Location selection factors of concentrated solar power plant investments

Abstract This research aims to find, define, identify, describe, select and cluster (group, set) the location selection factors of very large concentrated solar power plant investments in Supergrids (super grid) and Global Grid with location selection factors module of the 1 s t generation Original Anatolian Honeybees’ investment decision support methodology. 11 preliminary screening investment stage criteria (e.g. C A : Direct normal irradiation/irradiance/insolation (DNI), C D : High-Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) & High-Voltage Alternating Current (HVAC) electrification/power grid infrastructure, C G : Political, war, terror & security conditions), and 287 pre-feasibility investment stage criteria (e.g. C B : Governments’ Supergrid integration policy, C B1 : Common Supergrid framework, legislation, and directive development willingness, C B2 : Common Supergrid electricity transmission law/regulation development willingness) are presented in a semantically clustered form by Grey Weighted Product Method based on expert judgments (3 linguistic variables in grey numbers and equal weight mean whitenization) weighting integrated with experience curve in select awarded criteria honeycomb cell, and Fuzzy Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory combined with Simple Additive Weighting Method based on expert judgments (3 linguistic variables in triangular fuzzy membership functions, and graded mean integration defuzzification) weighting integrated with experience curve in complex clustering honeycomb cell. 11 criteria at only 1 hierarchical level (factors) and 287 criteria at 4 hierarchical levels (i.e. main factors, factors, 1st level sub-factor, 2nd level sub-factors) are semantically clustered respectively for preliminary screening and pre-feasibility project investment development stages.

[1]  Dominique Peeters,et al.  Locating fire stations: An integrated approach for Belgium , 2012 .

[2]  Mohammad Mehdi Sepehri,et al.  Stores clustering using a data mining approach for distributing automotive spare-parts to reduce transportation costs , 2012, Expert Syst. Appl..

[3]  Mathieu Bastian,et al.  Gephi: An Open Source Software for Exploring and Manipulating Networks , 2009, ICWSM.

[4]  Ravi Shankar,et al.  An STEEP-fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS framework for evaluation and selection of thermal power plant location: A case study from India , 2012 .

[5]  Imhade P. Okokpujie,et al.  A framework for selecting the location of very large photovoltaic solar power plants on a global/supergrid , 2018, Energy Reports.

[6]  Jerzy Michnik,et al.  Weighted Influence Non-linear Gauge System (WINGS) - An analysis method for the systems of interrelated components , 2013, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[7]  Zoe Kourtzi,et al.  Differences in the Time Course of Learning for Hard Compared to Easy Training , 2013, Front. Psychol..

[8]  Ali Azadeh,et al.  Location optimization of wind plants in Iran by an integrated hierarchical Data Envelopment Analysis , 2011 .

[9]  Chin-Tsai Lin,et al.  Optimal Selection of Location for Taiwanese Hospitals to Ensure a Competitive Advantage by Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process and Sensitivity Analysis , 2007 .

[10]  Jin-Hee Lee,et al.  Site location analysis for small hydropower using geo-spatial information system , 2010 .

[11]  Hermann Ebbinghaus,et al.  Memory: a contribution to experimental psychology. , 1987, Annals of neurosciences.

[12]  Janne S. Kotiaho,et al.  Hotspots in cold climate: Conservation value of woodland key habitats in boreal forests , 2011 .

[13]  Rubén Abbas,et al.  High concentration linear Fresnel reflectors , 2013 .

[14]  B. Malle.  The relation between language and theory of mind in development and evolution , 2002 .

[15]  Mohammad Reza Fathi,et al.  Investigating the Effect of Emotional Intelligence and Personality Traits on Entrepreneurial Intention Using the Fuzzy DEMATEL Method , 2012 .

[16]  S. D. Gisi,et al.  Using an innovative criteria weighting tool for stakeholders involvement to rank MSW facility sites with the AHP. , 2010 .

[17]  Naser Hamidi,et al.  Prioritizing turnover decision factors using the DEMATEL method , 2012 .

