A Probabilistic Economic Analysis of the Transportation of GTL Blends Through TAPS

Abstract The Alaska North Slope is a potential candidate for gas to liquid (GTL) technology. With over 38 trillion cubic feet (TCF) of natural gas reserves stranded on the Alaska North Slope, GTL technology is considered as a possible method of harnessing the abundant resources. The main objective of this study is to perform a complete economic evaluation using rate of return analysis and the net present value to identify the most favorable commingled mode for the transportation of the GTL products. Crystal Ball software was also used to run sensitivity analysis by using the probabilistic approach to give a clear view of the various scenarios on the project economics. Evaluating the options of transporting GTL products as a blend (commingled) with the Alaska North Slope crude oil through the existing Trans-Alaska Pipeline System is the main focus of this study.