Structural and practical identifiability of dual-input kinetic modeling in dynamic PET of liver inflammation

Dynamic 18F-FDG PET with tracer kinetic modeling has the potential to noninvasively evaluate human liver inflammation using the FDG blood-to-tissue transport rate K1. Accurate kinetic modeling of dynamic liver PET data and K1 quantification requires the knowledge of dual-blood input function from the hepatic artery and portal vein. While the arterial input function can be derived from the aortic region on dynamic PET images, it is difficult to extract the portal vein input function accurately from PET. The optimization-derived dual-input kinetic modeling approach has been proposed to overcome this problem by jointly estimating the portal vein input function and FDG tracer kinetics from time activity curve fitting. In this paper, we further characterize the model properties by analyzing the structural identifiability of the model parameters using the Laplace transform and practical identifiability using Monte Carlo simulation based on fourteen patient datasets. The theoretical analysis has indicated that all the kinetic parameters of the dual-input kinetic model are structurally identifiable, though subject to local solutions. The Monte Carlo simulation results have shown that FDG K1 can be estimated reliably in the whole-liver region of interest with reasonable bias, standard deviation, and high correlation between estimated and original values, indicating of practical identifiability of K1. The result has also demonstrated the correlation between K1 and histological liver inflammation scores is reliable. FDG K1 quantification by the optimization-derived dual-input kinetic model is promising for assessing liver inflammation.

[1]  Mark Muzi,et al.  Quantitative Analysis in Nuclear Oncologic Imaging , 2006 .

[2]  Mark Muzi,et al.  Kinetic Analysis of 18F-Fluoride PET Images of Breast Cancer Bone Metastases , 2010, Journal of Nuclear Medicine.

[3]  R. Kálmán Mathematical description of linear dynamical systems , 1963 .

[4]  Johan Karlsson,et al.  Comparison of approaches for parameter identifiability analysis of biological systems , 2014, Bioinform..

[5]  L. Bass,et al.  Liver kinetics of glucose analogs measured in pigs by PET: importance of dual-input blood sampling. , 2001, Journal of nuclear medicine : official publication, Society of Nuclear Medicine.

[6]  W. Moses,et al.  Corrigendum: Optimal whole-body PET scanner configurations for different volumes of LSO scintillator: a simulation study , 2012, Physics in medicine and biology.

[7]  Yves Lecourtier,et al.  Unidentifiable compartmental models: what to do? , 1981 .

[8]  T. Rothenberg Identification in Parametric Models , 1971 .

[9]  H. Pohjanpalo System identifiability based on the power series expansion of the solution , 1978 .

[10]  Maria Rodriguez-Fernandez,et al.  A hybrid approach for efficient and robust parameter estimation in biochemical pathways. , 2006, Bio Systems.

[11]  S. Stewart,et al.  Dynamic FDG-PET study of liver inflammation in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease , 2017 .

[12]  Julio R. Banga,et al.  Novel metaheuristic for parameter estimation in nonlinear dynamic biological systems , 2006, BMC Bioinformatics.

[13]  A. Wree,et al.  From NAFLD to NASH to cirrhosis—new insights into disease mechanisms , 2013, Nature Reviews Gastroenterology &Hepatology.

[14]  Mark Muzi,et al.  Kinetic analysis of 3'-deoxy-3'-18F-fluorothymidine in patients with gliomas. , 2006, Journal of nuclear medicine : official publication, Society of Nuclear Medicine.

[15]  Richard E Carson,et al.  Noise Reduction in the Simplified Reference Tissue Model for Neuroreceptor Functional Imaging , 2002, Journal of cerebral blood flow and metabolism : official journal of the International Society of Cerebral Blood Flow and Metabolism.

[16]  R. Badawi,et al.  Dynamic PET of human liver inflammation: impact of kinetic modeling with optimization-derived dual-blood input function , 2018, bioRxiv.

[17]  J. Knuuti,et al.  Non-invasive estimation of hepatic glucose uptake from [18F]FDG PET images using tissue-derived input functions , 2009, European Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging.

[18]  Xiaohua Xia,et al.  Identifiability of nonlinear systems with application to HIV/AIDS models , 2003, IEEE Trans. Autom. Control..

[19]  W. Moses,et al.  Total-Body PET: Maximizing Sensitivity to Create New Opportunities for Clinical Research and Patient Care , 2018, The Journal of Nuclear Medicine.

[20]  Peter Herscovitch,et al.  An approximation formula for the variance of PET region-of-interest values , 1993, IEEE Trans. Medical Imaging.

[21]  Roger Gunn,et al.  Mathematical modelling and identifiability applied to positron emission tomography data , 1996 .

[22]  Xiaohua Xia,et al.  On Identifiability of Nonlinear ODE Models and Applications in Viral Dynamics , 2011, SIAM Rev..

[23]  D. Mankoff,et al.  Kinetic analysis of 2-[carbon-11]thymidine PET imaging studies: compartmental model and mathematical analysis. , 1998, Journal of nuclear medicine : official publication, Society of Nuclear Medicine.

[24]  Claudio Cobelli,et al.  Global identifiability of nonlinear models of biological systems , 2001, IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering.

[25]  S. Ziegler,et al.  Quantification of [(18)F]FDG uptake in the normal liver using dynamic PET: impact and modeling of the dual hepatic blood supply. , 2001, Journal of nuclear medicine : official publication, Society of Nuclear Medicine.

[26]  Lennart Ljung,et al.  On global identifiability for arbitrary model parametrizations , 1994, Autom..

[27]  Georges El Fakhri,et al.  Reproducibility and Accuracy of Quantitative Myocardial Blood Flow Assessment with 82Rb PET: Comparison with 13N-Ammonia PET , 2009, Journal of Nuclear Medicine.

[28]  Michael P H Stumpf,et al.  Sensitivity, robustness, and identifiability in stochastic chemical kinetics models , 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[29]  Arild Thowsen,et al.  Structural identifiability , 1977, 1977 IEEE Conference on Decision and Control including the 16th Symposium on Adaptive Processes and A Special Symposium on Fuzzy Set Theory and Applications.

[30]  G. Musso,et al.  Meta-analysis: Natural history of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and diagnostic accuracy of non-invasive tests for liver disease severity , 2011, Annals of medicine.

[31]  Hulin Wu,et al.  Modeling and Estimation of Kinetic Parameters and Replicative Fitness of HIV-1 from Flow-Cytometry-Based Growth Competition Experiments , 2008, Bulletin of mathematical biology.

[32]  Robert M. Glorioso,et al.  Engineering Cybernetics , 1975 .

[33]  Mark Muzi,et al.  Kinetic modeling of 3'-deoxy-3'-fluorothymidine in somatic tumors: mathematical studies. , 2005, Journal of nuclear medicine : official publication, Society of Nuclear Medicine.

[34]  A. Diehl,et al.  NAFLD, NASH and liver cancer , 2013, Nature Reviews Gastroenterology &Hepatology.