[18]  Allen and Rosenbloom Paul S. Newell,et al.  Mechanisms of Skill Acquisition and the Law of Practice , 1993 .

[19]  Seow Lim,et al.  Heuristic algorithms for siting alternative-fuel stations using the Flow-Refueling Location Model , 2010, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[20]  Ji-Young Kim,et al.  Site selection of offshore wind farms around the Korean Peninsula through economic evaluation , 2011 .

[21]  Burak Omer Saracoglu,et al.  Initialization of a multi-objective evolutionary algorithms knowledge acquisition system for renewable energy power plants , 2018 .

[22]  Mark P. Johnson,et al.  Ecological coherence in marine reserve network design: an empirical evaluation of sequential site selection using genetic structure , 2012 .

[23]  Miin-Shen Yang,et al.  A new clustering approach using data envelopment analysis , 2009, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[24]  Olayinka S. Ohunakin,et al.  A comparative study of selected multi-criteria decision-making methodologies for location selection of very large concentrated solar power plants in Nigeria , 2018, African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development.

[25]  Aliahmadi Alireza,et al.  Application of Three Parameter Interval Grey Numbers in Enterprise Resource Planning Selection , 2012 .

[26]  G. A. Miller.  THE PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW THE MAGICAL NUMBER SEVEN, PLUS OR MINUS TWO: SOME LIMITS ON OUR CAPACITY FOR PROCESSING INFORMATION 1 , 1956 .

[27]  B. O. Saracoglu.  An Experimental Research of Small Hydropower Plant Investments Selection in Turkey by Carrot2, DEXi, DEXiTree , 2015 .

[28]  Hugh P. Possingham,et al.  Land managers’ willingness-to-sell defines conservation opportunity for protected area expansion , 2011 .

[29]  Barend F.N. Erasmus,et al.  Methods to detect species range size change from biological atlas data: A comparison using the South African Frog Atlas Project , 2012 .

[30]  C. Thaiss,et al.  Writing programs worldwide : profiles of academic writing in many places , 2012 .

[31]  Abdollah Hadi-Vencheh,et al.  A new fuzzy TOPSIS method based on left and right scores: An application for determining an industrial zone for dairy products factory , 2012, Appl. Soft Comput..

[32]  Tyson John Weaver,et al.  Financial appraisal of operational offshore wind energy projects , 2012 .

[33]  B. O. Saracoglu.  An Experimental Study on Fuzzy Expert System: Proposal for Financial Suitability Evaluation of Commercial and Participation Banks in Power Plant Projects in Turkey , 2014, Proceedings of the 18th Online World Conference on Soft Computing in Industrial Applications (WSC18).

[34]  Alessio Ishizaka,et al.  Location selection for the construction of a casino in the Greater London region: a triple multi-criteria approach , 2013 .

[35]  Nani Gopal Das,et al.  GIS-based multi-criteria evaluation to land suitability modelling for giant prawn (Macrobrachium rosenbergii) farming in Companigonj Upazila of Noakhali, Bangladesh , 2010 .

[36]  Ni-Bin Chang,et al.  An AHP-based fuzzy interval TOPSIS assessment for sustainable expansion of the solid waste management system in Setúbal Peninsula, Portugal , 2011 .

[37]  Thomas J. Palmeri,et al.  Theories of automaticity and the power law of practice. , 1999 .

[38]  Pablo Aragonés-Beltrán,et al.  An Analytic Network Process approach for siting a municipal solid waste plant in the Metropolitan Area of Valencia (Spain). , 2010, Journal of environmental management.

[39]  Murray Turoff,et al.  The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications , 1976 .

[40]  Takeshi Shirabe,et al.  Prescriptive modeling with map algebra for multi-zone allocation with size constraints , 2012, Comput. Environ. Urban Syst..

[41]  Emilio Fontela,et al.  DEMATEL: Progress achieved , 1974 .

[42]  Chun-An Chen.  Using DEMATEL Method for Medical Tourism Development in Taiwan , 2012 .

