Effects of Pavement Spatial Variability on Contractor’s Management Strategies

Performance-based maintenance contracts are becoming an increasingly popular method of outsourcing pavement maintenance work. These contracts transfer performance-related risks to contractors with the objective of reducing the total cost of maintenance over the pavement life cycle by leveraging on the efficiencies of private sector management. In such contractual settings, transportation agencies hedge their exposure to poorly performing pavements that require frequent attention. However, this comes with a price. Contractors price in their bids a premium to account for such scenarios. This paper presents a model for contractors to determine optimal management strategies by taking into account the inherent spatial variability in pavement's structural characteristics. The model considers a tradeoff between economies of scale associated with managing longer pavement sections and the risk reduction benefits with managing relatively smaller, e.g., more homogeneous sections. The results indicate that the length of optimal management sections depends not only on the expected contract penalty costs (disincentive costs), but also the ability of the contractor to explore economies of scale. The model is illustrated using typical data available to transportation agencies.

[1]  Ahmed Alsherri,et al.  Reliability Model for Pavement Performance , 1988 .

[2]  Samuel Labi,et al.  Analyzing the Duration and Prolongation of Performance-Based Contracts through Hazard-Based Duration and Zero-Inflated Random Parameters Poisson Models , 2009 .

[3]  Chih-Cheng Hung,et al.  Hybridization of the Ant Colony Optimization with the K-Means Algorithm for Clustering , 2005, SCIA.

[4]  Samer Madanat,et al.  Estimation of infrastructure transition probabilities from condition rating data , 1995 .

[5]  Lansford C Bell,et al.  Outsourcing Versus In-House Highway Maintenance: Cost Comparison and Decision Factors , 2006 .

[6]  Mehmet E. Ozbek,et al.  Development of Performance Warranties for Performance-Based Road Maintenance Contracts , 2004 .

[7]  A. Kiureghian,et al.  Multivariate distribution models with prescribed marginals and covariances , 1986 .

[8]  Konstantinos Kalpakis,et al.  Distance measures for effective clustering of ARIMA time-series , 2001, Proceedings 2001 IEEE International Conference on Data Mining.

[9]  Rabi G. Mishalani,et al.  Role of spatial dimension in infrastructure condition assessment and deterioration modeling , 1995 .

[10]  D.M. Mount,et al.  An Efficient k-Means Clustering Algorithm: Analysis and Implementation , 2002, IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell..

[11]  Natalya Stankevich,et al.  Performance-based contracting for preservation and improvement of road assets , 2009 .

[12]  Samuel Labi Impact evaluation of highway pavement maintenance activities , 2001 .

[13]  J. MacQueen Some methods for classification and analysis of multivariate observations , 1967 .

[14]  Robert Tibshirani,et al.  Estimating the number of clusters in a data set via the gap statistic , 2000 .

[15]  Lev Khazanovich,et al.  Reliability analysis of cracking and faulting prediction in the new mechanistic-empirical pavement design procedure , 2005 .

[16]  Haris N. Koutsopoulos,et al.  MODELING THE SPATIAL BEHAVIOR OF INFRASTRUCTURE CONDITION , 2002 .

[17]  Samer Madanat,et al.  Using Duration Models to Analyze Experimental Pavement Failure Data , 2000 .

[18]  Cesar Queiroz Contractual Procedures to Involve the Private Sector in Road Maintenance and Rehabilitation , 1999 .

[19]  Rabi G. Mishalani,et al.  Uniform Infrastructure Fields: Definition and Identification , 1995 .

[20]  Mark Hill,et al.  An Environmentally Defined Biogeographical Zonation of Scotland Designed to Reflect Species Distributions , 1995 .

[21]  Ivan Damnjanovic,et al.  Risk-Based Model for Valuation of Performance-Specified Pavement Maintenance Contracts , 2008 .

[22]  Ivan Damnjanovic,et al.  Applying Method of Moments to Model Reliability of Pavements Infrastructure , 2006 .

[23]  Susan L. Tighe,et al.  Performance-Specified Maintenance Contracts , 2007 .

[24]  Tien Fang Fwa,et al.  Routine Maintenance and Pavement Performance , 1986 .

[25]  Philip Chan,et al.  Determining the number of clusters/segments in hierarchical clustering/segmentation algorithms , 2004, 16th IEEE International Conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence.

[26]  C L Monismith,et al.  Stochastic Model for Pavement Design , 1992 .