Methods to Assess Costs of Drought Damages and Policies for Drought Mitigation and Adaptation: Review and Recommendations

This article examines available methods for assessing all types of drought costs, including both damage costs and costs arising from adopting policy measures to encourage mitigation of, and adaptation to, droughts. It first discusses damage costs, distinguishing between direct, indirect and non-market costs. Then it examines the suitability of existing methods for estimating drought costs in different economic sectors, their underlying theoretical assumptions, complementarity between different methods, and conditions relevant for their application. The latter include precision, ability to deal with future climate change risks, data needs and availability, and required financial and human resources. The article further considers potential policies for drought mitigation and adaptation and different cost types associated with them. It ends with providing recommendations for good practices regarding the use of methods as well as drought mitigation and adaptation policies.

[1]  A Report for United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change , 2007 .

[2]  Stein T. Holden,et al.  Land degradation, drought and food security in a less‐favoured area in the Ethiopian highlands: a bio‐economic model with market imperfections , 2004 .

[3]  G. Fischer,et al.  Socio-economic and climate change impacts on agriculture: an integrated assessment, 1990–2080 , 2005, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[4]  Roy Brouwer,et al.  Environmental value transfer: state of the art and future prospects , 2000 .

[5]  F. Ward,et al.  Integrated economic, hydrologic, and institutional analysis of policy responses to mitigate drought impacts in Rio Grande Basin , 2006 .

[6]  J. Bergh,et al.  Methods for Assessment of the Costs of Droughts , 2011 .

[7]  Robert M. Hamm,et al.  The Value of Water Supply Reliability in Urban Water Systems , 1994 .

[8]  N. Sisto,et al.  Estimating the economic impacts of drought , 2011 .

[9]  P. Koss,et al.  The value of water supply reliability in California , 2001 .

[10]  Maria Llop,et al.  Economic impact of alternative water policy scenarios in the Spanish production system: An input-output analysis , 2008 .

[11]  G. Wittwer,et al.  Closing the factory doors until better times: CGE modelling of drought using a theory of excess capacity , 2010 .

[12]  D. Hensher,et al.  Households’ Willingness to Pay for Water Service Attributes , 2005 .

[13]  E. Velázquez,et al.  An input-output model of water consumption: Analysing intersectoral water relationships in Andalusia , 2006 .

[14]  J. Mjelde,et al.  Valuing Water Supply Reliability , 2000 .

[15]  J. Martin-Ortega Costs of adaptation to climate change impacts on fresh-water systems: existing estimates and research gaps , 2011 .

[16]  M. Hayes,et al.  Measuring Economic Impacts of Drought: A Review and Discussion , 2011 .

[17]  Kurt K. Klein,et al.  Agricultural drought impact evaluation model: A systems approach , 1989 .

[18]  John R. Madden,et al.  The impact of the 2002–2003 drought on Australia , 2005 .

[19]  James Thurlow,et al.  Droughts and floods in Malawi , 2010 .

[20]  Norman J. Rosenberg A Methodology Called ‘Mink’ for Study of Climate Change Impacts and Responses on the Regional Scale , 1993 .

[21]  Norman J. Rosenberg A methodology called ‘mink’ for study of climate change impacts and responses on the regional scale , 1993 .

[22]  Donald A. Wilhite,et al.  Preparing for drought: a methodology. , 2000 .

[23]  J. Barreiro-Hurlé,et al.  Assessing the socio-economic impacts of drought in the Ebro River Basin , 2009 .

[24]  A. Fisher,et al.  Alternatives for Managing Drought: A Comparative Cost Analysis , 1995 .

[25]  Antonino Cancelliere,et al.  Case Study: Multicriteria Assessment of Drought Mitigation Measures , 2005 .

[26]  Chi-Keung Woo,et al.  Managing water supply shortage Interruption vs. pricing , 1994 .

[27]  James F. Booker Hydrologic and economic impacts of drought under alternative policy responses , 1995 .

[28]  WHAT DOES A DRY SEASON MEAN TO THE WESTERN AUSTRALIAN ECONOMY? A CGE INVESTIGATION , 2003 .

[29]  A. Hoekstra,et al.  The economic impact of restricted water supply: a computable general equilibrium analysis. , 2007, Water research.

[30]  Donald A. Wilhite,et al.  Drought assessment, management, and planning : theory and case studies , 1993 .

[31]  A. Michelsen,et al.  Economics of optioning agricultural water rights for urban water supplies during drought , 1993 .

[32]  D. Hensher,et al.  Water Supply Security and Willingness to Pay to Avoid Drought Restrictions , 2006 .

[33]  Randall A. Kramer,et al.  Pricing ecological services: Willingness to pay for drought mitigation from watershed protection in eastern Indonesia , 2001 .

[34]  M. G. Valiñas Analysing rationing policies: drought and its effects on urban users’ welfare (Analysing rationing policies during drought) , 2006 .

[35]  Paul Frijters,et al.  Quantifying the costs of drought: new evidence from life satisfaction data , 2009 .

[36]  Subhrendu K. Pattanayak,et al.  Worth of watersheds: a producer surplus approach for valuing drought mitigation in Eastern Indonesia , 2001, Environment and Development Economics.

[37]  C. Benson,et al.  The impact of drought on sub-Saharan African economies - a preliminary examination , 1998 .

[38]  Roy Boyd,et al.  Extreme climate events and adaptation: an exploratory analysis of drought in Mexico , 2009, Environment and Development Economics.

[39]  Sonia I. Seneviratne,et al.  Simulating past droughts and associated building damages in France. , 2009 .

[40]  Michael B. Ward,et al.  Prices Versus Rationing: Marshallian Surplus and Mandatory Water Restrictions , 2008 .

[41]  Mikel González-Eguino,et al.  The costs of drought: the 2007/2008 case of Barcelona , 2012 .

[42]  Ari M. Michelsen,et al.  Economic impact of alternative policy responses to prolonged and severe drought in the Rio Grande Basin , 2005 .