[43]  Shamik Sural,et al.  Privacy Protection in Association Rule Mining , 2005 .

[44]  Bettina Grün,et al.  Challenging “Factor–Cluster Segmentation” , 2008, Journal of Travel Research.

[45]  Etienne E. Kerre,et al.  Continuity focused choice of maxima: Yet another defuzzification method , 2001, Fuzzy Sets Syst..

[46]  Chin-Tsai Lin,et al.  Developing a hierarchy relation with an expert decision analysis process for selecting the optimal resort type for a Taiwanese international resort park , 2007, Expert Systems with Applications.

[47]  Jiang Jiang,et al.  TOPSIS with fuzzy belief structure for group belief multiple criteria decision making , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[48]  Richard B. Ivry,et al.  How Does Language Change Perception: A Cautionary Note , 2012, Front. Psychology.

[49]  S. M. Asadzadeh,et al.  A flexible neural network-fuzzy data envelopment analysis approach for location optimization of solar plants with uncertainty and complexity , 2011 .

[50]  Alain Billionnet,et al.  Solving the probabilistic reserve selection problem , 2011 .

[51]  Charles M. Judd,et al.  You want to appear competent? Be mean! You want to appear sociable? Be lazy! Group differentiation and the compensation effect , 2009 .

[52]  M. Nagai,et al.  Reviewing crisp, fuzzy, grey and rough mathematical models , 2007, 2007 IEEE International Conference on Grey Systems and Intelligent Services.

[53]  B. O. Saracoglu.  Experimental FOWA Aggregated Location Selection Model for VLCPVPPs in MENA Region in the Very Early Engineering Design , 2014, Proceedings of the 18th Online World Conference on Soft Computing in Industrial Applications (WSC18).

[54]  Elizabeth Fanning.  Formatting a Paper-based Survey Questionnaire: Best Practices , 2005 .

[55]  B. Boruff,et al.  Assessing the potential for concentrated solar power development in rural Australia , 2010 .

[56]  S. K. Goyal,et al.  A multi-criteria decision making approach for location planning for urban distribution centers under uncertainty , 2011, Math. Comput. Model..

[57]  Gin-Shuh Liang,et al.  A novel hybrid decision-making model for selecting locations in a fuzzy environment , 2011, Math. Comput. Model..

[58]  Burak Omer Saracoglu.  A PROMETHEE I, II and GAIA-based approach by Saaty's subjective criteria weighting for small hydropower plant investments in Turkey , 2016 .

[59]  Xinwang Liu,et al.  Parameterized defuzzification with maximum entropy weighting function - Another view of the weighting function expectation method , 2007, Math. Comput. Model..

[60]  Milos Jenicek,et al.  List of Cognitive Biases , 2010 .

[61]  Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas,et al.  Multi-Attribute Decision-Making Model by Applying Grey Numbers , 2009, Informatica.

[62]  Jon M. Conrad,et al.  Wildlife corridors as a connected subgraph problem , 2012 .

[63]  Burak Omer Saracoglu.  Comparative Study on Experimental 2 to 9 Triangular Fuzzy Membership Function Partitioned Type 1 Mamdanis FIS for G2EDPS , 2017 .

[64]  Chia-Wei Hsu,et al.  Site selection for carbon dioxide geological storage using analytic network process , 2012 .

[65]  Tayfun Cay,et al.  Selection of MSW landfill site for Konya, Turkey using GIS and multi-criteria evaluation , 2010, Environmental monitoring and assessment.

[66]  Ming Dong,et al.  A bottleneck Steiner tree based multi-objective location model and intelligent optimization of emergency logistics systems , 2013 .

[67]  Amine Boudghene Stambouli,et al.  The value of dispatchability of CSP plants in the electricity systems of Morocco and Algeria , 2012 .

[68]  N. Cowan.  The magical number 4 in short-term memory: A reconsideration of mental storage capacity , 2001, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[69]  R. Seibel.  DISCRIMINATION REACTION TIME FOR 1,023-ALTERNATIVE TASK. , 1963, Journal of experimental psychology.

