success Factors Methodology to Facilitate Broadly Participative Information Systems Planning , 2003, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[46]  Chen-Fu Chien,et al.  A Portfolio-Evaluation Framework for Selecting R&D Projects , 2002 .

[47]  Gernot Grabher Cool Projects, Boring Institutions: Temporary Collaboration in Social Context , 2002 .

[48]  J. Kent Crawford The Strategic Project Office , 2001 .

[49]  J. Mikkola Portfolio management of R&D projects: implications for innovation management , 2001 .

[50]  Albert-László Barabási,et al.  Statistical mechanics of complex networks , 2001, ArXiv.

[51]  U. Brandes A faster algorithm for betweenness centrality , 2001 .

[52]  Robin Cowan,et al.  Network Structure and the Diffusion of Knowledge , 2004 .

[53]  Albert,et al.  Emergence of scaling in random networks , 1999, Science.

[54]  Kathy Schwalbe,et al.  Information Technology Project Management , 1999 .

[55]  Brenda Whittaker,et al.  What went wrong? Unsuccessful information technology projects , 1999, Inf. Manag. Comput. Secur..

[56]  Duncan J. Watts,et al.  Collective dynamics of ‘small-world’ networks , 1998, Nature.

[57]  Robert G. Cooper,et al.  Portfolio Management for New Products (Управление портфелем новых продуктов) , 1998 .

[58]  David B. Humphrey,et al.  Scale Economies in Banking: A Restructuring and Reassessment , 1982 .

[59]  L. Freeman Centrality in social networks conceptual clarification , 1978 .

[60]  Paul Erdös,et al.  On random graphs, I , 1959 .

[61]  Alex Bavelas,et al.  Communication Patterns in Task‐Oriented Groups , 1950 .