Methods to improve the neural network performance in suspended sediment estimation

The effect of employment of different methods of suspended sediment estimation by artificial neural networks (ANNs) was the concern of the presented study. It was seen that the initial statistical analysis of flow and sediment data provided valuable information about the appropriate number of input nodes of the neural network, thereby avoiding redundant nodes. The k-fold partitioning of the training data set showed that similar or even superior sediment estimation performances can be obtained with quite limited data provided that the training data statistics of the subset are close to those of the testing data. The range-dependent neural network (RDNN) was found to be superior to conventional ANN applications, where only a single network is trained considering the entire training data set. It was seen that both low and high-observed sediment values were closely approximated by the RDNN.

[1]  W. C. Lennox,et al.  Groups and neural networks based streamflow data infilling procedures , 2001 .

[2]  A. W. Minns,et al.  Artificial neural networks as rainfall-runoff models , 1996 .

[3]  Holger R. Maier,et al.  Neural networks for the prediction and forecasting of water resource variables: a review of modelling issues and applications , 2000, Environ. Model. Softw..

[4]  Hikmet Kerem Cigizoglu,et al.  Estimation, forecasting and extrapolation of river flows by artificial neural networks , 2003 .

[5]  K. P. Sudheer,et al.  A data‐driven algorithm for constructing artificial neural network rainfall‐runoff models , 2002 .

[6]  K. Thirumalaiah,et al.  Hydrological Forecasting Using Neural Networks , 2000 .

[7]  R. J. Abrahart,et al.  Modelling sediment transfer in Malawi: comparing backpropagation neural network solutions against a multiple linear regression benchmark using small data sets , 2001 .

[8]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  River Flow Modeling Using Artificial Neural Networks , 2004 .

[9]  Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz,et al.  Nonlinear flood routing with multilinear models , 1987 .

[10]  D. I. Steinberg Mathematical models for surface water hydrology : Edited by T. A. Ciriani, U. Maione and J. R. Wallis. Wiley Interscience, New York, 1977, 423 pp., $27.50 , 1978 .

[11]  M. Pazzani,et al.  Error Reduction through Learning Multiple Descriptions , 1996, Machine Learning.

[12]  Tiesong Hu,et al.  River flow time series prediction with a range-dependent neural network , 2001 .

[13]  A. W. Jayawardena,et al.  Runoff Forecasting Using RBF Networks with OLS Algorithm , 1998 .

[14]  M. Y. El-Bakry Feed forward neural networks modeling for K-P interactions , 2003 .

[15]  Hikmet Kerem Cigizoglu,et al.  Application of Generalized Regression Neural Networks to Intermittent Flow Forecasting and Estimation , 2005 .

[16]  Kuolin Hsu,et al.  Artificial Neural Network Modeling of the Rainfall‐Runoff Process , 1995 .

[17]  J. Eheart,et al.  Neural network-based screening for groundwater reclamation under uncertainty , 1993 .

[18]  Linda See,et al.  Applying soft computing approaches to river level forecasting , 1999 .

[19]  H. K. Cigizoglu,et al.  Incorporation of ARMA models into flow forecasting by artificial neural networks , 2003 .

[20]  Rao S. Govindaraju,et al.  Modular Neural Networks for Watershed Runoff , 2000 .

[21]  N. Null Artificial Neural Networks in Hydrology. I: Preliminary Concepts , 2000 .

[22]  Christian W. Dawson,et al.  Hydrological modelling using artificial neural networks , 2001 .

[23]  Slobodan P. Simonovic,et al.  Estimation of missing streamflow data using principles of chaos theory , 2002 .

[24]  null null,et al.  Artificial Neural Networks in Hydrology. II: Hydrologic Applications , 2000 .

[25]  Rao S. Govindaraju,et al.  Prediction of watershed runoff using Bayesian concepts and modular neural networks , 2000 .

[26]  H. K. Cigizoglu,et al.  ESTIMATION AND FORECASTING OF DAILY SUSPENDED SEDIMENT DATA BY MULTI-LAYER PERCEPTRONS , 2004 .

[27]  John A. Dracup,et al.  Artificial Neural Networks and Long-Range Precipitation Prediction in California , 2000 .

[28]  Richard Labib,et al.  Performance of Neural Networks in Daily Streamflow Forecasting , 2002 .

[29]  J. Nash,et al.  River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I — A discussion of principles☆ , 1970 .

[30]  L. Natale,et al.  Non-linear modelling of the rainfall-runoff transformation , 1992 .

[31]  A. Tokar,et al.  Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Artificial Neural Networks , 1999 .

[32]  Hikmet Kerem Cigizoglu Discussion of “Performance of Neural Networks in Daily Streamflow Forecasting” by S. Birikundavyi, R. Labib, H. T. Trung, and J. Rousselle , 2004 .

[33]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Flow prediction by three back propagation techniques using k-fold partitioning of neural network training data , 2005 .

[34]  K. Thirumalaiah,et al.  River Stage Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Networks , 1998 .

[35]  Mohammad Bagher Menhaj,et al.  Training feedforward networks with the Marquardt algorithm , 1994, IEEE Trans. Neural Networks.