[70]  Deng Ju-Long,et al.  Control problems of grey systems , 1982 .

[71]  K. Haase,et al.  Management of school locations allowing for free school choice , 2013 .

[72]  Burak Omer Saracoglu.  Analytic network process vs. Benjamin Franklin's rule to select private small hydropower plants investments , 2018 .

[73]  W. B. Cavnar,et al.  N-gram-based text categorization , 1994 .

[74]  R. Likert.  “Technique for the Measurement of Attitudes, A” , 2022, The SAGE Encyclopedia of Research Design.

[75]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Fuzzy multiple criteria forestry decision making based on an integrated VIKOR and AHP approach , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[76]  Noble Harter,et al.  Studies in the physiology and psychology of the telegraphic language , 1897 .

[77]  Ming-Shin Kuo,et al.  Optimal location selection for an international distribution center by using a new hybrid method , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[78]  Javad Jassbi,et al.  A Fuzzy DEMATEL framework for modeling cause and effect relationships of strategy map , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[79]  Johnny Wong,et al.  Evaluating the system intelligence of the intelligent building systems : Part 1 : Development of key intelligent indicators and conceptual analytical framework , 2008 .

[80]  M.-N. Mokhtarian,et al.  A new fuzzy weighted average (FWA) method based on left and right scores: An application for determining a suitable location for a gas oil station , 2011, Comput. Math. Appl..

[81]  M R Khadivi,et al.  Solid waste facilities location using of analytical network process and data envelopment analysis approaches. , 2012, Waste management.

[82]  Carol A. Miller,et al.  Developmental relationships between language and theory of mind. , 2006, American journal of speech-language pathology.

[83]  Gerald L. Lohse,et al.  Cognitive Lock-In and the Power Law of Practice , 2003 .

[84]  Adrian Akmajian,et al.  Linguistics: An Introduction to Language and Communication , 1979 .

[85]  T. Allahviranloo,et al.  DEFUZZIFICATION METHOD FOR RANKING FUZZY NUMBERS BASED ON CENTER OF GRAVITY , 2012 .

[86]  G. D. Snoo,et al.  Synergy between nature reserves and agri-environmental schemes in enhancing ditch bank target species plant diversity , 2010 .

[87]  Eric James Mackay,et al.  Use of rock mechanics laboratory data in geomechanical modelling to increase confidence in CO2 geological storage , 2012 .

[88]  Johnny Wong,et al.  Evaluating the system intelligence of the intelligent building systems: Part 2: Construction and validation of analytical models , 2008 .

[89]  A. Felix.  A FUZZY DEMATEL APPROACH TO STUDY CAUSE AND EFFECT RELATIONSHIP OF YOUTH VIOLENCE , 2013 .

[90]  T.Acharya Kumar Ajoy Ray.  Information Technology : Principles and Applications , 2004 .

[91]  Burak Omer Saracoglu,et al.  A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF AHP, ELECTRE III & ELECTRE IV BY EQUAL OBJECTIVE & SHANNON'S ENTROPY OBJECTIVE & SAATY'S SUBJECTIVE CRITERIA WEIGHTING IN A PRIVATE SMALL HYDROPOWER PLANTS INVESTMENTS SELECTION PROBLEM , 2015 .

[92]  F. E. Ritter,et al.  Learning Curve, The , 2001 .

[93]  Burak Omer Saracoglu.  Experimental FuzzyWA Aggregated Location Selection Model for Very Large Photovoltaic Power Plants in Global Grid in the Very Early Engineering Design Process Stage , 2014 .

[94]  Suzanne D. Pawlowski,et al.  The Delphi method as a research tool: an example, design considerations and applications , 2004, Inf. Manag..

[95]  Barry N. Taylor,et al.  Guide for the Use of the International System of Units (SI) , 1995 .

