Multi-armed Bandit Problems with Strategic Arms

We study a strategic version of the multi-armed bandit problem, where each arm is an individual strategic agent and we, the principal, pull one arm each round. When pulled, the arm receives some private reward $v_a$ and can choose an amount $x_a$ to pass on to the principal (keeping $v_a-x_a$ for itself). All non-pulled arms get reward $0$. Each strategic arm tries to maximize its own utility over the course of $T$ rounds. Our goal is to design an algorithm for the principal incentivizing these arms to pass on as much of their private rewards as possible. When private rewards are stochastically drawn each round ($v_a^t \leftarrow D_a$), we show that: - Algorithms that perform well in the classic adversarial multi-armed bandit setting necessarily perform poorly: For all algorithms that guarantee low regret in an adversarial setting, there exist distributions $D_1,\ldots,D_k$ and an approximate Nash equilibrium for the arms where the principal receives reward $o(T)$. - Still, there exists an algorithm for the principal that induces a game among the arms where each arm has a dominant strategy. When each arm plays its dominant strategy, the principal sees expected reward $\mu'T - o(T)$, where $\mu'$ is the second-largest of the means $\mathbb{E}[D_{a}]$. This algorithm maintains its guarantee if the arms are non-strategic ($x_a = v_a$), and also if there is a mix of strategic and non-strategic arms.

[1]  G. Brier VERIFICATION OF FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN TERMS OF PROBABILITY , 1950 .

[2]  J McCarthy,et al.  MEASURES OF THE VALUE OF INFORMATION. , 1956, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[3]  D. Bergemann,et al.  Learning and Strategic Pricing , 1996 .

[4]  S. Athey,et al.  Optimal Collusion with Private Information , 1999 .

[5]  Collusion in a Model of Repeated Auctions , 1999 .

[6]  Peter Auer,et al.  The Nonstochastic Multiarmed Bandit Problem , 2002, SIAM J. Comput..

[7]  Masaki Aoyagi,et al.  Bid rotation and collusion in repeated auctions , 2003, J. Econ. Theory.

[8]  Andrzej Skrzypacz,et al.  Tacit collusion in repeated auctions , 2001, J. Econ. Theory.

[9]  Masaki Aoyagi,et al.  Efficient Collusion in Repeated Auctions with Communication , 2002, J. Econ. Theory.

[10]  H. Robbins Some aspects of the sequential design of experiments , 1952 .

[11]  Amin Saberi,et al.  Dynamic cost-per-action mechanisms and applications to online advertising , 2008, WWW.

[12]  Moshe Babaioff,et al.  Characterizing truthful multi-armed bandit mechanisms: extended abstract , 2009, EC '09.

[13]  Nikhil R. Devanur,et al.  The price of truthfulness for pay-per-click auctions , 2009, EC '09.

[14]  Moshe Babaioff,et al.  Truthful mechanisms with implicit payment computation , 2010, EC '10.

[15]  Sylvain Chassang Calibrated Incentive Contracts , 2011 .

[16]  Sébastien Bubeck,et al.  Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems , 2012, Found. Trends Mach. Learn..

[17]  Ambuj Tewari,et al.  Online Bandit Learning against an Adaptive Adversary: from Regret to Policy Regret , 2012, ICML.

[18]  Umar Syed,et al.  Learning Prices for Repeated Auctions with Strategic Buyers , 2013, NIPS.

[19]  Yishay Mansour,et al.  Implementing the “Wisdom of the Crowd” , 2013, Journal of Political Economy.

[20]  Sham M. Kakade,et al.  Optimal Dynamic Mechanism Design and the Virtual Pivot Mechanism , 2013, Oper. Res..

[21]  Luciano Messori The Theory of Incentives I: The Principal-Agent Model , 2013 .

[22]  Umar Syed,et al.  Repeated Contextual Auctions with Strategic Buyers , 2014, NIPS.

[23]  Jon M. Kleinberg,et al.  Incentivizing exploration , 2014, EC.

[24]  T. L. Lai Andherbertrobbins Asymptotically Efficient Adaptive Allocation Rules , 2022 .