The ICO Gold Rush: It's a Scam, It's a Bubble, It's a Super Challenge for Regulators

Initial coin offerings (“ICOs”) typically use blockchain technology to offer tokens that confer various rights in return, most often, for cryptocurrency. They can be seen as a conjunction of crowdfunding and blockchain. Based on a database of over 1000 ICO “whitepapers,” we provide a taxonomy of ICOs to increase understanding of their many forms, analyze the various regulatory challenges they pose, and suggest the steps regulators should consider in response. As our database shows, ICOs emerged very rapidly as a global phenomenon and the global ICO market is much larger than generally thought, with overall ICO subscriptions estimated to exceed $50 billion as of the year-end of 2018. The U.S. ICO market is significant, but the United States does not dominate this market by any means. This groundbreaking research demonstrates how many ICOs are offered on the basis of utterly inadequate disclosure of information— more than two thirds the ICO whitepapers are either silent on the issuing entity, initiators or backers, or they do not provide contact details. We also establish how an even greater share of ICOs do not elaborate on the applicable law, segregation or pooling of client funds, or the existence of an external auditor. Accordingly, the decision to invest in them often cannot be the outcome of a rational calculus. Hallmarks of a classic speculative bubble were certainly present across 2017 and 2018. Nonetheless, ICOs can also be seen as a response to the market failure of most financial systems to finance adequately the exceptionally innovative start-up enterprises. ICOs have the potential to provide a new, innovative, and potentially important vehicle for raising funds to support innovative ideas and ventures, and aspects of their underlying structure may well prove to have an important impact on fundraising systems and structures long into the future

[1]  Didier Sornette,et al.  “Thermometers” of speculative frenzy , 2000 .

[2]  Development of the American Law of Corporations to 1832 , 2002 .

[3]  D. Arner Adaptation and Resilience in Global Financial Regulation , 2011 .

[4]  Reuben Grinberg Bitcoin: An Innovative Alternative Digital Currency , 2011 .

[5]  The EU’s AIFM Directive and its Impact – An Overview , 2012 .

[6]  Joshua J. Doguet The Nature of the Form: Legal and Regulatory Issues Surrounding the Bitcoin Digital Currency System , 2013 .

[7]  Nicholas A. Plassaras Regulating Digital Currencies: Bringing Bitcoin within the Reach of the IMF , 2013 .

[8]  Primavera De Filippi,et al.  Bitcoin: A Regulatory Nightmare to a Libertarian Dream , 2014 .

[9]  D. Busch,et al.  The Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive , 2014 .

[10]  Benjamin Beckdominik,et al.  Bitcoins als Gegenstand von sekundären Leistungspflichten: Erfassung dem Grunde und der Höhe nach , 2015 .

[11]  Misha Tsukerman The Block Is Hot: A Survey of the State of Bitcoin Regulation and Suggestions for the Future , 2015 .

[12]  Matthew Ponsford,et al.  A Comparative Analysis of Bitcoin and Other Decentralised Virtual Currencies: Legal Regulation in the People's Republic of China, Canada, and the United States , 2015 .

[13]  Scope of the AIFMD , 2015 .

[14]  Lawrence J. Trautman Is Disruptive Blockchain Technology the Future of Financial Services? , 2016 .

[15]  Carla L. Reyes Moving Beyond Bitcoin to an Endogenous Theory of Decentralized Ledger Technology Regulation: An Initial Proposal , 2016 .

[16]  Lars Hornuf,et al.  The Regulation of Crowdfunding in the German Small Investor Protection Act: Content, Consequences, Critique, Suggestions , 2015, European Company Law.

[17]  Pamela Buxton,et al.  Blockchain's three capital markets innovations explained , 2016 .

[18]  C. Christopher The Bridging Model: Exploring the Roles of Trust and Enforcement in Banking, Bitcoin, and the Blockchain , 2016 .

[19]  D. Zetzsche,et al.  Cross-Border Crowdfunding – Towards a Single Crowdfunding Market for Europe , 2017 .

[20]  Ross P. Buckley,et al.  The Distributed Liability of Distributed Ledgers: Legal Risks of Blockchain , 2017 .

[21]  Virtual Currencies: Growing Regulatory Framework and Challenges in the Emerging Fintech Ecosystem , 2017 .

[22]  Lana Swartz,et al.  What was Bitcoin, what will it be? The techno-economic imaginaries of a new money technology , 2018 .

[23]  Henry M. Kim,et al.  Understanding a Revolutionary and Flawed Grand Experiment in Blockchain: The DAO Attack , 2017, J. Cases Inf. Technol..