Local vs. cross station simulation of suspended sediment load in successive hydrometric stations: heuristic modeling approach

The present paper aims at modeling suspended sediment load (SSL) using heuristic data driven methodologies, e.g. Gene Expression Programming (GEP) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) in three successive hydrometric stations of Housatonic River in U.S. The simulations were carried out through local and cross-station data management scenarios to investigate the interrelations between the SSL values of upstream/downstream stations. The available scenarios were applied to predict SSL values using GEP to obtain the best models. Then, the best models were predicted by SVM approach and the obtained results were compared with those of GEP. The comparison of the results revealed that the SVM technique is more capable than the GEP for modeling the SSL through the both local and cross-station data management strategies. Besides, local application seems to be better than cross-station application for modeling SSL. Nevertheless, the cross-station application demonstrated to be a valid methodology for simulating SSL, which would be of interest for the stations with lack of observational data. Also, the prediction capability of conventional Sediment Rating Curve (SRC) method was compared with those of GEP and SVM techniques. The obtained results revealed the superiority of GEP and SVM-based models over the traditional SRC technique in the studied stations.

[1]  O. Kisi,et al.  A genetic programming approach to suspended sediment modelling , 2008 .

[2]  Vijay P. Singh,et al.  Evaluation of gene expression programming approaches for estimating daily evaporation through spatial and temporal data scanning , 2014 .

[3]  Chun Kiat Chang,et al.  Machine Learning Approach to Predict Sediment Load – A Case Study , 2010 .

[4]  K. Roushangar,et al.  Evaluation of GA-SVR method for modeling bed load transport in gravel-bed rivers , 2015 .

[5]  Cândida Ferreira,et al.  Gene Expression Programming: A New Adaptive Algorithm for Solving Problems , 2001, Complex Syst..

[6]  Hazi Mohammad Azamathulla,et al.  Gene-Expression Programming for the Development of a Stage-Discharge Curve of the Pahang River , 2011 .

[7]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  A wavelet-support vector machine conjunction model for monthly streamflow forecasting , 2011 .

[8]  A. Ahmadi,et al.  Daily suspended sediment load prediction using artificial neural networks and support vector machines , 2013 .

[9]  D. Legates,et al.  Evaluating the use of “goodness‐of‐fit” Measures in hydrologic and hydroclimatic model validation , 1999 .

[10]  A. Petersen-Øverleir Accounting for heteroscedasticity in rating curve estimates , 2004 .

[11]  Özgür Kisi,et al.  River suspended sediment estimation by climatic variables implication: Comparative study among soft computing techniques , 2012, Comput. Geosci..

[12]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Evaluation of different data management scenarios for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration , 2013 .

[13]  Ozgur Kisi Modeling discharge-suspended sediment relationship using least square support vector machine , 2012 .

[14]  D. Walling Assessing the accuracy of suspended sediment rating curves for a small basin , 1977 .

[15]  Hikmet Kerem Cigizoglu,et al.  Suspended sediment load simulation by two artificial neural network methods using hydrometeorological data , 2007, Environ. Model. Softw..

[16]  S. Gunn Support Vector Machines for Classification and Regression , 1998 .

[17]  Turgay Partal,et al.  Estimation and forecasting of daily suspended sediment data using wavelet–neural networks , 2008 .

[18]  J. Shiri,et al.  Evaluation of genetic programming-based models for simulating friction factor in alluvial channels , 2014 .

[19]  Jie-Lun Chiang,et al.  Suspended sediment load estimate using support vector machines in Kaoping river basin , 2011, 2011 International Conference on Consumer Electronics, Communications and Networks (CECNet).

[20]  J. Nash,et al.  River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I — A discussion of principles☆ , 1970 .

[21]  Chih Ted Yang,et al.  Sediment transport : theory and practice / Chih Ted Yang , 1995 .

[22]  D. Basak,et al.  Support Vector Regression , 2008 .

[23]  Cécile Picouet,et al.  Empirical and conceptual modelling of the suspended sediment dynamics in a large tropical African river: the Upper Niger river basin , 2001 .

[24]  Robert M. Summers,et al.  The validity of a simple statistical model for estimating fluvial constituent loads: An Empirical study involving nutrient loads entering Chesapeake Bay , 1992 .

[25]  Lei Ai,et al.  Modeling the daily suspended sediment concentration in a hyperconcentrated river on the Loess Plateau, China, using the Wavelet–ANN approach , 2013 .

[26]  Jalal Shiri,et al.  Modeling river total bed material load discharge using artificial intelligence approaches (based on conceptual inputs) , 2014 .

[27]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Precipitation Forecasting Using Wavelet-Genetic Programming and Wavelet-Neuro-Fuzzy Conjunction Models , 2011 .

[28]  Özgür Kisi,et al.  Comparison of genetic programming with neuro-fuzzy systems for predicting short-term water table depth fluctuations , 2011, Comput. Geosci..

[29]  Vladimir Vapnik,et al.  Statistical learning theory , 1998 .

[30]  O. Kisi,et al.  Suspended sediment modeling using genetic programming and soft computing techniques , 2012 .

[31]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Estimation of Daily Suspended Sediment Load by Using Wavelet Conjunction Models , 2012 .

[32]  N. Asselman Fitting and interpretation of sediment rating curves , 2000 .

[33]  M. Demissie,et al.  The accuracy of sediment loads when log-transformation produces nonlinear sediment load–discharge relationships , 2007 .

[34]  Cândida Ferreira,et al.  Gene Expression Programming: Mathematical Modeling by an Artificial Intelligence , 2014, Studies in Computational Intelligence.