Assessing tourism's more complex consequences.

Abstract Runyan, Dean and Chung-Tong Wu, “Assessing Tourism's more Complex Consequences,” Annals of Tourism Research , October/December 1979, VI(4):448–463. The development of tourism can have extensive physical, social and economic impacts. Certain of these impacts can be classified as relatively complex: those that take many variables to describe, are difficult to quantify and which are sensitive to policy or other difficult-to-predict interventions. The involvement of residents in an impact estimation process can serve to both forecast and appraise these relatively complex impacts. Relatively few techniques are available for estimation of complex impacts which do not rely almost exclusively on the intuition of professionals. Those that make use of lay individual input include Delbecq procedures, Delphi and IMPASSE. These techniques can be used to identify potential impacts by structuring group discussions. A two-stage approach to estimating complex impacts is proposed.

[1]  André L. Delbecq,et al.  A Group Process Model for Problem Identification and Program Planning , 1971 .

[2]  D. Maccannell.  The Tourist: A New Theory of the Leisure Class , 1976 .

[3]  K. Edelmann.  Major problems of tourism growth in developing countries , 1975 .

[4]  R. Butler.  The social implications of tourist developments , 1974 .

[5]  George Sir Young,et al.  Tourism--blessing or blight? , 1973 .

[6]  E. Cohen.  Arab Boys and Tourist Girls in a Mixed Jewish-Arab Community1 , 1971 .

[7]  Dean Runyan,et al.  Tools for Community-Managed Impact Assessment , 1977 .

[8]  T. J. Cartwright,et al.  Problems, Solutions and Strategies: A Contribution to the Theory and Practice of Planning , 1973 .

[9]  F. H. Mitchell.  The Economic Value of tourism in Kenya , 1971 .

[10]  The Sociological Consequences of Tourism , 1964 .

[11]  J. Bryden,et al.  Tourism and development : a case study of the Commonwealth Caribbean , 1974 .

[12]  Morris Hill,et al.  A Goals-Achievement Matrix for Evaluating Alternative Plans , 1968 .

[13]  W. Elkan.  The relation between tourism and employment in Kenya and Tanzania , 1975 .

[14]  Joseph Paul Martino,et al.  Technological Forecasting for Decisionmaking , 1975 .

[15]  Travel and Understanding: Notes on the Social Structure of Touring , 1967 .

[16]  J. Jafari.  The socio-economic costs of tourism to developing countries , 1974 .

[17]  L. B. Leopold,et al.  A procedure for evaluating environmental impact , 1971 .

[18]  Erik Cohen,et al.  Who is a Tourist?: A Conceptual Clarification , 1974 .