[96]  Mehdi Homaee,et al.  An integrated multi criteria approach for landfill siting in a conflicting environmental, economical and socio-cultural area. , 2012, Waste management.

[97]  Branko Vucijak,et al.  Applicability of multicriteria decision aid to sustainable hydropower , 2013 .

[98]  N. Dalkey,et al.  An Experimental Application of the Delphi Method to the Use of Experts , 1963 .

[99]  Mustafa S. Canbolat,et al.  Locating emergency facilities with random demand for risk minimization , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[100]  Jin Su Jeong,et al.  A site planning approach for rural buildings into a landscape using a spatial multi-criteria decision analysis methodology , 2013 .

[101]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Fuzzy multicriteria disposal method and site selection for municipal solid waste. , 2010, Waste management.

[102]  Edward M. Reingold,et al.  Graph drawing by force‐directed placement , 1991, Softw. Pract. Exp..

[103]  Yaaseen Rafeeu,et al.  Thermal performance of parabolic concentrators under Malaysian environment: A case study , 2012 .

[104]  Amir Karniel,et al.  The exponential learning equation as a function of successful trials results in sigmoid performance , 2010 .

[105]  Burak Omer Saracoglu.  Location selection factors of small hydropower plant investments powered by SAW, grey WPM and fuzzy DEMATEL based on human natural language perception , 2017 .

[106]  Erwin Schmid,et al.  Assessing the economic wind power potential in Austria , 2013 .

[107]  A. Majumdar,et al.  Opportunities and challenges for a sustainable energy future , 2012, Nature.

[108]  Burak Omer Saracoglu.  An Experimental Research Study on the Solution of a Private Small Hydropower Plant Investments Selection Problem by ELECTRE III/IV, Shannon's Entropy, and Saaty's Subjective Criteria Weighting , 2015, Adv. Decis. Sci..

[109]  Iris Grossmann,et al.  Distributed solar electricity generation across large geographic areas, Part I: A method to optimize site selection, generation and storage , 2013 .

[110]  Catherine M. Sandhofer,et al.  Fast Mapping Across Time: Memory Processes Support Children’s Retention of Learned Words , 2012, Front. Psychology.

[111]  T. Pavlidis,et al.  Fuzzy sets and their applications to cognitive and decision processes , 1977 .

[112]  Peter Schlyter,et al.  Less is more: Strategic scale site suitability for concentrated solar thermal power in Western Australia , 2012 .

[113]  David Robinson,et al.  Text Mining with R: A Tidy Approach , 2017 .

[114]  Burak Omer Saracoglu,et al.  A qualitative multi-attribute model for the selection of the private hydropower plant investments in Turkey: By foundation of the search results clustering engine (Carrot2), hydropower plant clustering, DEXi and DEXiTree , 2016 .

[115]  Hugh P. Possingham,et al.  Dispersal connectivity and reserve selection for marine conservation , 2011 .

[116]  M Kemal Korucu,et al.  A criticism of applications with multi-criteria decision analysis that are used for the site selection for the disposal of municipal solid wastes. , 2012, Waste management.

[117]  Burak Omer Saracoglu,et al.  AN AHP APPLICATION IN THE INVESTMENT SELECTION PROBLEM OF SMALL HYDROPOWER PLANTS IN TURKEY , 2015 .

[118]  G. Pourtois,et al.  What is Bottom-Up and What is Top-Down in Predictive Coding? , 2013, Front. Psychol..

[119]  Xiaoping Liu,et al.  A multi-type ant colony optimization (MACO) method for optimal land use allocation in large areas , 2012, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[120]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Multi-criteria warehouse location selection using Choquet integral , 2010, Expert Syst. Appl..

[121]  Damien Ernst,et al.  The Global Grid , 2012, ArXiv.

[122]  Mustafa Insel,et al.  Identification of location selection criteria for new building shipyards , 2009 .

[123]  Ali Mohaghar,et al.  An Integrated Approach with AR-DEA and Fuzzy DEMATEL for Technology Selection , 2012 .

[124]  Yingjie Yang,et al.  Progress of grey system models , 2012 .

[125]  Burak Omer Saracoglu,et al.  Selecting industrial investment locations in master plans of countries , 2013 .

[126]  Mark Z. Jacobson,et al.  Providing all global energy with wind, water, and solar power, Part I: Technologies, energy resources, quantities and areas of infrastructure, and materials , 2011 .

[127]  Jeffrey S. Kargel,et al.  Autonomous real-time landing site selection for Venus and Titan using Evolutionary Fuzzy Cognitive Maps , 2012, Appl. Soft Comput..

[128]  Burak Omer Saracoglu.  An Experimental Case Study on Fuzzy Logic Modeling for Selection Classification of Private Mini Hydropower Plant Investments in the Very Early Investment Stages in Turkey , 2014 .

[129]  Inés Santé,et al.  A multicriteria approach to support the location of thalassotherapy (seawater therapy) resorts: Application to Galicia region, NW Spain , 2012 .

[130]  Yen-Liang Chen,et al.  Mining fuzzy association rules from questionnaire data , 2009, Knowl. Based Syst..

[131]  Burak Omer Saracoglu.  Long Term Electricity Demand & Peak Power Load Forecasting Variables Identification & Selection , 2017 .

[132]  L. Cayuela,et al.  Conservation planning of vertebrate diversity in a Mediterranean agricultural-dominant landscape , 2011 .

[133]  Xin-shi Zhang,et al.  A study of the development of bio-energy resources and the status of eco-society in China , 2010 .

[134]  Jean-Philippe Denruyter,et al.  The Energy Report: 100% Renewable Energy by 2050 , 2017 .

[135]  J. Tanaka,et al.  How Category Structure Influences the Perception of Object Similarity: The Atypicality Bias , 2011, Front. Psychology.

[136]  J. Engelmann,et al.  Emotion perception across cultures: the role of cognitive mechanisms , 2012, Front. Psychol..

[137]  J. Villiers.  The interface of language and Theory of Mind , 2007 .

[138]  Hossam Mohamed,et al.  An Integrated Methodology of Rough Set Theory and Grey System for Extracting Decision Rules , 2013 .

[139]  R. Nosofsky,et al.  Seven plus or minus two: a commentary on capacity limitations. , 1994, Psychological review.

[140]  Roberto Kawakami Harrop Galvão,et al.  Financial ratio selection for distress classification , 2006 .

[141]  Wim B. G. Liebrand,et al.  The effects of social motives on behavior in social dilemmas in two cultures. , 1985 .

[142]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  A fuzzy-algorithmic approach to the definition of complex or imprecise concepts , 1976 .

[143]  Burak Omer Saracoglu,et al.  Greenough River Solar Farm case study & validation initialization , 2018, International Journal of Energy Applications and Technologies.

[144]  Michael J. Spivey,et al.  Computational Grounded Cognition: a new alliance between grounded cognition and computational modeling , 2013, Front. Psychology.

[145]  Michela Marignani,et al.  Important Plant Areas in Italy: From data to mapping , 2011 .

[146]  Chien-Chang Chou,et al.  Application of FMCDM model to selecting the hub location in the marine transportation: A case study in southeastern Asia , 2010, Math. Comput. Model..

[147]  J. Orestes Cerdeira,et al.  Species specific connectivity in reserve-network design using graphs , 2010 .

[148]  R. Leach.  The learning curve , 1992 .

[149]  Joydeep Ghosh,et al.  Cluster Ensembles --- A Knowledge Reuse Framework for Combining Multiple Partitions , 2002, J. Mach. Learn. Res..

[150]  Amal K. Ali.  Using the Delphi Technique to Search for Empirical Measures of Local Planning Agency Power. , 2005 .

[151]  Burak Omer Saracoglu,et al.  G 2 EDPS's First Module & Its First Extension Modules , 2017 .

[152]  Etienne E. Kerre,et al.  Defuzzification: criteria and classification , 1999, Fuzzy Sets Syst..